Trading strategy
Strategic primarily long/stock-picking driven


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Write a Squawk to peter
  • 03 November
    Bluesboy2 Bluesboy2
    Roared back last night.
    03 November
    Morten Olby Morten Olby
    What now Ole, did you call the trade off to early? Roared back to 126 yesterday.
    03 November
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    Hi Morten. In hindsight the stop was placed too close but as I mentioned in the trade idea this was a counter trend idea with a high...
  • Trade view / 31 October 2017 at 9:55 GMT
    Medium term

    Arabica Coffee: Rising correction risk on record short bet

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Funds currently hold a record short position in Arabica coffee. With that, we are seeing an emerging risk of traders being short by too much, too soon, and potentially at the wrong price given the current hesitancy of Brazilian growers to release stocks at prices approaching the lower end of the ten-year trading range.
    Read the Trade View
    01 November
    Ramug65 Ramug65
    Thanks for the update
    02 November
    Pablo1972 Pablo1972
    Even though i suffered yesterday intra-day; I am sticking with your trade idea. Mainly due to 2 compelling considerations: 1) The MM positioning is at (or close...
    02 November
    peter peter
    This year, coffee market is really crazy, but should move higher, sooner or later from current price.
  • Squawk / 24 May 2017 at 19:32 GMT
    Coffee might make a low here, and it could be a big one. Price is right, time is right. The first bull leg lasted some 200 days plus, the pullback has been a drag...a strong reversal from thurs-fri is pouncable with tight stops at about 127.
    Read the Squawk
    02 June
    peter peter
    It seems like 127 level is broken.
    02 June
    Johan Berntorp Johan Berntorp
    Not good...we had a nice time cycle hit...which failed :(
    29 June
    peter peter
    any update on coffee pls.?
  • Squawk / 29 January 2017 at 10:12 GMT
    We have pin-pointed what appears to be a peak of a partial move off the most recent lows in Coffee. We are expecting at least one more swing higher, if bullish and if we are in a bull run we would expect a low on other day 5 or day 17 of the retracement. So very interesting to follow from here on since we have mixed signals at large.
    Read the Squawk
  • 25 January
    Edmund Liu Edmund Liu
    Hi Logich / Valeriy, could sell @ market (270.6), take profit @ 249.1, stop loss @ 276.5
    25 January
    Logich Logich
    Thx. Edmund. - Already sold @270,25 - Happy to get your view on SL and TP.
    25 January
    ValeriyKZ ValeriyKZ
    Thx.,Edmund for your opinion!
  • Squawk / 11 January 2017 at 20:24 GMT
    Coffee should be able to push higher into the weekend for the first swing higher. It is confirmed this should be at least a three wave move higher. The next pullback once it hits should give good hints of the medium term prospects which has been de-railed somewhat by the massive plunge into the December lows.
    Read the Squawk
  • 1y
    J R J R
    Hi Peter, I am sold on this one. But the ETF IHF:arcx is not shortable any more. Any trade idea how to play this prediction?
    Allan Kamara Allan Kamara
    This comment has been redacted
  • Squawk / 28 November 2016 at 19:49 GMT
    CoffeeNYCont didn't really produce a peak that stands out as THE peak on November 7. Now it has come down and as per the chart below cycles are possibly lining up or a shot at another leg higher into a possible final high on December 8. If price continues higher past December 8 it should be going higher still. Ideal target for this bullrun is at this juncture $1.83.
    Read the Squawk
    peter peter
    Pls. is the action on coffee futures these days in line with your view?
    Johan Berntorp Johan Berntorp
    The answer is yes. As long as price doesn't fall for more then 31 days since the Nov peak we can still be bullish.
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