Norway
Trading strategy
Short-term trend following/swing trading with maximum one-week holding period

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2 Followers
Write a Squawk to geirth
  • Squawk / 23 October 2018 at 5:44 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD- Capped by key average, points lower
    As expected Friday’s failure at the 13 day mvg avg proved important. With that point capping investor demand, selling interest was revived Monday with the resulting decline yielding our first downside target for the week, a 3rd down day from the last 4 and the most negative levels traded for 3 weeks. The scope of the decline means signals for sentiment are oversold, but allowing for a likely profit taking reaction, this morning’s call is bearish.
    So we Sell in 1.2965/70 area and at 1.2986
    Targets are 1.2933 and 1.2897
    Stop - 1.3018 bid
    Closes - 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    23 October
    JVKNL JVKNL
    :)
    23 October
    geirth geirth
    Just EU/Brexit noise. I reentered when stopped out and reduced the loss!
    23 October
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Well i did not as it is not in the trade idea but lets see what tomorrow brings :)
  • Squawk / 19 September 2018 at 5:40 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD, Capped by key averages, points lower
    Monday’s upside failure at the 100 day mvg avg proved important. Sellers emerged yesterday near those highs and resumed the solid decline posted last week. Last week's lows were retested and although the break below has yet to be confirmed, a close near the lows ensures that the technical bias is bearish.
    We look to Sell at 1.2965 and any 1.2990 rally
    Targets are 1.2929, 1.2887 or even 1.2855
    The risk is 1.3027 bid
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    19 September
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    bit a a bumpy ride but after triggering the 1.2990 sell, the 4pm close was modestly profitable. Fingers crossed the market is as kind tomorrow
    19 September
    geirth geirth
    Too much political noise in the markets these days!
  • Squawk / 18 September 2018 at 5:48 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Key Average to platform further gains.
    This week's report highlighted an underlying positive bias. That was confirmed yesterday as Friday’s downside failure at the 13 day mvg avg proved relevant. Buyers returned at that point with the resulting upside regaining Friday’s losses and producing a 5th up day from the last 6 trading days. EURUSD needs to clearly breach the 100 day line to confirm this move but sentiment is assessed as positive.
    We look to Buy at 1.1690 and any 1.1647 dip
    Targets are 1.1722, 1.1751 or even 1.1791
    The risk is 1.1618 offered
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    18 September
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    1.1722 target met. Stop to break even at the very worst.
    18 September
    geirth geirth
    First target hit today. Well done Alan.
  • Squawk / 06 September 2018 at 5:42 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Volatile, but positive bias.
    Trading was volatile yesterday. CABLE was sold to lower levels for a 4th day in a row but, after our bullish call was ‘stopped’ the expected buying interest emerged and took the market 2 big figures higher. The resulting highs were also not held and prices slipped back to the 13 day mvg avg. This volatility but only minor net movement means immediate signals for sentiment are weak and caution is needed. Nonetheless our intraday technical studies are positive and so;
    We look to Buy in 1.2900/05 area and at 1.2883
    Targets are 1.2944 and 1.2982
    The stop is 1.2828 offered
    Closes 4 pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    06 September
    geirth geirth
    Did it again Alan. 1. target already met!
  • Squawk / 04 September 2018 at 5:43 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Positive break of key average to continue
    The rally from last week's 2 month lows extended Monday. Friday’s upside break of the 13/100 day mvg avg proved important and a 3rd up day in a row was posted. The scope of these moves means immediate signals for sentiment are overbought but we currently look for profit taking setbacks to be temporary and limited.
    we look to Buy in 1.3095/3100 area and any 1.3076 dip
    Stop is 1.3044 offered
    Targets 1.3143 and 1.3160
    Closes 4 pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    04 September
    MSO MSO
    I will be surprised the day you make a non-profitable call, Alan. On the other hand, i hate surprises :-) Very well done!!!
    04 September
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    wish I was as good as that (would have retired by now) but thanks
    04 September
    MSO MSO
    Retirement is not an option, Alan. We need you here :-)....and with all the fun we have trading currencies what else would you do?
