Trading strategy
Inconvenient fee structure applied to Forex (based on threshold) is key reason, why I trade predominantly CFDs at Saxo!
My Fx positions are most often FxOptions expired to spot.

I closely follow trader with nickname "fxtime"!
Check this, please:
Or this:


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Write a Squawk to Market Predator
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 9:27 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    The International Energy Agency has released its monthly Oil Market Report. Just like Opec in their report yesterday they have once again raised non-Opec production growth siting explosive growth in the US with additional barrels coming from Brazil and Canada. It highlights the potential risk to current prices given the impact on non-Opec producers ability to increase production. The next question is whether demand growth will begin to see adjustments with crude oil trading at a three year high.
    In our Q1 outlook released yesterday i highlighted these risks and together with the record speculative long we see the oil market risk skewed towards lower prices this quarter.
    Read the Squawk
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Hello Ole, MP is missing WCU. It's part of my Fridays closing bell.
  • 1d
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Hello Dan, as we have OTC Options for Gold and Silver do you find reasonable to implement these precious metals into table? Thx.
  • 2d
    JGT Rust JGT Rust
    Hi Peter, so you believe a correction shortly after all Q4 earnings have been released?
  • Squawk / Wednesday at 17:23 GMT
    For my education.
    1) My Vanilla Long Put on USDCAD is exactly at the same level like before BoC rate hike announcement, but Option is still in pretty big loss (position entered on Monday). I assume it's because volatility on instrument has sharply increased. Is this true?
    2) Where can I read online impl. and historical Vols on FX pairs, please? Of course I have no Bloomberg terminal.
    Read the Squawk
    Market Predator Market Predator
    This is something for having fun. BTW: today I'm analyst :) Hope time into expiration will play for me.
    fxtime fxtime
    LOL....can I ask do you look at IV as a measure to IVR ? Are you using monthly options expiries or quarterly ? Why trade vanilla long...
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Hi fx, I assumed sharp move. It's OTC Option with expiry next Wednesday (possible to transform into spot instead of cash). Regarding Vol, it's a good question....
  • Squawk / Wednesday at 15:08 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Bank of Canada: The Bank hiked rates as was widely expected, but interest rate expectations are off slightly as the language around the hike isn't hawkish relative to expectations and USDCAD is bid, though we'll need to see where the pair settles after some very choppy price action. The downside pivot zone is 1.2350-1.2400 and the upside zone is 1.2600-25.

    The BoC statement suggests caution on future rate hike moves, concern that US tax reform could impact Canadian investment growth, and increasing uncertainty on NAFTA. On the positive side, the language on the domestic economy was largely positive, with a raise of 2018 estimates on consumption and housing and they also noted the labor slack dropping quickly.

    On policy the BoC says there is a need for accommodation to keep inflation on target, but that economy likely warrants higher rates over time.
    Read the Squawk
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Dovish hike :) Seems to be similar like Mr. Carney from BoE last year. John, is there any time schedule regarding NAFTA agreement, please? I hold Long...
  • Squawk / Tuesday at 14:35 GMT
    Interesting how traders constantly test support of German debt and at the same time debt of Italy is attractive so far. I'm short on Italy because of coming elections and traders hate uncertancy. From risk reward perspective it might be very attractive.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Monday at 14:10 GMT
    Hello TF community. MP really needs something to explain. On the chart below you might see tight correlation between Yen and Nikkei225. Since about Q4 of 2017 something is wrong and there is no more correlation.
    Is here good person to help me understand this issue?
    Read the Squawk
    IL IL
    I think that has started when Dow price began to accelerate without any small pullbacks.Strange time- the Central Banks announce about tightening,and this is only working on...
    Market Predator Market Predator
    @IL: thx. for reply.
  • Article / 12 January 2018 at 16:10 GMT

    Stable genius downgrades Nafta risks for loonie

    FX Trade Strategist /
    Stable genius downgrades Nafta risks for loonie
    The Canadian dollar is the biggest (and only) loser since the January 5 close in New York, with the Japanese yen leading the rest of the currencies higher. Nafta concerns have underpinned USDCAD, while a potential shift in future ECB guidance and a tweak in BoJ bond purchases has undermined the US dollar.
    Read the article
    12 January
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Hello Michael. I'd like to ask you if housing prices (debt) is no more problem for BoC. What do you think please?
    12 January
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    Hi Market Predator. Nothing has changed (yet) to suggest that the BoC's concern with elevated household debt has changed. New mortgage rules went into effect at...
    12 January
    Market Predator Market Predator
  • Squawk / 22 December 2017 at 13:39 GMT
    As I see, Bitcoin guys shifted Christmas day several days forward. Brutal profit taking is here, LOL :)
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 21 December 2017 at 17:25 GMT
    Hello Dan. I wish you nice Christmas and all the best in 2018. Next year I'll be in shadow mode, here on TF and very hope you'll continue with pdf report and FX Option webinars. Thanks, Regards, MP :)
    Read the Squawk
    22 December
    Dan Larsen Dan Larsen
    Hi MP, thank you and all the best to you as well. We have been very tied up in December, why I didnt host a webinar, but...
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