United States
Age 59
Trading strategy
Cloud-Fib-Sentiment-Wave model, short to long term trend and range trading; FX only.
Biography
Good luck everyone. May the farce... I mean force be with you!

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17 Followers
Write a Squawk to seas
  • Squawk / 25 August 2017 at 22:36 GMT
    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi kept their powder dry at Jackson Hole, making no significant references to monetary policy.

    That’s not surprising as policy-making meetings at the ECB (Sept 7) and FOMC (Sept 20) are coming up and neither was in a position to commit their colleagues in advance.

    No comment on monetary policy or the exchange rate was enough to give EURUSD a boost to 1.1940 (see chart). But the bond markets didn’t react much and the probability of a Dec rate hike by the Fed held steady at about 40%.

    Here’s an interesting chart (see below). The equity in 4 central banks is listed on stock exchanges (Switzerland, Japan, Belgium and Greece). Shares in the SNB have rocketed as the EURCHF rally makes all those FX reserves accumulated in recent years more valuable in CHF terms. Perhaps a special dividend coming up ?
    Read the Squawk
    26 August
    Jim Earls Jim Earls
    How in the world does any central bank inflate their balance sheet to more than the absolute GDP of the country that they are domiciled in?
    26 August
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    It’s called “leverage” Jim !

    Incidentally. for a US-based hedge fund to be the same size (relatively) as the SNB they would have assets of $15 trillion........
    27 August
    Rainer Rainer
    Hello from Switzerland, unfortunately a "special dividend" by the SNB is not possible, the dividend is regulated by law. A dividend not exceeding 6% of the share...
  • Article / 25 August 2017 at 15:12 GMT

    Is it loony to be long loonies?

    FX Trade Strategist / www.Loonieviews.net
    Canada
    Is it loony to be long loonies?
    FX traders are glad this week is over. Minor and short-lived bouts of activity were bracketed by mind-numbing boredom as traders waited for Jackson Hole speeches by Fed chief Janet Yellen and the ECB's Mario Draghi. Meanwhile, USDCAD has dropped 7% since the Bank of Canada announced a shift to tighter policy, and the technicals for the currency pair remain bearish.
    Read the article
  • Trade view / 25 August 2017 at 7:28 GMT
    Day trade
    /
    Buy

    Buying dips in EURUSD

    Analyst / PIA First
    United Kingdom
    Reverse trendline support is seen at 1.1760 – this is a level to watch. Prime support is seen at 1.1700. With our bespoke resistance not seen until 1.1860, buying dips at this level offers a good risk/reward setup today.
    Read the Trade View
    26 August
    seas seas
    Hope you caught that 1st dip!
    26 August
    Morris Morris
    Took time to follow with all the background. But after all a Big Yes! Thanks Mate
  • 25 August
    seas seas
    Not you Saxo. Danes are cool.
    25 August
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    Like this?
    25 August
    seas seas
    Yes! That must be the closing bonfire.
  • Squawk / 24 August 2017 at 18:07 GMT
    Head Scalper / The Island Group
    United States
    Question of the day- If EURJPY rises this week, is it due to more EUR strength, or due to JPY weakness and an overall risk-on sentiment?
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 24 August 2017 at 9:53 GMT
    Analyst / PIA First
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - I am now a bear in EURGBP ... I will be looking to short between 0.9210 and 0.9215 (not at current levels - 0.9190, where we have support)
    Read the Squawk
    24 August
    seas seas
    GBPJPY holding nicely above the 1hr cloud as well.
    24 August
    seas seas
    Rather EURJPY holding above the 1hr cloud, so you have some solid EUR strength right now.
    25 August
    Andrew Perkins Andrew Perkins
    SL hit
  • Squawk / 11 August 2017 at 3:22 GMT
    Head Scalper / The Island Group
    United States
    USDJPY - we are almost at weekly cloud support which is 108.80. If we don't get an enthusiastic bounce here, stay short.
    Read the Squawk
    11 August
    FadelSalem FadelSalem
    Right sir, Now are there any update for the pair? thnx
  • 06 August
    seas seas
    Could be a safe-haven week.
    09 August
    seas seas
    Hate to say it, so I wont.
    09 August
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    :) nice call
  • Squawk / 04 August 2017 at 6:13 GMT
    Analyst / PIA First
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 1.1840 (stop at 1.1875)

    Posted mild net daily gains but all trading confined to the previous days range, an indecisive Inside Day. We are trading at overbought extremes. The trend of higher lows is located at 1.1855. Bespoke support is located at 1.1850. In line with the possible early stages of a head & shoulders pattern and the strong rejection of gains, we look to set shorts in anticipation of a swing lower. The formation has a measured move target of 1.1755.
    Our profit targets will be 1.1755 and 1.1700

    Resistance: 1.1893 / 1.1900 / 1.1961
    Support: 1.1863 / 1.1850 / 1.1755
    Read the Squawk
    04 August
    seas seas
    Perfect!
    04 August
    Junaid6003 Junaid6003
    You're perfect sir
    05 August
    Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
    thanks all and good weekend
  • 25 July
    h.alfayyad h.alfayyad
    Guys. .... I shorted EURUSD at 1.1685. Do u think its time to move stop loss to entry?
    25 July
    seas seas
    Looks like you may be right about that head and shoulders Ian.
    31 July
    Kapoor Kapoor
    hey fxtime, could u pls mail me ur excel sheet, thanks
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