United States
Biography
James Picerno is a freelance journalist/analyst who specializes in macroeconomics and investment strategy, including asset allocation, related academic research, and the analysis of ETFs, ETNs and mutual funds. Picerno is the author of Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks Ahead Of The Crowd (2014); and Dynamic Asset Allocation: Modern Portfolio Theory Updated For The Smart Investor (Bloomberg Press, 2010). He also edits The Capital Spectator (CapitalSpectator.com), a finance/economics blog that’s been quoted by a range of news organizations, including The Wall Street Journal, Reuters and others. His articles have appeared in a variety of publications over the years, including The Atlantic, Financial Advisor, BankRate.com, and HorsesMouth.com. Picerno has been writing about finance and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008.

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Write a Squawk to James Picerno
  • Article / Thursday at 8:00 GMT

    Morning Markets: March rate-hike odds jump to 44%

    Managing editor, TradingFloor.com / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Morning Markets: March rate-hike odds jump to 44%
    The possibility that the Fed might move on interest rates next month jumped on very strong inflation data out of the US and helped spur some safe-haven buying overnight, but with the Trump factor ever present, is May still the likelier bet for the next move in the cycle?
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  • Article / Wednesday at 5:53 GMT

    3 Numbers: Annual US consumer inflation on track to hit five-year high

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Annual US consumer inflation on track to hit five-year high
    The claimant count in the UK is likely to inch up for January, but with unemployment so low, the rise won't weigh on markets. In the US, annualised headline CPI should reach a five-year high. Meanwhile retail spending is expected to have slowed to a crawl in January, but the shopping trend should still hold at a moderate pace in year-on-year terms.
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  • 5d
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    That epitome of Britishness, Rolls Royce, has been hit for a record £4.6 billion loss as the post-Brexit slump in sterling and a £671 million penalty to...
    5d
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    Toshiba has bitten the bullet and finally unveiled it will take a $6.3bn writedown on massively overrunning costs on seven nuclear projects in the US. Company chairman...
  • Article / Tuesday at 5:58 GMT

    3 Numbers: Faster German GDP growth expected for Q4

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: Faster German GDP growth expected for Q4
    Economic releases in recent weeks for Germany continue to point to a stronger macro trend overall, as today’s Q4 GDP report is expected to reaffirm. Meanwhile, Germany's ZEW release is set to show sentiment falling slightly, while in the US, the Small Business Optimism Index is headed for a modest retreat after surging in December.
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  • Article / Monday at 8:00 GMT

    Morning Markets: Golfing away protectionism

    Saxo Bank
    Norway
    Morning Markets: Golfing away protectionism
    Japanese prime minister Shinzo's Abe trip to the US, including gruelling 27 holes of golf with the US president on Trump-owned courses, was seen easing financial markets' fears of a protectionist backlash. With the two leaders apparently hitting it off, the dollar firmed and the yen eased in a relief rally.
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  • Article / Monday at 6:06 GMT

    3 Numbers: US inflation expectations shift higher

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: US inflation expectations shift higher
    While 1970s-style robust price rises are a long way off for the US, there's no doubt that the Fed is going to have to push harder against rising inflation even if the odds are low for a near-term rate hike. Meanwhile, two stockmarkets that are on a tear are worth watching – the Brexit-inspired FTSE 100 and Argentina's much revived Merval.
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  • Article / 09 February 2017 at 6:00 GMT

    3 Numbers: German exports to show first decline in months in December

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: German exports to show first decline in months in December
    Rising protectionism in the US and a wider decline in the popularity of globalisation could put a spoke in the wheel of the German export machine. German exports in December should show an early sign of that emerging reality. In the US, jobless claims point to employment growth for the near term; today’s release will reaffirm that. In Britain, the pound’s Brexit-triggered decline against USD may have run its course.
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