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359 FOLLOWERS
Write a Squawk to Neil Staines
  • 3d
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    USDJPY went through 107.00 to hit a low of 106.91 in the last 15 minutes. It was trading at 107.13 at 0801 GMT.
    3d
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    USDJPY and EURJPY are now getting close to support levels, so a short-term bottom is probably close. Longer-term, still more downside ahead, https://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/the-yen-run-ending-in-tears-is-a-prophecy-come-true-7533545
    3d
    Patto Patto
    Thanks Martin. These morning summaries are well presented and very useful..........
  • Article / Thursday at 13:00 GMT

    Goldilocks and the three currency bears

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Goldilocks and the three currency bears
    The US Federal Reserve, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Japan all judged that the current growth and inflation backdrop is neither too hot, nor too cold. Their inaction reinforces a picture of central banks increasingly reaching the limits of monetary policy and of currencies playing a growing (if unspoken) role.
    Read the article
    4d
    JakubSzalaFX JakubSzalaFX
    "through this low growth may well be above the current "potential growth""

    Interesting how the economy structure has changed after the crisis.

    Growth trend smoothing, due to unconventional...
  • Article / Tuesday at 12:00 GMT

    When currency rules the roost

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    When currency rules the roost
    With a chock-full slate of central bank meetings, markets are sharply focused on currencies this week. In the face of weak economic growth, and near exhausted monetary ammunition, currency is becoming increasingly attractive as a way to boost competitiveness, growth and ultimately inflation. Among central banks, some are definitely "more equal than others", and Fed policy is likely to remain dominant.
    Read the article
  • Article / 19 April 2016 at 13:00 GMT

    The unspoken conflict

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    The unspoken conflict
    Heightened oil price volatility along with surprisingly strong correlation between oil and currencies of non-oil-producing countries and the tacit desire of global central banks for weaker currencies have led to a very volatile, complex and confused FX market. Equities have ridden the relief rally in oil to reach new highs, posing a major risk.
    Read the article
  • Article / 15 April 2016 at 12:24 GMT

    Global instability still dollar-positive

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Global instability still dollar-positive
    It is no secret that most of 2015 and all of 2016 (so far) saw markets operating under a cloud of macro instability as demand growth wound down and central banks stepped up their acivism. In our view, all of these factor remain primed to boost one asset: the USD.
    Read the article
  • Article / 12 April 2016 at 12:30 GMT

    Benefits, costs and shoes

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Benefits, costs and shoes
    After a long period of extreme monetary accommodation, market participants have grown increasingly sceptical about the efficacy and risks of this policy, and low rates have disproportionately benefitted companies over consumers. Equities have been remarkably robust this year, but downside risks have grown, and stocks could well be the next shoe to drop.
    Read the article
  • Article / 07 April 2016 at 15:55 GMT

    Is the Fed's dovishness rational?

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Is the Fed's dovishness rational?
    Today, we discuss the recent market developments in line with the release of the March FOMC minutes and question the dovishness of Fed policy, along with the longevity of the recent rally in equities and risk assets. The potential ramifications for FX from the current juncture are very interesting indeed.
    Read the article
  • Article / 29 March 2016 at 13:14 GMT

    Eyes open as end-March means financial year-end too

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Eyes open as end-March means financial year-end too
    A speech by the US Federal Reserve chief on Tuesday and the US jobs report on Friday may well set the tone for markets going into the second quarter. Traders should take note that the end of March is also the end of the financial year in the UK, Japan and some other countries, so beware of erratic year-end flows.
    Read the article
  • Article / 24 March 2016 at 13:00 GMT

    The chances of an Easter surprise

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    The chances of an Easter surprise
    Today we take a reflective look at recent global macroeconomic and monetary developments and, as we approach the long weekend, we discuss the possibility that we are at a significant turning point in equities, risk assets and the USD. Things could look very different by Tuesday
    Read the article
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