Slovakia
Trading strategy
Strategic primarily long/stock-picking driven

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13 Followers
Write a Squawk to peter
  • Article / 05 February 2018 at 8:28 GMT

    COT: Funds cover grain shorts; crude oil longs cut – #SaxoStrats

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    COT: Funds cover grain shorts; crude oil longs cut – #SaxoStrats
    Strong buying in natural gas and heavy short-covering across the grain complex were the main drivers behind a 16% increase in bullish commodities bets held by funds in the week to January 30. Record longs in oil products while crude oil saw the first small reduction in six weeks. Gold buying continued for a 7th week albeit at a modest pace
    Read the article
    05 February
    Logich Logich
    Any idea what triggered the spike in Copper today, Ole S. Hansen?
    05 February
    peter peter
    Short covering on coffee this time?
  • 03 November
    Bluesboy2 Bluesboy2
    Roared back last night.
    03 November
    Morten Olby Morten Olby
    What now Ole, did you call the trade off to early? Roared back to 126 yesterday.
    03 November
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    Hi Morten. In hindsight the stop was placed too close but as I mentioned in the trade idea this was a counter trend idea with a high...
  • Trade view / 31 October 2017 at 9:55 GMT
    Medium term
    /
    Buy

    Arabica Coffee: Rising correction risk on record short bet

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Funds currently hold a record short position in Arabica coffee. With that, we are seeing an emerging risk of traders being short by too much, too soon, and potentially at the wrong price given the current hesitancy of Brazilian growers to release stocks at prices approaching the lower end of the ten-year trading range.
    Read the Trade View
    01 November
    Ramug65 Ramug65
    Thanks for the update
    02 November
    Pablo1972 Pablo1972
    Even though i suffered yesterday intra-day; I am sticking with your trade idea. Mainly due to 2 compelling considerations: 1) The MM positioning is at (or close...
    02 November
    peter peter
    This year, coffee market is really crazy, but should move higher, sooner or later from current price.
  • Squawk / 24 May 2017 at 19:32 GMT
    Coffee might make a low here, and it could be a big one. Price is right, time is right. The first bull leg lasted some 200 days plus, the pullback has been a drag...a strong reversal from thurs-fri is pouncable with tight stops at about 127.
    Read the Squawk
    1y
    peter peter
    It seems like 127 level is broken.
    1y
    Johan Berntorp Johan Berntorp
    Not good...we had a nice time cycle hit...which failed :(
    1y
    peter peter
    any update on coffee pls.?
  • Squawk / 29 January 2017 at 10:12 GMT
    We have pin-pointed what appears to be a peak of a partial move off the most recent lows in Coffee. We are expecting at least one more swing higher, if bullish and if we are in a bull run we would expect a low on other day 5 or day 17 of the retracement. So very interesting to follow from here on since we have mixed signals at large.
    Read the Squawk
  • 1y
    Edmund Liu Edmund Liu
    Hi Logich / Valeriy, could sell @ market (270.6), take profit @ 249.1, stop loss @ 276.5
    1y
    Logich Logich
    Thx. Edmund. - Already sold @270,25 - Happy to get your view on SL and TP.
    1y
    ValeriyKZ ValeriyKZ
    Thx.,Edmund for your opinion!
  • Squawk / 11 January 2017 at 20:24 GMT
    Coffee should be able to push higher into the weekend for the first swing higher. It is confirmed this should be at least a three wave move higher. The next pullback once it hits should give good hints of the medium term prospects which has been de-railed somewhat by the massive plunge into the December lows.
    Read the Squawk
  • 1y
    J R J R
    Hi Peter, I am sold on this one. But the ETF IHF:arcx is not shortable any more. Any trade idea how to play this prediction?
    1y
    Allan Kamara Allan Kamara
    This comment has been redacted
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