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Write a Squawk to The Grinch
  • 09 May
    matsuri matsuri
    has anyone noticed that Trump, despite the exit, announced that he is willing to negotiate? now the main topic driving the market up is gone so what...
    10 May
    The Grinch The Grinch
    where did you pick that up?
    13 May
    matsuri matsuri
    passage from Trump's speech: "Iran’s leaders will naturally say that they refuse to negotiate a new deal. They refuse, and that’s fine. I’d probably say the same...
  • Squawk / 08 May 2018 at 10:35 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Trump's options on Iran.
    The waiting/guessing game is almost over after President Trump yesterday tweeted that a decision on the Iran nuclear deal will be made today from the White House at 18:00 GMT. Since the president back in January said he was putting the “worst deal ever” on notice, a geopolitical/non-fundamental risk premium has been built into the price of oil.
    Update: https://www.home.saxo/insights/content-hub/articles/2018/05/08/trumps-options-on-iran
    Read the Squawk
    08 May
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    Gold remains troubled by the stronger dollar but putting up a fight on the back of trade and geopolitical risks. This can be seen through XAUEUR which...
    08 May
    anilm anilm
    Thanks
    08 May
    Heli Heli
    I must say that I am surpriced about lack of content and continuity, no comments to Thump speach, no COT report, almost none FX reports last two...
  • Article / 30 April 2018 at 13:42 GMT

    Gold challenged by rising dollar, reduced geo-risks for now

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Gold challenged by rising dollar, reduced geo-risks for now
    Gold continues to drift lower as the market looks to the dollar for direction. The current strength of the dollar, driven by short-covering, rising bond yields and a slowdown in Europe, has rattled a market which previously held a general belief that the greenback would continue to weaken.
    Read the article
  • Video / 26 April 2018 at 14:05 GMT

    Commodities Outlook Webinar April 2018 #SaxoStrats

    Ole Hansen
    Stay updated on what’s happening with oil, gold and other raw materials. Join Saxo Bank Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen as he explores the world of commodities and how fundamentals, geopolitics and other factors could influence prices. He also looks at market opportunities for both traders and investors.
    watch video
    27 April
    @shindesanjay24 @shindesanjay24
    Best ever analysis! great 👍
    27 April
    The Grinch The Grinch
    I wonder why a re-introduction of sanctions is expected to weigh so heavily on Iranian oil exports. Surely, China will mop it all up while Russia will...
  • 20 April
    Alan M Alan M
    Saudi saying anything they can to talk up the prices, and trump just out saying they are artificially high. This could get interesting yet!
    23 April
    The Grinch The Grinch
    Indeed. Nevertheless, as long as the macro story remains 'growth', I suspect that current levels are well supported. However, this may change sooner rather than later.
    09 May
    Kay Van-Petersen Kay Van-Petersen
    The Grinch, Alan M... As always appreciate the dialogue, comments & thoughts ... was travelling last few wks so missed this... See the update this morning through...
  • Article / 07 March 2018 at 10:38 GMT

    Fundamentals and Trump weigh on oil prices – #SaxoStrats

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Fundamentals and Trump weigh on oil prices – #SaxoStrats
    Crude oil has settled into a range as the price ebbs and flows with developments in global stocks. While oil fundamentals have softened, speculators maintain a strong belief in higher prices. This belief risks being tested should Trump go ahead with planned tariffs on steel and aluminium as it raises the risk of a trade war that would damage growth and punish stocks.
    Read the article
    07 March
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    Crude oil inventories rose by 2.4m barrels while both gasoline and distillate stocks were lower. Production rose another 86k b/d while stock withdrawals at Cushing slowed to...
    07 March
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    EIA charts
    07 March
    The Grinch The Grinch
    Ole, thank you.
    In past posts, you've highlighted the lower grade of shale compared to crude. How do you see this impacting markets?
  • 26 February
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Hello Mr. Hansen. Did you compose the article in the plane to Dubai? :)
    02 March
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    Not quite :-)
  • 23 February
    The Grinch The Grinch
    Think it may be time to give up expectations of interim downwards pressure. Just too much support to the upside including Saudi-Russian arms deals, geopolitics and now...
    24 February
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    True, its adding an extra dimension to the whole supply and demand story.
  • 21 February
    alki alki
    Howdy Steve! Good setup!
    21 February
    Morten Olby Morten Olby
    Thanks for the trade idea, Steve. Very interesting. I am in from 61,60
    22 February
    alki alki
    Steve, any thoughts on this one ahead of EIA atock Status report this afternoon?
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