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Write a Squawk to Neil Staines
  • Article / Thursday at 12:00 GMT

    At sixes and sevens

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    At sixes and sevens
    To be "at sixes and sevens" is to be in a state of confusion and disorder, or of disagreement between parties. With monetary policy currently backed against the wall, is this the case for the G7?
    Read the article
  • Article / Tuesday at 13:00 GMT

    Brexit or no Brexit, risks remain

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Brexit or no Brexit, risks remain
    The recent slowdown in UK economic activity is worrying policymakers and could have big implications for interest rates, sterling and even equities regardless of next month's Brexit referendum outcome.
    Read the article
  • Article / 19 May 2016 at 13:30 GMT

    The Goldilocks antithesis

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    The Goldilocks antithesis
    The minutes of the April FOMC meeting kicked the legs out from under a complacently dovish market, triggering a sharp recalibration of interest-rate expectations. While the initial reaction was USD strength across the board, we expect that the rate recalibration will ultimately weigh on equities and risk assets. The downside risk to equities will grow as US rate hike expectations rise.
    Read the article
  • 17 May
    Neil D Neil D
    Lets face it -house prices need to fall, and if they did it's more likely to be in the top-end range because supply and demand at the...
    17 May
    goldfinger goldfinger
    Rather like brexit being blamed for an up coming recession. That is coming anyway!! Neil, where do you see crude six months out?
    17 May
    Neil D Neil D
    Blimey that's a forecast! Tbh I don't go for prognosticating that far out, but I don't see the rally progressing much beyond 50 bucks- this still...
  • Article / 13 May 2016 at 13:07 GMT

    Badger, dove or bull?

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Badger, dove or bull?
    While all the noise is about Brexit knocking sterling, the assumptions of the Bank of England's inflation report and indeed market pricing of interest rates and GBP neglect potentially significant upside risks to the currency. In fact, the upside risks to the pound are far closer in magnitude to the downside risks than is currently priced in by markets.
    Read the article
  • Article / 06 May 2016 at 10:34 GMT

    Monetary policy failings put equities at risk

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Monetary policy failings put equities at risk
    Today we take a look at the current macroeconomic backdrop and how the near-term picture may be mixed for the USD but is increasingly negative for equities. We also discuss how the AUD has become increasingly independent of the USD in its recent decline...
    Read the article
    06 May
    andrewloz andrewloz
    Newton was also subtly insulting Hooke, who was small of stature and whom Newton intensely disliked!
    06 May
    Clare MacCarthy Clare MacCarthy
    That's seriously funny! Thanks for sharing.
  • Article / 04 May 2016 at 12:30 GMT

    USD on edge as currency war simmers

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    USD on edge as currency war simmers
    Today we discuss the recent price action for the USD and the recent progression of the global currency war. Furthermore we discuss the lowered growth estimates for the Eurozone from the European Commission and our views on the likely continued economic underperformance of the region...
    Read the article
  • 29 April
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    USDJPY went through 107.00 to hit a low of 106.91 in the last 15 minutes. It was trading at 107.13 at 0801 GMT.
    29 April
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    USDJPY and EURJPY are now getting close to support levels, so a short-term bottom is probably close. Longer-term, still more downside ahead, https://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/the-yen-run-ending-in-tears-is-a-prophecy-come-true-7533545
    29 April
    Patto Patto
    Thanks Martin. These morning summaries are well presented and very useful..........
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