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Write a Squawk to Krunil48
  • Article / 04 August 2017 at 11:40 GMT

    It's the politics, stupid!

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    It's the politics, stupid!
    Sterling and the UK rate markets were knocked on 'Super Thursday' when the Bank of England underscored the negative economic connotations of the uncertainty of the Brexit talks. As the Brexit debate and Trump shenanigans occupy centre stage, politics are now the core driver of FX markets.
    Read the article
  • Article / 17 May 2017 at 12:18 GMT

    Higher taxes and spending will not deliver growth

    Managing Partner / Spotlight Group
    United Kingdom
    Higher taxes and spending will not deliver growth
    Labour has released its manifesto ahead of the UK's June 8 election, and it includes many elements that might appear positive to a globalisation/inequality-fatigued world. A look at the underlying economics, however, show that Britain's situation would likely worsen after their implementation.
    Read the article
    17 May
    BuySellBuySell BuySellBuySell
    I was going to say it until you did in the last paragraph: 'They would have to borrow vast sums of money to finance their plans' .....
    17 May
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Thank you for your kind words. It all so sounds so easy...and I guess life is when someone else is paying.
    18 May
    BuySellBuySell BuySellBuySell
    So true Stephen ..
  • Squawk / 08 May 2017 at 6:53 GMT
    Managing Partner / Spotlight Group
    United Kingdom
    Curious opening for French equitites...so be careful and cautious.

    CAC 40 gained 3.13% last week and 5.79% on the past rolling month . Even more impressive is the gain of 11.72% YTD...but as of 06:51 GMT the CAC 40 futures were lower by 12.5 points or -0.23%,

    EURUSD has eased slightly so it would appear at first glance that the CAC 40 was very much bought on the rumour of a Macron win and is being sold on the fact.
    Read the Squawk
    08 May
    Romanatrader Romanatrader
    Good Morning Mr. Pope, do you think that CAC 40 futures will go up in next few days because Macron´s victory? Thank you Romana
    08 May
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    This morning is proving to be a swift round of profit taking with the CAC 40 as of 10:28 GMT standing at 5,389.35 -43.05 or...
    08 May
    Romanatrader Romanatrader
    Thank you very much Mr. Pope...
  • Article / 24 April 2017 at 12:35 GMT

    Volatility Update: Euro Stoxx 50 volatility plunges — #SaxoStrats

    Product Manager, Trader, Educator
    Denmark
    Volatility Update: Euro Stoxx 50 volatility plunges — #SaxoStrats
    Victory on Sunday for the centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron in the first round of France's presidential election has triggered a broad-based rally, with the Euro Stoxx 50 index jumping nearly 4% thanks largely to strength in French shares and the Euro Stoxx VSTOXX volatility index sliding 30% as "Frexit" fears seem to have vanished for the time being.
    Read the article
  • Squawk / 23 April 2017 at 19:05 GMT
    Managing Partner / Spotlight Group
    United Kingdom
    So if it is to be Macron and Le Pen that contest the second round no doubt the established parties and the fringe left will throw their support behind Macron. This will be a policy of "Anyone but Le Pen".

    Now this may well give a short-term boost to French assets such as the CAC 40 (depending on the general equity risk on mood) and the French Government debt.

    Be ready to trade the ranges.

    I have said before that Emmanuel Macron is not the answer to what France needs. If he becomes President I am sure that over the next few years we will see his policies of something for everyone and more and more Europe will lead France to endure bloated budget deficits and limited labour market reform.

    Young members of Le Republicans should start building a base for 2022...because by then France is going to desperately need a pro market solution.
    Read the Squawk
    24 April
    vanita vanita
    Dear Steve,
    After France first round election how you see eurusd trade.
    It's should be buy or sell at this levels.
    Take care.
    24 April
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Hi there,
    Clearly the days trading began in favour of Euro and the technical aspect is Euro positive until one month from here.

    Of course in two weeks time...
    25 April
    vanita vanita
    Thanks steve.☺
  • 26 April
    stphinkle stphinkle
    I wanted to say that I think that this is indeed real. I have read Saudi's oil fields are too old and may be post peak-oil....
  • Article / 12 April 2017 at 15:57 GMT

    Has Italy fallen out of love with the euro?

    Managing Partner / Spotlight Group
    United Kingdom
    Has Italy fallen out of love with the euro?
    The existential challenges to the euro from the European periphery are well known. But more troubling day by day is the realisation that a bigger risk is right at the heart of Europe, in the third largest economy, Italy, where living standards have fallen behind those of European peers and citizens are increasingly disgruntled with the common currency.
    Read the article
    12 April
    vanita vanita
    Ok steve thanks
    12 April
    Blange Blange
    Nicely written Stephen and sad for my distressed country
    13 April
    massimorusso massimorusso
    I am agreed with your comment, in particual on the poorly of SMEs
  • Article / 05 April 2017 at 14:16 GMT

    Insipid Macron not the French election answer

    Managing Partner / Spotlight Group
    United Kingdom
    Insipid Macron not the French election answer
    Emmanuel Macron looks very likely to run out victor at the second round of the French presidential election as the far-right's Marine Le Pen will not muster the support she needs, but, while markets will rejoice, the fillip is only set to be temporary.
    Read the article
    05 April
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Continued...The next presidential Poll will not be until 2022...and if the Eurozone continues to find growth hard to come by, sees no real reduction in unemployment, has...
    05 April
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Ceseme,

    Shame the Republicans did not select Juppe'. I know he has a checkered with the unions, but his reformist approach could have been just what France needed...hmm...then...
    05 April
    vanita vanita
    Thanks for great analysis👍
  • Article / 03 April 2017 at 10:27 GMT

    UPDATE: Trade summary for Q1 2017

    Managing Partner / Spotlight Group
    United Kingdom
    The first quarter has been quite a volatile one with the inauguration of Donald Trump and the so-called reflation trade enduring some peaks and troughs. This is my trade summary of returns in Q1.
    Read the article
    05 April
    vanita vanita
    Dear Steve,
    I have oil short position @49.25.
    I should wait or closed the position what's your suggest ?
    I can wait if it's likely to cum down or can...
    05 April
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Dear Vanita,

    This oil trade is proving to be asking the question..."How much pain can you take?"

    I have a stop loss at 55 as I see the area...
    05 April
    vanita vanita
    Thanks Steve I have put 55.31 as a stoploss so i am to stick with stoploss hope it's make u turn as today after crude inventory .
    Thanks...
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