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Write a Squawk to Neil Staines
  • Article / 17 August 2017 at 12:19 GMT

    UK rates too low and GBP significantly undervalued

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    UK rates too low and GBP significantly undervalued
    UK economic data have been encouraging, and the 'peak uncertainty' in business investment may be behind us. We continue to see an impending sharp pivot for inflation, economic sentiment, monetary policy expectations and ultimately currency valuations, as discussed recently. UK rates are too low and sterling undervalued, according to our view of the economy.
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  • Article / 15 August 2017 at 12:08 GMT

    Constructive ambiguity?

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Constructive ambiguity?
    The British government's preparations for withdrawing from the European Union have entered a new phase, marked by the steady release of papers outlining a 'new deep and special partnership the UK wants to build with the EU'. If that reduces the uncertainty around the UK's Brexit negotiating position, it could have big implications.
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  • Article / 10 August 2017 at 12:13 GMT

    Mexican standoff

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Mexican standoff
    An increasing conflict between tight labour markets and low wages is among the factors leading us to anticipate a potentially acute pivot for currencies (and stocks). In this Mexican standoff, firms are keeping wages at levels that do not attract new workers at the desired pace. But watch out for a sharp pivot in the US dollar and the pound sterling if employers blink first on wages.
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  • Article / 08 August 2017 at 12:20 GMT

    What will wake us from the summer lull?

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    What will wake us from the summer lull?
    Financial markets may be enjoying, or perhaps enduring, the lazy days of late summer but the recent comments from the Federal Reserve, along with rumbles out of Frankfurt, indicate that the August torpor's days are numbered.
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    08 August
    usxau usxau
    Let's hope the markets come back alive very soon! ;)
  • Article / 07 August 2017 at 7:00 GMT

    Morning Markets: Asia-Pac shares vault into new week

    Consulting editor / TradingFloor
    Norway
    Morning Markets: Asia-Pac shares vault into new week
    Asia-Pacific bourses got off to an exuberant start to the week, with sentiment lifted by Friday's strong US jobs report. Australian miners' shares rose after a leap in Chinese iron-ore prices, and Japanese carmakers also gained. The US dollar backed off its steepest Friday gains in Monday's Asian session, and crude oil prices rose.
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  • Article / 04 August 2017 at 11:40 GMT

    It's the politics, stupid!

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    It's the politics, stupid!
    Sterling and the UK rate markets were knocked on 'Super Thursday' when the Bank of England underscored the negative economic connotations of the uncertainty of the Brexit talks. As the Brexit debate and Trump shenanigans occupy centre stage, politics are now the core driver of FX markets.
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  • Article / 01 August 2017 at 11:51 GMT

    Don't rule out a British rate rise

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Don't rule out a British rate rise
    In the US, the continual Washington circus skews the dollar trade while the SNB's holdings do the same for the franc. In the UK, investors expect very little from the BoE this week, but could policy hawks surprise?
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