  • Squawk / 31 August 2018 at 5:38 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - Limited Rallies keep sentiment negative
    In line with yesterday's call, Wednesday’s aggressive negative reversal in sentiment deepened. This time net losses were modest but price action did sustain EURGBP beneath the key 13 day mvg avg. That fact, coupled with negative Keltner channels keeps our technical focus on the downside despite oversold extremes.
    We look to Sell at .8975 and .8988
    The stop is .9012 bid.
    Targets, .8653, .8939 or even .8913
    Closes 4 pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    31 August
    geirth geirth
    On target at closing. Well done Alan. Have a nice weekend!
    31 August
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    glad it worked for you. have a good one too
  • Squawk / 28 August 2018 at 5:38 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Key average to support buyers
    Against a background of positive weekly signals for sentiment, Friday’s tentative gains extended yesterday. Gains were not strong enough to regain Thursday’s decline but did ensure that CABLE stabilised above the 13 day mvg avg. Immediate technical studies are not strong but they are assessed as positive. Therefore, with caution until/unless last week's top is broken, our studies are positive.
    We look to Buy at 1.2870 and 1.2845
    Targets - 1.2902, 1.2938 or even 1.2961
    Stop 1.2811 offered
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    28 August
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Reducing some longs at 1.2893/94 rather than 02. Stop to 1.2861 offered. buy dip cancelled
    28 August
    geirth geirth
    Looking very good Alan. A magic limit around 1,29.
    28 August
    MSO MSO
    Welcome back, Alan!! Very well played!
  • Squawk / 15 August 2018 at 5:40 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Negative reversal through key average
    Tuesday’s report highlighted underlying positive sentiment but a lack of a buy signal. That proved justified as our Buy at 1.3073 was virtually the low of the day. USDCAD still found further selling at the end of the day in a move that took prices to test the 13 day line. That important point was only marginally breached but, despite minor gains in Asia, is enough to leave our intraday technical studies negative.
    We look to Sell in 1.3075/80 area and at 1.3105
    Stop is 1.3137 bid
    Targets, 1.3040, 1.3020 and 1.3000
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    16 August
    IL IL
    Thanks, :-) .....Yes I know,and the other website is http://www.talkmarkets.com/contributor/Gregor-Horvat/
    16 August
    Romanatrader Romanatrader
    I´m still short from yesterday and USD/CAD is going down....
    16 August
    MSO MSO
    Thanks Smottee and IL and all other contributors to this tread. It is like in the good ole days of Tradingfloor.com :-)
  • Squawk / 14 August 2018 at 5:37 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD, Tracking Keltner channel lower
    In line with this week's bearish call, early price action Monday saw EURUSD sold to the most negative point for 13 months. But the lows were not entirely maintained as some profit taking developed at oversold extremes. The rally was a weak one and a 3rd down day in a row was posted. Further rally attempts cannot be ruled out but sentiment is assessed as negative.
    We look to Sell in 1.1405/10 area and at 1.1433
    The stop is 1.1468 bid
    Targets - 1.1365, 1.1334 or even 1.1312
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    14 August
    marran marran
    annoyingly im not in this trade because of a bit of greed and trying to wait for a better price!
    14 August
    geirth geirth
    Home from holiday today, four weeks of relaxation :-) Started the day with this one, and still happy!
    14 August
    marran marran
    got in the trade late and have closed out a small profit, could have been better!! lol
  • Squawk / 11 July 2018 at 5:44 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Key average to attract sellers
    Although bought at higher levels yesterday, price action was muted in USDCAD. The market tested the 13 day mvg avg tentatively but failed to breach that important point. It is that factor combined with the underlying negative bias highlighted in this week's report that keeps our technical focus on the downside.
    Sell in .1.3137/42 area and any 1.3162 rally
    Stop is 1.3208 bid.
    Targets;1.3114, 1.3089 and 1.3063/65.
    Closing 4pm London time.
    Read the Squawk
    11 July
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    with the market marginally lower than both entry points but with momentum weak and the end of European time approaching, we suggest reducing exposure near 1.3130 with...
    11 July
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Timing! I take back what I said about momentum.
    11 July
    geirth geirth
    Very good Alan! All my positions in black, so far today!
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