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Write a Squawk to matsuri
  • Squawk / 15 May 2018 at 7:01 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    Oil prices suddenly look beautifully bullish by Stephen Pope

    Crude has spiked 19% this year, to prices unseen since late 2014
    Iran produced 5.1% percent of the world’s total crude oil
    Focus in the oil market will remain on geopolitical tension in the Middle East
    After President Trump withdrew the U.S. from the Iranian nuclear agreement
    Prices are set to advance over the summer into Q3

    See the full article here: https://www.fxexplained.co.uk/forex-articles/current-market-analysis/oil-prices-suddenly-look-beautifully/
    Read the Squawk
    15 May
    matsuri matsuri
    usually when there is widespread consensus that something will go up, it will go down. more violently...only speculators and hedge funds are pushing the prices up, physical...
  • 09 May
    matsuri matsuri
    has anyone noticed that Trump, despite the exit, announced that he is willing to negotiate? now the main topic driving the market up is gone so what...
    10 May
    The Grinch The Grinch
    where did you pick that up?
    13 May
    matsuri matsuri
    passage from Trump's speech: "Iran’s leaders will naturally say that they refuse to negotiate a new deal. They refuse, and that’s fine. I’d probably say the same...
  • Squawk / 02 May 2018 at 11:59 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Crude oil is trading steady with WTI currently being stuck in a $66.60 to $70/b range. The Natanyahu surge on Monday proved temporary as the market concluded that he did not provide any information that wasn’t already known and which provided the basis for the 2015 nuclear deal. Instead the presentation was seen as a counter to European leaders who led by France's Emmanuel Macron and Germany's Angela Merkel have stepped up their attempts to persuade Trump to agree to an amendment instead of abandoning the nuclear deal on May 12. His decision remains a major binary event but today the focus has – at least temporary – moved back to hard data with the weekly EIA Petroleum Status Report due at 14:30 GMT.
    Last night the API reported a bigger-than-expected crude build which was off-set by another slump in distillates.
    As usual the report comprises multiple components with production, export/imports as well as Cushing stocks being potential market movers.
    Read the Squawk
    02 May
    matsuri matsuri
    it will be very interesting to see what will Trump do with the Iran deal, considering the fact that he made a clear statement that oil is...
    02 May
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    Crude oil trades softer after the EIA reported a 6.2m barrel stock increase. Gasoline stocks rose by 1.2m barrels while distillates dropped 3.9m barrels. Production rose 33k...
    02 May
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    EIA charts
  • Squawk / 10 April 2018 at 11:42 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Crude oil continues its ascent on a combination of a weaker dollar, especially against the euro, but also a Bloomberg story about Saudi Arabia wanting to get oil prices near $80 a barrel to pay for the government’s crowded policy agenda and support the valuation of state energy giant Aramco before an initial public offering
    Read the Squawk
    10 April
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    WTI bounced like a dream from this trend support line yesterday.
    10 April
    matsuri matsuri
    so what are the levels to be watched when the double top is broken?
    12 April
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    Hi Matsuri, doesn't look like we're going to get a double top now eh? ...
  • Article / 28 March 2018 at 7:33 GMT

    Crude oil double top and EIA stock report in focus – #SaxoStrats

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Crude oil double top and EIA stock report in focus – #SaxoStrats
    Crude oil trades lower following the failure – so far – to break the January tops in WTI and Brent crude oil. The risk of a double top, combined with a bigger-than-expected jump in crude oil stocks reported by the API last night, renewed stock market weakness and a stronger dollar have all helped reverse some of last week\s strong gains.
    Read the article
    28 March
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    EIA results and initial market reaction
    28 March
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    EIA charts
    08 April
    Anatoly Vyacheslav Anatoly Vyacheslav
    This comment has been redacted
  • 21 March
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    EIA charts
    21 March
    matsuri matsuri
    Mr Ole, do you really think that Russia and Saudi Arabia would abandon the deal if sanctions are reintroduced? What would happen to oil prices if the...
    08 April
    Anatoly Vyacheslav Anatoly Vyacheslav
    This comment has been redacted
  • 20 March
    matsuri matsuri
    Mr. Hardy, what do you mean by " an excessive selloff driven by investor panic in the near to medium"? what are the levels that could be...
  • 16 March
    matsuri matsuri
    oil has just increased by 1$ out of the blue within an hour, what could be the reason for this?
    19 March
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    Crude oil remains stuck with rising US production being off-set by robust demand and high OPEC+ compliance largely driven by Venezuela. A tight range last week made...
  • Squawk / 22 February 2018 at 10:34 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Renewed crude oil weakness ahead of EIA stock report at 1600 GMT. US crude oil inventories probably rose by 2.9 million barrels last week according a Bloomberg survey (attached). The IEA sees demand growth being covered by non-Opec suppliers over the next two years thereby leaving limited room for the Opec+ group to step away from the deal to curb production. While we believe the ceiling has been found we still need confirmation that a bottom has been established. The key support levels to focus on remain $61/b on Brent and $58/b on WTI.

    More on this and other commodities in our monthly webinar today at 1330 CET. Sign up here: https://t.co/FpoQegvifm
    Read the Squawk
    22 February
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    The US is exporting away its rising production. Last week net import slumped below 5m b/d as exports surged past 2m b/d
    22 February
    Edgaras Edgaras
    Well imports / exports adds quite a bit of a bearish tone?
    22 February
    matsuri matsuri
    Cushing inventories decrease because the USA is exporting oil and gaining market share that OPEC will be forced to get back later. what is more the USA...
  • Article / 16 February 2018 at 14:03 GMT

    WCU: Commodities higher on cocktail of dollar weakness and inflation

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    WCU: Commodities higher on cocktail of dollar weakness and inflation
    Renewed risk appetite led by the recovery in stocks globally, a weaker dollar and a rising inflation focus, supported a strong week for commodities with investors continuing to have an appetite for broad-based commodities funds. Gains were seen across most sectors with industrial metals on top ahead of the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday.
    Read the article
    16 February
    matsuri matsuri
    so what the range for oil will be then?
    16 February
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    No change from our Q1 outlook: $60 to $70 on Brent
    16 February
    iruman3 iruman3
    sir what's going on gold next weak...it more uptrend??
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