Finland
Biography
I worked as a derivatives broker (mostly FX products) from 1991 to 1998. At the introduction of the euro I moved on to training, software, consulting and writing.

I've seen the ERM crisis of 1992, the Asian crisis of 1997 and the Russian crisis of 1998. In February 2000 I wrote an article with the title "On Bubbles". In July 2006 I wrote with the title "The Coming Global Real Estate Bust".

I've worked in a world where real-time market data, analytics and the Internet were not common. That has changed. What has not changed are the politicians, their crisis response and the credit boom-bust cycles.

I've seen enough to take anyone's statement with great skepticism. I hope you return the favor and also doubt everything that I write. I like to engage with my audience, so feel free to leave comments.

Specialties: options (also exotic), euro crisis, EURUSD.
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375 FOLLOWERS
Write a Squawk to Juhani Huopainen
  • 10h
    donal wislow donal wislow
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  • 10h
    donal wislow donal wislow
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  • Article / Thursday at 14:03 GMT

    Macro Digest: Up close and nasty – US slowdown looms

    Chief Economist & CIO / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Macro Digest: Up close and nasty – US slowdown looms
    Let's face facts– the US is getting closer every week to grinding to an economic halt. I expect Q4 GDP to be revised downwards tomorrow and I also expect growth to hit a big fat zero later this year. Handing the growth baton over to Europe and Emerging Markets might sound like a solution but the problem is that neither could carry the load.
    Read the article
  • Article / Wednesday at 2:56 GMT

    Yellen speech leaves USD bulls in the cold

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Fed Chair Janet Yellen's speech was a disappointment for USD bulls who were looking for more strident language and confirmation of a June rates lift-off but she's made it clear there will be no rate hikes until the 2% inflation goal is in sight.
    Read the article
    3d
    vng vng
    hi Max, what's the outlook for nzdcad?
    3d
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    Uptrend remains
    3d
    Charles Asmar Charles Asmar
    Good morning Max, What about EURUSD?
  • Squawk / 22 February 2015 at 20:31 GMT
    Blogger / MoreLiver's Daily
    Finland
    Interesting historical piece: average level that countries had, and their current account surplus. Clear positive correlation, with Denmark and escecially Italy being notable outliers. As this data is pre-eurocrisis, I would go as far as state that the euro caused a massive misallocation of capital as investments were made in countries that no-one actually trusted.

    Data sources: http://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/sapienza/htm/cultural_biases.pdf and OECD for the current account data.
    Read the Squawk
  • 20 February
    fxtime fxtime
    Hence the large bounce in the eur/usd from 1.12782 ?
    20 February
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    Yep, it will be interesting to see what happens during the early summer. Greek bailout 3 is in the cards, it will be politically very hard for...
  • Squawk / 20 February 2015 at 13:25 GMT
    Double Black Diamonds
    Dominican Republic
    DENMARK'S CENTRAL BANK WILLING TO USE CAPITAL CONTROLS IF NECESSARY TO DEFEND DKK PEG, says Whitta-Jacobsen, head of DK's Economic Council
    Read the Squawk
  • Article / 20 February 2015 at 5:59 GMT

    3 Numbers: Rising European PMIs to impact forex; Greek talks; EURUSD

    Blogger / MoreLiver's Daily
    Finland
    3 Numbers: Rising European PMIs to impact forex; Greek talks; EURUSD
    Europe's flash PMIs for February should continue improving across the board. They would usually get plenty of attention, but today all eyes will be on the Eurogroup meeting instead – another attempt to find a near-term fix for Greece's future in the monetary union. ECB capital control rumours may prompt a bank run in Greece. Meanwhile the EURUSD and equities have moved in relatively narrow ranges in recent weeks, and we may see volatility spikes soon, as prices break out.
    Read the article
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