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21 Followers
Write a Squawk to kom75
  • Squawk / 20 September 2018 at 19:35 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    If the site does indeed closedown or simply stop functioning (24th) then to all the regulars onsite that I have had the joy of meeting and learning from over the years may I wish you every success with your trading.
    As an off topic posting may I highlight the divergence on Bund to 10yr Notes yield disparity....@ 2.6% to put this into perspective when the Euro project started the spread on yield was thus far apart so seasoned spread/arbitrage traders out there may want to track this pair IMHO. Remember that we are trading opposing markets in the near term duration and that Notes have a greater rate of change so when building your 1:1 positional arbitrage account also for rates of change and simply skim your net gain. VIX can only remain at extremes for a certain length of time before an average range occurs bringing the VIX back to normal ranges.....I suspect that is the same between Bund and Bond ! Trade for yield normalisation or even faster price distortion.
    Read the Squawk
    20 September
    fxtime fxtime
    Have a great evening all and happy trading :-)
    21 September
    Coco84 Coco84
    Thanks for the tips! Do you have a twitter profile one could follow and keep in touch?
    21 September
    Crispee Crispee
    Thank you so much fxtime for all the great lessons and insightful articles to help me learn and get better.
  • Squawk / 03 August 2018 at 5:44 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Selling from key average to deepen
    The failure to break above the 13 day mvg avg proved its relevance yesterday. At last the consolidation ended with a sharp decline that is in line with this week's negative forecast. Importantly this deterioration also took CABLE below a Marabuzo line created July 20th. Oversold extremes are a concern but it is now likely that any intraday rallies will be temporary.
    We look to Sell in 1.3020/25 area and any 1.3049 rally
    Stop is 1.3086 bid
    Targets- 1.2994, 1.2957 and 1.2918.
    Closes 1/2 hour ahead of NFPs
    Read the Squawk
    03 August
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    First 1.2994 target met. Stop to 1.3029 - sell at 1.3049 cancelled
    03 August
    tonyovsalford tonyovsalford
    What time is NFP Alan plz
  • Squawk / 11 June 2018 at 15:50 GMT
    Looking forward to summer holidays, which for me is summer boating trip to Desolation Sound, a great cruising area I try to get to each summer. Most of this area doesn't have cellular or wifi, I shall not be able to crunch numbers or create new theories. Ans so in the middle of rollover week, I thought I would post one last model for today :) My trade set up was a sideways open, then down to 2778, then on to 2795 and back into 2791 are for close, my trade didn't trigger and pending orders won't trigger, so I'm now ready for summer :)
    Read the Squawk
    12 June
    Qi2 Qi2
    Thanks fxtime! I'll see which pairs I have decent historical data for and take it with me. Surely I shall have sometime to run some numbers :)...
    12 June
    fxtime fxtime
    Bon voyage :-)
    13 June
    Qi2 Qi2
    Thanks, really excited about getting some time away to sit and think. Looks like I wil even get to watch FOMC today, the question is, will ES...
  • Squawk / 08 June 2018 at 13:51 GMT
    Good afternoon Kom, looks like you short call should be working well :)
    Read the Squawk
    08 June
    kom75 kom75
    I had to look at acc, so spx gap algo was flat today, but have just seen dax had a lovely run for 130 points today:)
    08 June
    Qi2 Qi2
    Ok, I check out dax, I just played wac a mole on NQ and ES.
    08 June
    Qi2 Qi2
    Closing imbalance is 1.2 billion to the buy side, should bode well for next week's open :)
  • Squawk / 06 June 2018 at 19:21 GMT
    Not my idea, but know someone working on a VIX based model for ES, whilst I work on a Russell and VIX based model. This is 15 minutes old, good for 15 mins more :) lol
    Read the Squawk
    07 June
    kom75 kom75
    Today’s close is below yesterday’s. It’s 7th higher low in a row, with rsi in overbought area. We’ll see how it goes tomorrow. I’m short
    07 June
    Alan M Alan M
    Interesting view kom, best of luck. I am literally gobsmacked to see such a rally in the VIX ( 11% at the peak ) and the S&P...
    07 June
    Qi2 Qi2
    ES is interesting these days, it played out today almost exactly as my model forecast, which was "with initial auction sideways, then push toward 2777/83, then rotate...
  • Squawk / 01 June 2018 at 14:32 GMT
    Short into the weekend? Or not trading the US session and already in weekend mode?
    Read the Squawk
    01 June
    kom75 kom75
    What MOC stands for Qi?
    01 June
    Qi2 Qi2
    Market On Close
    01 June
    kom75 kom75
    To simply to quess:) Have a great weekend Qi
  • Squawk / 31 May 2018 at 12:55 GMT
    The Russell 2000 has set 15 new intraday, all time highs in 2018 already, here are the years with at least as many since 1987. Yesterday it was up 1.5% after having gone 30+ days without a one and a half percent day. 21 of 29 times that happened since October 1987 the Russell was positive the next day, so let's see if that plays out today.
    Read the Squawk
    31 May
    kom75 kom75
    Thats the old problem, money makes money;)
    31 May
    Qi2 Qi2
    Yes, you are absolutely correct, love to have that trade, ran it up and down, to the penny on ES, crazy how accurate he/she was... I am...
    31 May
    Qi2 Qi2
    its all fun and games until someone loses an eye, just sayin
  • Squawk / 30 May 2018 at 15:14 GMT
    I am struggling with the idea that the US market is even open, so so quiet!
    Read the Squawk
    30 May
    Qi2 Qi2
    Very low volume for a close on NQ and ES, so I am going to go have lunch and enjoy the afternoon! Have a great evening!
    30 May
    Alan M Alan M
    I rarly trade them, but I am trying to develop a breakout system for them. Today I actually went and sold the bund... In my experience these...
    30 May
    Alan M Alan M
    Enjoy the evening!!
  • Squawk / 26 May 2018 at 2:20 GMT
    In case you were curious as to what SPY does after coming back from a 3 day weekend.
    Read the Squawk
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