United States
Biography
James Picerno is a freelance journalist/analyst who specializes in macroeconomics and investment strategy, including asset allocation, related academic research, and the analysis of ETFs, ETNs and mutual funds. Picerno is the author of Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks Ahead Of The Crowd (2014); and Dynamic Asset Allocation: Modern Portfolio Theory Updated For The Smart Investor (Bloomberg Press, 2010). He also edits The Capital Spectator (CapitalSpectator.com), a finance/economics blog that’s been quoted by a range of news organizations, including The Wall Street Journal, Reuters and others. His articles have appeared in a variety of publications over the years, including The Atlantic, Financial Advisor, BankRate.com, and HorsesMouth.com. Picerno has been writing about finance and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008.

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Write a Squawk to James Picerno
  • Article / Yesterday at 5:09 GMT

    3 Numbers: Robust German business mood, EU money supply, US durables

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Robust German business mood, EU money supply, US durables
    There are encouraging signs that the Eurozone rebound will survive the turmoil in Greece. Even a dip in July German business sentiment for July is likely to be dismissed as temporary. Meanwhile, today's figures will show if the Eurozone money supply is still growing strongly, and a 3% rise is expected for July's US Manufacturing PMI for durable goods.
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    1d
    Ricky2154857 Ricky2154857
    This comment has been redacted
  • Article / Thursday at 7:00 GMT

    Morning Markets: A kick in the glut

    Consulting Editor / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Morning Markets: A kick in the glut
    Yesterday's US oil storage report confirmed an inventory gain, sending WTI crude below the $50/barrel mark for the first time since April. The fall in oil prices remains a key component of the worldwide commodities rout that has sent resource equities and currencies reeling.
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    5d
    Mads Koefoed Mads Koefoed
    Spanish unemployment rate declined to 22.4% in Q2 vs. 22.5% expected and 23.8% prior. The unemployment rate peaked at 26.3% in Feb-Apr 2013.
    5d
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    Nice headline Michael
  • Article / Thursday at 5:01 GMT

    3 Numbers: Upbeat UK retail, US Chicago Fed index, US jobless claims

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Upbeat UK retail, US Chicago Fed index, US jobless claims
    A solid gain in UK retail spending for June is expected in today’s release. On the other side of the Atlantic, the Chicago Fed is likely to report that the sluggish US growth trend of late ticked up slightly in June. And today's US jobless claims figure may be an indicator of whether a September rate hike is likely.
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  • Article / Wednesday at 4:59 GMT

    3 Numbers: French sentiment upswing, US house prices, US house sales

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: French sentiment upswing, US house prices, US house sales
    Is there any economic growth in Europe? The numbers looked encouraging leading up to the acute phase of the European Union’s recent showdown with Greece. The acid test is how the data compares in the months ahead. Meanwhile French growth seems to be looking on the upside, and US house prices are showing a decent uptick.
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  • Article / 21 July 2015 at 5:12 GMT

    3 Numbers: Redbook gives clue to US growth prospects, DAX, Indian BSE

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Redbook gives clue to US growth prospects, DAX, Indian BSE
    Retail spending numbers from this week's Redbook update will be the focus for providing clues as to whether US growth will continue to accelerate in the second half of this year. Meanwhile, as the risk of a Grexit fades, Germany's stockmarket has rebounded. But can the rally be sustained? And assuming India's pro-reform agenda survives, the country may be primed for a new bull market.
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  • Article / 20 July 2015 at 7:03 GMT

    Morning Markets: After the gold crash

    Deputy Editor / TradingFloor.com
    Denmark
    Morning Markets: After the gold crash
    Precious metals took a big hit overnight with gold hitting a five-year low as the US dollar continued its ascent. Meanwhile, Greek banks are due to reopen today but markets paid little attention to weekend news that chancellor Angela Merkel would be prepared to discuss easier debt repayment terms for the beleaguered country.
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  • Article / 20 July 2015 at 5:04 GMT

    3 Numbers: Eurozone export hopes, GBPUSD, US 10-Year yield

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Eurozone export hopes, GBPUSD, US 10-Year yield
    Grexit fears have receded, and attention has turned elsewhere in the Eurozone – including today's current account release and the factors behind the expected modest export fall. Can the GBP hold on to recent gains after last week’s softer-than-expected labour market report for the UK? On the other side of the Atlantic, the US 10-year yield is in a holding pattern while the Fed considers a rate hike.
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  • Article / 16 July 2015 at 7:00 GMT

    Morning Markets: Draghi in the hot seat

    Consulting Editor / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Morning Markets: Draghi in the hot seat
    Early this morning,the Greek parliament approve the bailout deal announced Monday but there remain many questions about the viability of Greece's economy. Today's European Central Bank press conference will see president Mario Draghi field queries on the health and stability of the Eurozone economy.
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  • Article / 16 July 2015 at 5:02 GMT

    3 Numbers: Greek deal to dominate ECB statement, US jobs, US housing

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Greek deal to dominate ECB statement, US jobs, US housing
    There are many crucial issues on the table for today’s ECB announcement and follow-up press conference, although Greece remains the main contender. Across the Atlantic, US jobless claims are predicted to fall by 15,000 to a seasonally adjusted 282,000, while the Housing Market Index is expected to hold onto June's gains with a forecast for no change in the July reading.
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