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Intraday momentum and/or range-breaking strategies

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4 Followers
Write a Squawk to JVKNL
  • Squawk / 08 November 2018 at 6:53 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - Tracking Keltner Channel Lower
    After 2 down days in a row, yesterday's call highlighted a bearish bias. Although selling pressure was more muted than expected, our Sell rally point was virtually the high of the day. Fresh selling interest arrived in the latter part of the day and this led to minor net losses on the day. That keeps EURGBP tracking the lower end of a negative Keltner channel with no sign of anything other than temporary rallies.
    So we Sell in .8712/17 area and any .8731 rally
    The stop is .8749 bid
    Downside targets of .8697, .8679 and .8662
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    08 November
    JVKNL JVKNL
    in at 12
    08 November
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Our .8697 target has been reached. The focus now is on .8679 with a stop lowered to .8718 and the sell rally strategy cancelled.
  • Squawk / 06 November 2018 at 6:49 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Key average to support further gains
    This week’s outlook lacks strong signals for sentiment. Despite buying interest Monday, and a 4th higher low, that situation has not changed. CABLE is below the 100 day mvg avg and the 13 week line with both yesterday and Friday only posting minor net movement. So intraday technical studies cannot be strong but they are assessed as mildly bullish.
    We look to Buy at 1.3050 and 1.3033
    Targets are 1.3082 and 1.3098
    Stop is 1.2990 offered
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    06 November
    marran marran
    looks like i have missed the entry on this
    06 November
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Same here
    06 November
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    missed buy level. Hit first target so this view no longer valid
  • Squawk / 31 October 2018 at 7:12 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Cautiously Bullish & Buy 1.3107 Dip. Stop 1.3069
    Our bullish call for Tuesday had some modest success. But the buying on an initial setback still lacked the momentum to retest last week's top and USDCAD continued to trade, uncertainly, within Friday’s parameters. The currency pair remains comfortably above the 13/100 day mvg avg area but is not currently showing strong signals for sentiment. This means that this morning’s analysis has to be made with a good deal of caution. But with buyers returning in Asia, our call for this morning is a Cautious Buy at 1.3125 and 1.3107
    Targets are 1.3150, 1.3168 or even 1.3198
    The stop is 1.3069 offered
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    01 November
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Tks - Thought I was talking to myself on here.
    01 November
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Me too :)
    01 November
    marran marran
    nice trade Alan, thanks
  • Squawk / 23 October 2018 at 5:44 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD- Capped by key average, points lower
    As expected Friday’s failure at the 13 day mvg avg proved important. With that point capping investor demand, selling interest was revived Monday with the resulting decline yielding our first downside target for the week, a 3rd down day from the last 4 and the most negative levels traded for 3 weeks. The scope of the decline means signals for sentiment are oversold, but allowing for a likely profit taking reaction, this morning’s call is bearish.
    So we Sell in 1.2965/70 area and at 1.2986
    Targets are 1.2933 and 1.2897
    Stop - 1.3018 bid
    Closes - 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    23 October
    JVKNL JVKNL
    :)
    23 October
    geirth geirth
    Just EU/Brexit noise. I reentered when stopped out and reduced the loss!
    23 October
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Well i did not as it is not in the trade idea but lets see what tomorrow brings :)
  • Squawk / 12 October 2018 at 5:57 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURJPY - Supported by key averages, 130.97 targeted
    Contrary to yesterday's bearish call, demand at the 50/100 day mvg avg area proved more substantial than assessed. Demand grew as the day progressed - to end a sequence of 5 down days – and has moved higher in Asia. Although the market remains below the 13 day line, and is counter-trend, it appears incomplete.
    So We Buy at 130.25 and 130.05
    Targets are 130.61 and 130.97
    Stop - 129.55 offered
    Closes - 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    12 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    very mediocre week sadly. Off next week so it'll be a week later before I can regain my mojo
    12 October
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Hahahaha, i compensated almost all with shorting dax. Just a little bit left. Maybe your short holiday brings luck.
    13 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    well done mate. I did have the EQ markets right but don't publish those on here. Anyway BOL next week
  • Squawk / 11 October 2018 at 5:47 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Cautiously Bearish & Sell .9900 Rally. Stop .9935
    The neutral range set in yesterday's report was unthreatened as the consolidation in USDCHF stretched to a 5th day in a row. That price action came against a background of a rising Keltner channel – although that channel is beginning to flatten - and above a Marabuzo line created on Oct 3rd. However the upside stalling has been translated into a more significant decline in Asia, and although an early positive reaction is probable, the immediate bias is now negative.
