Trading strategy
long term long/short any liquid financial asset based strategy


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Write a Squawk to opportunist
  • Article / 16 December 2016 at 11:00 GMT

    Rate cycles and equity returns don't match up – #SaxoStrats

    Head of Equity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Rate cycles and equity returns don't match up – #SaxoStrats
    Many people believe that stock prices will fall now that interest rates are on the rise, but historically there is no link between higher rates and lower equity returns. While the Fed's three indicated hikes for 2017 will mean little to most companies, they will be very important for financial companies, which is why we are super bullish on financial stocks.
    Read the article
    16 December
    opportunist opportunist
    Isn't it better to go long U.S. based financials rather than E.U. ones?
    Seems to me they are in better condition plus the rates lift is definitely stronger...
    18 December
    smalekian smalekian
    The knee-jerk reaction by financial stocks has already begun to reverse itself. It would have been great for a trade, but nothing that has taken place...
    18 December
    Francis Hunt Francis Hunt
    Hi, Thanks for your share. You showed the Russell Index for company gearing. This not a small cap index? with limited corporate banking leverage. What about all...
  • 16 December
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    All aboard the "Parity Express"
    16 December
    opportunist opportunist
    And amplify the trade with long DAX/MDAX - banks and/or insurance, little bit of germany RE development & construction.
    Balance with short telcos, utilities. Monitor rates, rates...
  • 13 December
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    13 December
    opportunist opportunist
    In fact very credible scenario. Brent/oil price increase will increase inflation globally, reinforce increase of U.S. (hence global) real rates and further amplify USD index higher.
    13 December
    Patto Patto
    But if EURUSD was to drop to 0.95, allowing the ECB to call time out on QE, wouldn't the euro then rally again, putting the ECB back...
  • 08 September
    opportunist opportunist
    There is not such polit ical setup elsewhere in Europe yet - short term pain against long term gain. I know Brexit but there is a big...
    10 September
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Dear Michael,

    Thank you for your kind words. Certainly one has to feel for the Greek the Spanish the best educated and least hopeful generation.

    Sadly there...
    10 September
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Dear Opportunist,

    the entire situation within the Eurozone appears to be in a muddle. Greece was never in a sharp enough economic state to join an politco-eco club...
  • 05 May
    opportunist opportunist
    So let's see what impact on mainly export data it will have for U.S., Eurozone, Japan, South Korea.
    Commodity exporters will probably enjoy capital inflow from China -...
  • Squawk / 12 April 2016 at 11:22 GMT
    Technical overbought/futures positioning - otherwise all main stakeholders happy - cenbanks - inflation up, fin/banks - volatility in asset classes up, global trade, FDI, EM bonds, CCYs, M&A up, energy sector happy, stock indices supported, oil producers happy - even oil importers as oil incr overweight with bond, ccys, FDI and/or foreign trade opportunities - so what not to like?
    Read the Squawk
  • Article / 18 February 2016 at 11:30 GMT

    Brexit: The costs and benefits

    Managing Partner / Spotlight Group
    United Kingdom
    Brexit: The costs and benefits
    As Britain's David Cameron jets off to Brussels today in an attempt to wrest membership concessions from the other EU member states, Stephen Pope casts a cool eye on the pros and cons of remaining in the bloc.
    Read the article
    18 February
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    I have a mixed view on this: UK being in the EU and not being part of the "core" federalist movement or the euro zone acts as...
    19 February
    Colin Brewer Colin Brewer
    .. it's not just a vote about Britain leaving the EU but also about Scotland leaving the UK which is an inevitable consequence of a No vote....
    22 February
    BuySellBuySell BuySellBuySell
    A good article Stephen, thanks. To my mind it is clear the UK should stay, for its own benefit, but also for the benefit of the...
  • Trade view / 12 February 2016 at 9:40 GMT
    Short term

    #SaxoStrats: A Put Spread on overbought gold

    Global Head of Listed Derivatives and Index CFDs Sales / Saxo Bank
    After a nice ride from 1071.1 (on Jan 14) to a high of 1263.9 (yesterday) gold is now overbought and stochastics and RSI are giving us a selling signal. We're buying a short-term Put Spread (12 days to expiry) to play a quick 38.2% of retracement.
    Read the Trade View
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