Canada
Trading strategy
I use a combination of technical and fundamental studies to determine short term trading strategies ( usually less than 1 month)
Biography
Michael O’Neill has held senior positions at many Tier 1 banks in his 30+ years in FX markets which included trading, sales, and derivatives while managing highly profitable teams. He is the author of the “Trade of the Day”, a short term, actionable FX strategy and a daily market commentary. All are available at www.loonieviews.net
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1029 Followers
Write a Squawk to Michael O'Neill
  • 1d
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    Good summary Mike
    1d
    John Roberti John Roberti
    Dear Mike, would it be possible to have your insights on USDCAD for the following days?
    1d
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    Hi John: USDCAD is in an intraday downtrend from Aug15,which comes into play at 1.2590-00 today on 30 minute chart. If broken, it will lead...
  • 2d
    fxtime fxtime
    But any tax revision policy to boost his presidential standing and economic performance would be hindered by his steadfast refusal to show his own tax returns. Such...
    1d
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    President should be seen and not heard", at least this one.
    1d
    fxtime fxtime
    LOL.
  • Article / Friday at 15:36 GMT

    Does NAFTA spell 'Not Another Failed Trump Action'?

    FX Trade Strategist / www.Loonieviews.net
    Canada
    Does NAFTA spell 'Not Another Failed Trump Action'?
    Only the euro and sterling lost ground against the US dollar in a week dominated by a dysfunctional Trump administration that sparked worries that the president's whole economic agenda could be derailed. Meanwhile, talks to revise the NAFTA treaty got started this past week.
    Read the article
    5d
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Hello Michael. Look at Oil. 3.3% gain on Friday with no data released! Have a great Weekend. 😜
    4d
    Sajor Sajor
    What about Mexico? Canada wants, US wants...
    4d
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    Not enough space to do it justice.
  • Article / Thursday at 1:00 GMT

    Contrarian trade opportunity opening up in USD

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Contrarian trade opportunity opening up in USD
    The Fed's minutes say market moves are offsetting its rate hikes. The Fed might brush off low inflation readings as transitory, and put its faith in the Phillips curve. Sentiment towards the USD is turning sour. And the EURUSD rally is sowing the seeds of its own decline
    Read the article
    6d
    Patto Patto
    Seems to me the rally in EUR means there won't be any tapering at all for some time.
    6d
    Sotha Sotha
    Actually I was wondering what Max's expectations regarding ECB taper are.
    5d
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    I think the minutes of the ECB meeting showed they agree with the FOMC that the Phillips curve is still operative (meaning inflation will come, eventually) but...
  • Squawk / 15 August 2017 at 8:58 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    Bank of Japan purchased $2billion Japanese Equity ETF last week and now possess $127billion or if you prefer they own 3.2% of the market.
    The view is to stabilise markets and invest into their listed economy but this distorts GDP and market equitable correlations. Those that feel ETF's are an efficient and economic investment tool with minimal risks are unaware of an event called liquidity spirals. Furthermore the size of BoJ exposure to japanese equity markets and their own ETF causes a risk structure which isn't distributed. Their risk is concentrated on a single economy....their own. Hedgehogging is a real risk where a trade size becomes so large that it influences the very market they are trying to trade/invest within. Any purchases distorts the price upwards as constant buying distorts the supply/demand metrics and even worse any selling causes panic. Black swan events do occur and this is becoming a ticking time bomb.
    Read the Squawk
    15 August
    fxtime fxtime
    Apologies I am having rough time today running errands shall we say ! But totally agree with you. CHoveman asked me a few days ago about this...
    15 August
    fxtime fxtime
    @USXAU I've just been researching your data and Bloomberg have a caveat that they are under-estimating due to time delays in collating data. So what you provide...
    15 August
    usxau usxau
    FX, I would not be surprised that the numbers have changed, but thinking of the sheer amount of shares the SNB has bought over the last 8...
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