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Intraday momentum and/or range-breaking strategies

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4 Followers
Write a Squawk to JVKNL
  • Squawk / Friday at 5:57 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURJPY - Supported by key averages, 130.97 targeted
    Contrary to yesterday's bearish call, demand at the 50/100 day mvg avg area proved more substantial than assessed. Demand grew as the day progressed - to end a sequence of 5 down days – and has moved higher in Asia. Although the market remains below the 13 day line, and is counter-trend, it appears incomplete.
    So We Buy at 130.25 and 130.05
    Targets are 130.61 and 130.97
    Stop - 129.55 offered
    Closes - 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    4d
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    very mediocre week sadly. Off next week so it'll be a week later before I can regain my mojo
    4d
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Hahahaha, i compensated almost all with shorting dax. Just a little bit left. Maybe your short holiday brings luck.
    3d
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    well done mate. I did have the EQ markets right but don't publish those on here. Anyway BOL next week
  • Squawk / Thursday at 5:47 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Cautiously Bearish & Sell .9900 Rally. Stop .9935
    The neutral range set in yesterday's report was unthreatened as the consolidation in USDCHF stretched to a 5th day in a row. That price action came against a background of a rising Keltner channel – although that channel is beginning to flatten - and above a Marabuzo line created on Oct 3rd. However the upside stalling has been translated into a more significant decline in Asia, and although an early positive reaction is probable, the immediate bias is now negative.
    We lok to Sell at .9870 and .9900
    Stop is .9935 bid
    Targets - .9840, .9819 or even .9790
    Closes - 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    5d
    TDI786 TDI786
    As Alan said to short
    if it shorts then it will be big one
    5d
    Montykris Montykris
    I am in as the risk reward is good enough but a tight stop bellow that of Alan, @ 99.099 I sold at 98.942 15 pips loss...
    5d
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    mmm. tough markets at the moment so sorry calls not as good as I expect them to be. Blank page tomorrow and as Churchill once said (or...
  • Squawk / 17 August 2018 at 5:46 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Weak rally points Lower
    Thursday’s report highlighted a lack of clear direction for sentiment. That proved valid as price action was limited in range and net movement. Wednesday’s 14 month low was not retested but a profit taking attempt was limited and the highs not held. Taken in the context of a hugging of the lower end of a negative Keltner channel, we look for further downside.
    Sell in 1.2725/30 area and any 1.2755 rally.
    Stop is 1.2791 bid.
    Targets 1.2698, 1.2662 or even 1.2629
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    17 August
    JVKNL JVKNL
    @ IL: congratulations:)
    17 August
    JVKNL JVKNL
    @Marran. How did you escape?
    20 August
    marran marran
    small loss
  • Squawk / 16 August 2018 at 5:41 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - Bounce above key average to extend higher
    For a 3rd day in a row EURGBP probed below the 13 day mvg avg. For a 3rd day prices below that point found buyers. Price action was more subdued than the last 4 days – in fact, all trading was contained by the previous day’s range. This price action does not create strong signals for sentiment going into Thursday but the downside failure, an end to a sequence of 4 down days and further demand in Asia means intraday sentiment is positive.
    We look to Buy at .8950 and .8932
    Stop is .8901 offered
    Targets .8967, .8987 or even .9005
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    16 August
    JVKNL JVKNL
    @Marran:Sold @ 51. Just enough to cover the costs because:

    https://youtu.be/AY-2einPmd4
    16 August
    marran marran
    interesting roger Whittaker video JVKNL?
    16 August
    JVKNL JVKNL
    I go on now with DAX. I thought this forex was more.profitable but i cannot make it work as DAX
  • Squawk / 15 August 2018 at 5:40 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Negative reversal through key average
    Tuesday’s report highlighted underlying positive sentiment but a lack of a buy signal. That proved justified as our Buy at 1.3073 was virtually the low of the day. USDCAD still found further selling at the end of the day in a move that took prices to test the 13 day line. That important point was only marginally breached but, despite minor gains in Asia, is enough to leave our intraday technical studies negative.
    We look to Sell in 1.3075/80 area and at 1.3105
    Stop is 1.3137 bid
    Targets, 1.3040, 1.3020 and 1.3000
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    16 August
    IL IL
    Thanks, :-) .....Yes I know,and the other website is http://www.talkmarkets.com/contributor/Gregor-Horvat/
    16 August
    Romanatrader Romanatrader
    I´m still short from yesterday and USD/CAD is going down....
