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Write a Squawk to TheNomad
  • Article / 18 December 2017 at 23:04 GMT

    ECB considers impact of EURUSD rising to 1.36

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    ECB considers impact of EURUSD rising to 1.36
    The European Central Bank's sensitivity analysis around its latest macroeconomic projections is not a prediction, but it does suggest the bank sees upside risk to EURUSD. Rate differentials between the USD and EUR have not held back single currency
    Read the article
    19 December
    TheNomad TheNomad
    Old news and back to earth
    20 December
    Federigo Federigo
    This comment has been redacted
    20 December
    kalish kalish
    I don't get the part where US investors make a handy return, since yes, they would make a handy return, but no european manager would buy us...
  • Article / 10 August 2017 at 12:13 GMT

    Mexican standoff

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Mexican standoff
    An increasing conflict between tight labour markets and low wages is among the factors leading us to anticipate a potentially acute pivot for currencies (and stocks). In this Mexican standoff, firms are keeping wages at levels that do not attract new workers at the desired pace. But watch out for a sharp pivot in the US dollar and the pound sterling if employers blink first on wages.
    Read the article
  • 1y
    Steve O'Hare - First 4 Trading Steve O'Hare - First 4 Trading
    It must be past your bedtime now.
    1y
    TheNomad TheNomad
    inspiring
    1y
    Kapoor Kapoor
    TheNomad, could u please explain the reason of ur sarcasm ?
  • Article / 10 March 2017 at 3:09 GMT

    ECB inflation forecast at the whim of crude price, forex moves

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    ECB inflation forecast at the whim of crude price, forex moves
    The European Central Bank has forecast that inflation will reach 1.8% in 2019. A closer look at the ECB staff's sensitivity analysis reveals that core inflation could reach as high as 2.2% to 2.4%. Meanwhile the real yield on German bunds has tumbled to a record low. And the euro could be about to fall off a cliff, according to the world's largest FX firm.
    Read the article
    1y
    Patto Patto
    The ECB seems to have committed itself to very easy monetary conditions for the next 18 mts at least. If the Fed is raising rates at the...
    1y
    marran marran
    Treve, it always amazes me how professional traders and researchers can provide beautifully written work that seems to make a lot sense but then turns out to...
    1y
    Harrison Dauglas Harrison Dauglas
    Regard to the analysis and sincerely i have no option to hold long on EURUSD. all i know about Cti Fx is that the have good track...
  • Squawk / 02 December 2016 at 13:45 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    US jobs report: Uh, what are we supposed to do with that? A very odd jobs report for November from the US, as the (highly statistically managed) nonfarm payrolls change was bang in line at +178k vs. +180k Bloomberg consensus with a minimal -2k in revisions to the previous two months of data. Elsewhere, the Average Hourly Earnings registered a hardly credible -0.1% month-on-month drop, spoiling the recent rise to the highest growth in years. Then again, the headline unemployment rate dropped to 4.6% as the participation rate edged lower while the household survey indicated payrolls growth in line with that for the nonfarm survey.

    All in all, this is a confusing report and the market is also beset with a huge event risk over the weekend in the form of the Italian referendum, so hard to see any dramatic conclusions drawn here for the USD.
    Read the Squawk
    1y
    Jim Earls Jim Earls
    No doubt-good squawk-this is hard to understand what is going on here.
  • 2y
    TheNomad TheNomad
    indeed core is still down below the 2% target and that high CPI number was due to the medical sector ( bigger medical bill). As always have...
  • Trade view / 19 September 2016 at 0:30 GMT
    Short term

    NZDUSD downside potential ahead

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Elliott Wave “Double Three” corrective structure is in place. The resistance is now at 0.7300/0.7330 and below 0.7235 the targets are 0.7170 then 0.7100
    Read the Trade View
    2y
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    Yes the EWP is indeed Subjective (to a point) and I utilise this in conjunction with classical charting as well. Remember, there is "no holy grail"...
    2y
    Michael Liu Michael Liu
    Hi Max, I followed this strategy, hope we can make some money. LOL
    2y
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    Ozzy has just rallied above Key .7525 resistance (for Today) and this flashes a Warning sign to me so not prepared to persist with this Trade iidea...
  • 2y
    assi assi
    Hi Ian, please see attach, enteresting chart....you think so ??
    2y
    Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
    Hi Assi ..... no. It is in a corrective phase higher.
    2y
    Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
    It is all about timing !!!!
  • Article / 08 July 2016 at 1:50 GMT

    BoJ unlikely to be let off the leash with USDJPY

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    BoJ unlikely to be let off the leash with USDJPY
    The Japanese government is unlikely to let the Bank of Japan off its leash to thrash around in the FX market. So USDJPY traders should not hold their breath waiting. More likely the Ministry of Finance will twist the bank’s arm to ease monetary policy again at the end of this month with the aim of weakening the exchange rate through more indirect channels.
    Read the article
    2y
    sutiani sutiani
    max ....euro stp today?than you
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