Slovenia
Trading strategy
long term long/short any liquid financial asset based strategy

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1 Followers
Write a Squawk to opportunist
  • Squawk / 23 March 2017 at 9:39 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    UK Retail Sales boost sterling. A very comeback for UK Retail Sales in February challenges the notion that UK consumers are delaying activity due to the overhang of Brexit uncertainty. The month-on-month ex Fuel figure for Feb. was a robust +1.3% and +4.1% year-on-year. Sterling is pushing into interesting territory versus the euro in the 0.8600-50 area, which looks pivotal for the near-term outlook.
    Read the Squawk
    23 March
    helicongrowth helicongrowth
    I believe the qtr on qtr data show biggest fall since 2010 despite big Feb rise.....UK economy going fwd is as clear as mud......I like going against...
    23 March
    opportunist opportunist
    What about FX translation - inflationary effect? At least partial explanation of higher nominal retail sales I think.
  • 13 March
    opportunist opportunist
    Plus Mnuchin, Ross on fundamental side pressing $ lower - see G20 comm this week.
    13 March
    opportunist opportunist
    Interesting reasoning here:
    https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2017/01/25/2183104/that-mnuchin-guy-might-have-a-point/
    What other CCYs could be lifted ?
    14 March
    seas seas
    Getting killed here. Going to double down at 106
  • 03 March
    opportunist opportunist
    Are there any possiblities to protect investment in SNAP now after IPO? Imean pus, put spreads or even building synthetic positions on SNAP through options?
  • Article / 23 February 2017 at 13:45 GMT

    A rock and a hard place

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    A rock and a hard place
    Today we discuss the most recent monetary policy inferences from the February Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes and discuss the growing emphasis on the State of the Union Address – not just for the US, but for the global economy and broad financial markets.
    Read the article
  • Article / 16 February 2017 at 0:58 GMT

    Markets build a head of steam as the Ides of March looms

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Markets build a head of steam as the Ides of March looms
    The latest inflation update out of the US has seen the market warm to the idea of a rate hike at the FOMC meeting on March 15 and three hikes in total this year. But traders remain wary. For the bond market, any suggestion the Fed’s balance sheet will be allowed to run down will have more impact than a 25 basis point move in the fed funds rate.
    Read the article
    16 February
    order order
    ...till when?
    16 February
    Patto Patto
    Sounds about right.... by then most of the fund managers who went under-weight US shares after Trump's win will have been forced back into the market.
    16 February
    opportunist opportunist
    Seems like central banks (all major ones) constantly supplied liquidity (at least on margin) is much more important than FED funds "signalling" .
  • Article / 16 December 2016 at 11:00 GMT

    Rate cycles and equity returns don't match up – #SaxoStrats

    Head of Equity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Rate cycles and equity returns don't match up – #SaxoStrats
    Many people believe that stock prices will fall now that interest rates are on the rise, but historically there is no link between higher rates and lower equity returns. While the Fed's three indicated hikes for 2017 will mean little to most companies, they will be very important for financial companies, which is why we are super bullish on financial stocks.
    Read the article
    16 December
    opportunist opportunist
    Isn't it better to go long U.S. based financials rather than E.U. ones?
    Seems to me they are in better condition plus the rates lift is definitely stronger...
    18 December
    smalekian smalekian
    The knee-jerk reaction by financial stocks has already begun to reverse itself. It would have been great for a trade, but nothing that has taken place...
    18 December
    Francis Hunt Francis Hunt
    Hi, Thanks for your share. You showed the Russell Index for company gearing. This not a small cap index? with limited corporate banking leverage. What about all...
  • 16 December
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    All aboard the "Parity Express"
    16 December
    opportunist opportunist
    And amplify the trade with long DAX/MDAX - banks and/or insurance, little bit of germany RE development & construction.
    Balance with short telcos, utilities. Monitor rates, rates...
  • 13 December
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    thanks
    13 December
    opportunist opportunist
    In fact very credible scenario. Brent/oil price increase will increase inflation globally, reinforce increase of U.S. (hence global) real rates and further amplify USD index higher.
    13 December
    Patto Patto
    But if EURUSD was to drop to 0.95, allowing the ECB to call time out on QE, wouldn't the euro then rally again, putting the ECB back...
  • 08 September
    opportunist opportunist
    There is not such polit ical setup elsewhere in Europe yet - short term pain against long term gain. I know Brexit but there is a big...
    10 September
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Dear Michael,

    Thank you for your kind words. Certainly one has to feel for the Greek youth...like the Spanish the best educated and least hopeful generation.

    Sadly there...
    10 September
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Dear Opportunist,

    the entire situation within the Eurozone appears to be in a muddle. Greece was never in a sharp enough economic state to join an politco-eco club...
  • 05 May
    opportunist opportunist
    So let's see what impact on mainly export data it will have for U.S., Eurozone, Japan, South Korea.
    Commodity exporters will probably enjoy capital inflow from China -...
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