    16 August
    MSO MSO
    Thanks Smottee and IL and all other contributors to this tread. It is like in the good ole days of Tradingfloor.com :-)
  • Squawk / 14 August 2018 at 5:37 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD, Tracking Keltner channel lower
    In line with this week's bearish call, early price action Monday saw EURUSD sold to the most negative point for 13 months. But the lows were not entirely maintained as some profit taking developed at oversold extremes. The rally was a weak one and a 3rd down day in a row was posted. Further rally attempts cannot be ruled out but sentiment is assessed as negative.
    We look to Sell in 1.1405/10 area and at 1.1433
    The stop is 1.1468 bid
    Targets - 1.1365, 1.1334 or even 1.1312
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    14 August
    marran marran
    annoyingly im not in this trade because of a bit of greed and trying to wait for a better price!
    14 August
    geirth geirth
    Home from holiday today, four weeks of relaxation :-) Started the day with this one, and still happy!
    14 August
    marran marran
    got in the trade late and have closed out a small profit, could have been better!! lol
  • Squawk / 31 July 2018 at 5:52 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Capped by key average
    This week's report highlighted that although there was a lack of selling pressure last week, the 13 day mvg avg was capping any buying. This proved relevant Monday as USDCHF was sold strongly from that average line. The market moved to the most negative point for 3 weeks Although the proximity of the 13 week mvg avg is a concern and an early move lower is needed as confirmation, this morning’s call is for lower levels.
    Sell at .9875 and .9898.
    Stop is .9917 bid
    Targets; .9857, .9841 and .9822
    Closing 4 pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    31 July
    Are you sure? Are you sure?
    Do not close your position ıt will fall down also tomorrow
    31 July
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Hey Marran what have you decided finally?
    01 August
    marran marran
    i closed out at a loss
  • Squawk / 26 July 2018 at 5:41 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Capped by key average and Marabuzo line
    For a 3rd day in a row trading in USDCHF was muted Wednesday. The market remains below the crucial 13 day mvg avg but lacks the selling pressure to break below .9900. This price action does not create strong signals for sentiment going into Thursday but our intraday technical studies are assessed as negative.
    Sell in .9920/25 area and at .9950
    Stop is .9992 bid
    Targets - .9884, .9857 or even .9822
    Closing 4 pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    26 July
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Alan at what price did you sell?
    26 July
    marran marran
    i have decided to close my trades at a loss
    26 July
    JVKNL JVKNL
    I closed it at break even. Its hammering my wishfull patience too much
  • Squawk / 25 July 2018 at 5:42 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDJPY - Rejection of lows to extend.
    Yesterday's bearish call had some success but the real story was similar to Monday’s price action. Trading was volatile inside a narrow (ish) range with both highs and lows unsustained and only minor net movement. Although USDJPY remains below the 13 day mvg avg, this price action does not create strong signals for sentiment. But although the rally is assessed as temporary, our intraday technical studies suggest that it is incomplete.
    We look to Buy above 111.25 and any 111.02 dip.
    Targets are 111.55 and 111.73
    Stop is 110.75 offered.
    Closing 4 pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    25 July
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Alan what shall i do? Sell with loss or keep?
    25 July
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    I always close at 4pm London time
    25 July
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Thank you for answering Alan
  • Squawk / 24 July 2018 at 5:42 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Upside failure to deepen
    Asian gains extended Friday’s improvement, modestly. But those highs were rejected in Europe with profit taking moving EURUSD back towards the key 13 day mvg avg. That point did not break but is being tested again in Asian trading. Until/unless that level is clearly breached then signals for sentiment cannot be strong but they are assessed as mildly bearish.
    We look to Sell at 1.1685 and 1.1718.
    The stop is 1.1751 bid.
    Downside targets; 1.1659, 1.1627 and 1.1596
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    24 July
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Marran. I don't look closely at risk/reward. My levels are technical only and I expect those trading these ideas to alter exposure accordingly if they don't like...
    24 July
    marran marran
    thanks, Alan appreciate the answer. Profitable trading is normally built on risk to reward and I always mover to break even when practical
    24 July
    marran marran
    why the sudden euro rally?
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