    We lok to Sell at .9870 and .9900
    Stop is .9935 bid
    Targets - .9840, .9819 or even .9790
    Closes - 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    11 October
    TDI786 TDI786
    As Alan said to short
    if it shorts then it will be big one
    11 October
    Montykris Montykris
    I am in as the risk reward is good enough but a tight stop bellow that of Alan, @ 99.099 I sold at 98.942 15 pips loss...
    11 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    mmm. tough markets at the moment so sorry calls not as good as I expect them to be. Blank page tomorrow and as Churchill once said (or...
  • Squawk / 17 August 2018 at 5:46 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Weak rally points Lower
    Thursday’s report highlighted a lack of clear direction for sentiment. That proved valid as price action was limited in range and net movement. Wednesday’s 14 month low was not retested but a profit taking attempt was limited and the highs not held. Taken in the context of a hugging of the lower end of a negative Keltner channel, we look for further downside.
    Sell in 1.2725/30 area and any 1.2755 rally.
    Stop is 1.2791 bid.
    Targets 1.2698, 1.2662 or even 1.2629
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    17 August
    JVKNL JVKNL
    @ IL: congratulations:)
    17 August
    JVKNL JVKNL
    @Marran. How did you escape?
    20 August
    marran marran
    small loss
  • Squawk / 16 August 2018 at 5:41 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - Bounce above key average to extend higher
    For a 3rd day in a row EURGBP probed below the 13 day mvg avg. For a 3rd day prices below that point found buyers. Price action was more subdued than the last 4 days – in fact, all trading was contained by the previous day’s range. This price action does not create strong signals for sentiment going into Thursday but the downside failure, an end to a sequence of 4 down days and further demand in Asia means intraday sentiment is positive.
    We look to Buy at .8950 and .8932
    Stop is .8901 offered
    Targets .8967, .8987 or even .9005
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    16 August
    JVKNL JVKNL
    @Marran:Sold @ 51. Just enough to cover the costs because:

    https://youtu.be/AY-2einPmd4
    16 August
    marran marran
    interesting roger Whittaker video JVKNL?
    16 August
    JVKNL JVKNL
    I go on now with DAX. I thought this forex was more.profitable but i cannot make it work as DAX
  • Squawk / 15 August 2018 at 5:40 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Negative reversal through key average
    Tuesday’s report highlighted underlying positive sentiment but a lack of a buy signal. That proved justified as our Buy at 1.3073 was virtually the low of the day. USDCAD still found further selling at the end of the day in a move that took prices to test the 13 day line. That important point was only marginally breached but, despite minor gains in Asia, is enough to leave our intraday technical studies negative.
    We look to Sell in 1.3075/80 area and at 1.3105
    Stop is 1.3137 bid
    Targets, 1.3040, 1.3020 and 1.3000
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    16 August
    IL IL
    Thanks, :-) .....Yes I know,and the other website is http://www.talkmarkets.com/contributor/Gregor-Horvat/
    16 August
    Romanatrader Romanatrader
    I´m still short from yesterday and USD/CAD is going down....
    16 August
    MSO MSO
    Thanks Smottee and IL and all other contributors to this tread. It is like in the good ole days of Tradingfloor.com :-)
  • Squawk / 14 August 2018 at 5:37 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD, Tracking Keltner channel lower
    In line with this week's bearish call, early price action Monday saw EURUSD sold to the most negative point for 13 months. But the lows were not entirely maintained as some profit taking developed at oversold extremes. The rally was a weak one and a 3rd down day in a row was posted. Further rally attempts cannot be ruled out but sentiment is assessed as negative.
    We look to Sell in 1.1405/10 area and at 1.1433
    The stop is 1.1468 bid
    Targets - 1.1365, 1.1334 or even 1.1312
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    14 August
    marran marran
    annoyingly im not in this trade because of a bit of greed and trying to wait for a better price!
    14 August
    geirth geirth
    Home from holiday today, four weeks of relaxation :-) Started the day with this one, and still happy!
    14 August
    marran marran
    got in the trade late and have closed out a small profit, could have been better!! lol
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