Finland
Biography
I worked as a derivatives broker (mostly FX products) from 1991 to 1998. At the introduction of the euro I moved on to training, software, consulting and writing.

I've seen the ERM crisis of 1992, the Asian crisis of 1997 and the Russian crisis of 1998. In February 2000 I wrote an article with the title "On Bubbles". In July 2006 I wrote with the title "The Coming Global Real Estate Bust".

I've worked in a world where real-time market data, analytics and the Internet were not common. That has changed. What has not changed are the politicians, their crisis response and the credit boom-bust cycles.

I've seen enough to take anyone's statement with great skepticism. I hope you return the favor and also doubt everything that I write. I like to engage with my audience, so feel free to leave comments.

Specialties: options (also exotic), euro crisis, EURUSD.
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489 Followers
Write a Squawk to Juhani Huopainen
  • 3d
    Hisham Boulos Hisham Boulos
    Totally agree the media like mad dogs against Trump while I guess his doing a better job than Obama looking after his people and country ..
    2d
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    A well written executive summary.
    Puts the gyrations firmly in context.
    17h
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    I agree on much of this Mike, but Trump himself has to bear some of the blame for the coverage, waging war on the mass media, simply...
  • Article / Friday at 8:00 GMT

    Morning Markets: Negative Trump effect spills over to Asia

    Morning Markets: Negative Trump effect spills over to Asia
    The demise of the Trump trade rally on Wall St on Thursday was felt across Asian markets today, with key bourses losing ground. The Nikkei headed sharply lower, with the high yen eroding confidence in the outlook for Japan's export-driven economy. Meanwhile in neighbouring South Korea, the vice-chairman of Samsung, Lee Jae-Yong, was arrested over bribery allegations; the uncertain future for the heir apparent of the global electronics giant weighed on its share price.
    Read the article
  • Article / Friday at 6:02 GMT

    3 Numbers: An equities correction would leave Trump trade fans shaken

    Blogger / MoreLiver's Daily
    Finland
    3 Numbers: An equities correction would leave Trump trade fans shaken
    The Trump trade looks like it is ready for a pause, and maybe even a slight correction. Meanwhile European bond yields and the ECB's bond purchases have lifted the Eurosystem's balance sheet size to new records – while TARGET2 imbalances, or imbalances between the euro area's national central banks – have remained relatively modest
    Read the article
    3d
    goldfinger goldfinger
    I agree with you, an equity is due a correction. Just talking my own book but reality has to set in sometime soon
    3d
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    I started "doubting" on Wednesday. I hope this note came out in time to help.
  • Article / Thursday at 8:00 GMT

    Morning Markets: March rate-hike odds jump to 44%

    Managing editor, TradingFloor.com / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Morning Markets: March rate-hike odds jump to 44%
    The possibility that the Fed might move on interest rates next month jumped on very strong inflation data out of the US and helped spur some safe-haven buying overnight, but with the Trump factor ever present, is May still the likelier bet for the next move in the cycle?
    Read the article
  • Squawk / Wednesday at 18:51 GMT
    Analyst / PIA First
    United Kingdom
    A Man for all Markets 'Beating the Odds from Las Vegas to Wall Street' by Edward O. Thorp

    Superb book if you love markets and cards (I only play the markets). Very enlightening when talking about a winning 'edge'. He bets small and has a routine for betting. Small bets (trades) on a minor edge, say 0.25%... then BANG when he sees 5% he plays with a 5th of his pot..... he goes from $5 to $500. In the 1960's that was a fair chunk.......

    Well worth a read even if just to get you thinking about the winning wedge
    Read the Squawk
    4d
    Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
    I like the name 'trendy' :-)
    ... good luck
    4d
    trendy trendy
    Thanks! It's trendy, isn't it?
    4d
    trendy trendy
    Green US figures would trigger a little reversal?
  • 5d
    Krunil48 Krunil48
    Well done on your Dow Trade. 20520 looked a long way off to me at the time thinking that perhaps the Trump effect had run its course....
    5d
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Thank you...there were a few wobbly moments...but finally some traction was retained.
  • Article / 14 February 2017 at 14:47 GMT

    Kobayashi euro

    Head of Trading / The ECU Group plc
    United Kingdom
    Kobayashi euro
    Despite a recent uptick in economic growth and inflation in Europe, the region's prospects are not so rosy, since much of the improvement is due to base effects and energy prices. Financial markets today look to Fed chief Janet Yellen for clues on monetary policy, and we argue that US fiscal policy "trumps" monetary policy at the current juncture.
    Read the article
  • 13 February
    ZakM ZakM
    "As a French citizen, I consider this fear is quite overestimated and is mostly linked to ignorance of how the French political system works. ... it is...
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