United States
Biography
James Picerno is a freelance journalist/analyst who specializes in macroeconomics and investment strategy, including asset allocation, related academic research, and the analysis of ETFs, ETNs and mutual funds. Picerno is the author of Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks Ahead Of The Crowd (2014); and Dynamic Asset Allocation: Modern Portfolio Theory Updated For The Smart Investor (Bloomberg Press, 2010). He also edits The Capital Spectator (CapitalSpectator.com), a finance/economics blog that’s been quoted by a range of news organizations, including The Wall Street Journal, Reuters and others. His articles have appeared in a variety of publications over the years, including The Atlantic, Financial Advisor, BankRate.com, and HorsesMouth.com. Picerno has been writing about finance and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008.

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Write a Squawk to James Picerno
  • Article / Thursday at 5:56 GMT

    3 Numbers: German consumer climate remains sunny, EU sentiment, US CPI

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: German consumer climate remains sunny, EU sentiment, US CPI
    While Germany's unemployment figures are released today, eyes will initially be on the consumer sentiment data that comes out earlier. Once again, expectations are for an improvement in tone. Meanwhile, today's economic sentiment data for the Eurozone is expected to show signs of an uptick, while in the US, soft inflation numbers will likely keep rate rises on hold for a while longer.
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  • Article / Wednesday at 6:01 GMT

    3 Numbers: Mood lifts for French consumers, US mortgages, US homes

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Mood lifts for French consumers, US mortgages, US homes
    A guide to Europe's tenuous recovery will be looked for in today's update on France's consumer confidence, which is expected to show some improvement. Meanwhile, in the US, data on the weekly demand for mortgages and the monthly new home sales is not expected to show any sign that the housing market is breaking free of its sluggish trend.
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    3d
    dominom dominom
    I would add a 4 to it, us crude oil inventories.... US Oil seems to be waiting for that number to break down or to bounce up...
  • Article / Tuesday at 6:19 GMT

    3 Numbers: EU optimism 'spurt', US house prices, US confidence

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: EU optimism 'spurt', US house prices, US confidence
    One concern for Europe has been the recent slide into deflation, measured by the year-over-year change in headline consumer prices. But the belief that Europe’s deflation risk is energy related is gaining traction. Meanwhile US house prices are showing little growth but consumer confidence stateside remains robust.
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  • Article / Monday at 6:03 GMT

    3 Numbers: Upbeat German Ifo survey, US Chicago Fed index, US housing

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Upbeat German Ifo survey, US Chicago Fed index, US housing
    Germany's Ifo business survey should deliver additional evidence of the upbeat macro trend for the top EU economy. However, worries about Greece and Russia overshadow the good news. In the US, the Chicago Fed index will probably reinforce what is already known – US growth looks sustainable. Yet the US existing home sales report for January will most likely show no meaningful impact on housing from the improving macro outlook.
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  • 2h
    SaxoCrooks SaxoCrooks
    This comment has been redacted
  • Article / 19 February 2015 at 6:03 GMT

    3 Numbers: Upbeat UK industry trend, US jobless, EU consumer mood

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Upbeat UK industry trend, US jobless, EU consumer mood
    Today’s CBI release for UK manufacturing should provide further evidence that the macro trend for Britain is humming along nicely. Even a modest report will look good given ongoing labour market strength. Worries over Greece and the Ukraine mean that the outlook for Europe is fragile at best, so any signs of consumer optimism in the EU will be welcome. Meanwhile in the US, economists predict an encouraging fall below the 300,000 mark for today’s jobless claims, following a disturbiing jump in the previous release due to seasonal volatility.
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