Trading strategy
Intraday mean-reversion trades using overbought/sold technical signals, pattern recognition


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Write a Squawk to Logich
  • Squawk / 3 hours ago
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Commodities, led by aluminum, are getting hit after the US Treasury published a guidance on Rusal. It said: "the path for the United States to provide sanctions relief is through divestment and relinquishment of control of Rusal by Oleg Deripaska." It also extended the period during which companies may continue to do trade with Rusal to October 23.
    Aluminum drops as much as 8% while oil is down more than 1% as the geopolitical risk premium deflates.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Wednesday at 14:14 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Bank of Canada decision: The BoC kept the interest rate unchanged as a vast majority expected. While the statement on the outlook is mostly upbeat, it was clear, the rather aggressive rally in CAD and Canadian yields coming into today's meeting suggested that the market was expecting positive language. The most positive portion of the statement is the prediction that Canada's economy will grow slightly beyond potential for the next three years and the writing off of recent slower growth as due to temporary factors like transportation bottlenecks and new mortgage guidelines.

    On the more negative/dovish side, the statement bemoans export growth potential as limited by capacity constraints and competitiveness and ongoing uncertainty on trade policies (Trump!). As well, the positioning on inflation is that some amount of accommodation is needed despite eventual further rate hikes to keep inflation at a sufficiently high level.

    Next big CAD event risk: Friday Canada Mar. CPI data.
    Read the Squawk
    Acho Acho
    how do we trade the usd/cad
  • Squawk / Wednesday at 8:39 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    UK CPI figures so weak, the GBP rally risk a reversal without something supportive on the Brexit front. The March UK CPI was much weaker than expected at +0.1% MoM vs. +0.3% expected and +2.5% year-on-year headline and 2.3% at the core, vs. +2.7%/2.5% expected, respectively. This will likely spike expectations for a May rate hike from the Bank of England.

    EURGBP is trading at this writing back above 0.8700, the key break area on the way down and it if sustains these level, the entire GBP rally sequence risks fading for now unless we get some kind of notable breakthrough on the current round of Brexit negotiations on post-Brexit terms of UK-EU trade.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Tuesday at 9:17 GMT
    Technical Analyst / FuturesTechs
    United Kingdom
    Morning all.

    A Bearish Engulfing Pattern on the Brent daily and a "Tweezer Top" on WTI/US Crude says this rally may have run out of steam for now...

    As well as Commodities we also cover Forex, Equities and Bonds. If you're missing my daily ramblings please feel free to go to and request a trial and we'll add 2 weeks on if you say you came from Saxo/Trading Floor.

    Have a good day all!


    Read the Squawk
    John Roberti John Roberti
    I attempted this morning to register for a free trial but the mail I received could not tolerate me to get to your services! The program refused...
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    Hi. It may be that you've had a trial before, but we can get around this.

    Could you drop me a message here: and...
  • Squawk / 13 April 2018 at 5:04 GMT
    Technical Analyst in Financial Market / commoditymarket2008 Advisory Services
    time to say good bye to (trading floor) because from 16th April onward, Saxo Bank will do only internal content. Special Thanks to my followers who likes my market view and trading signal. if you would like to receive my market view or trading signal then contact my on whats app: +919899993052 or mail mail me: Thanks -
    Read the Squawk
    13 April
    Logich Logich
    It's A really really sad development here on Tradingfloor, making the platform significant less interesting, when no one except Saxo itself my post trading ideas. - And...
    13 April
    commoditymarket2008 commoditymarket2008
    right my friend, lets them enjoy...
  • Squawk / 13 April 2018 at 3:58 GMT
    Technical Analyst in Financial Market / commoditymarket2008 Advisory Services
    Spot Gold Trading View: now having support zone 1333, holding below support zone means 1327 & 1320 easily looking other wise again rise up to 1347 & 1354 -
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 12 April 2018 at 14:36 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    EURGBP breaking down in potentially significant move. The euro moved broadly weaker today after a very weak Eurozone February Industrial Production number earlier today and the ECB minutes from the March meeting published today indicating considerable concern on the trade front after recent exchanges between the US and its trading partners around the world.

    But the key here is the technical situation, as EURGBP looks at the lowest daily close today since May of 2017 and below the thrice-test range lows just below 0.8700 in recent months. Any further supportive news on the Brexit front in coming days or weeks would be welcome for sterling bulls as the pair may be looking toward the next important range low stretching all the way down to the massive post-Brexit support line around 0.8300-25, as seen in the attached weekly EURGBP chart.
    Read the Squawk
    12 April
    Alan M Alan M
    Thanks John!
    13 April
    Chedzoy Chedzoy
    Great call John. Thanks for sharing your chart.
    14 April
    anatolyvyacheslavoil anatolyvyacheslavoil
    This comment has been redacted
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