United Kingdom
Trading strategy
Statistical hypothesis testing
Biography
Traded since 1992 using ;-
Quantitative bias over assorted time frames.
Real Time Trading Analysis for;
...Bayesian and Frequentist analysis
...FX ..cable and eur/usd only.
...Bond and near/far futures spreads
...Ultra Short Term Options
...Sale of Statistical Trading Models/Python (polygot data)
...Provision of Control trades for real time review/measurement
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407 Followers
Write a Squawk to fxtime
  • 30 December
    fxtime fxtime
    Hmmmm I seek 95-000 then a rally to 102-000 then utter collapse in this market as a 6mth projection fwiw.
  • Squawk / 21 November 2018 at 9:23 GMT
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    Slovenia
    hi, am I the only one not seing the data? are there some technical difficulties on the page or is it being under construction? If there are problems on the page, when will it be resolved? please help.
    Read the Squawk
    22 November
    JoeB JoeB
    Is there any other source we can use to see the FX open positions ?
    23 November
    Cat Cat
    I have looked on their new website. Its not as easy to find, but sometimes the analysts highlight changes to the report in their commentary. I...
    26 November
    Dominus Onceya Dominus Onceya
    @Cat Is the data showing on the new website or is it still blank?
  • 11 November
    fxtime fxtime
    FWIW I expect a max low at 95~350 then a rally to eventual 103~000

    Great chart of yours :-)
    11 November
    La tahzan La  tahzan
    hi,fxtime ! how are you?
    12 November
    fxtime fxtime
    Seems you have been busy keeping the site up todate :-)
  • Squawk / 07 November 2018 at 13:13 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    Why not try and post some technical analysis instead of swamping the site with promises; why not prove your so called economic prowess real time. Otherwise stop filling the site with your charlatan fake promises.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 17 October 2018 at 21:01 GMT
    -
    United Kingdom
    W42 #FX daily update:
    #JPY 1.66 %▲
    #GBP 1.15 %▼
    #USD 0.60 %▲
    #EUR -0.33 %▼
    #NZD -0.51 %▼
    #CAD -0.74 %▼
    #CHF -0.83 %▼
    #AUD -1.0 %▬
    #MOFuturesFX
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 25 September 2018 at 5:35 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Bullish Morning Star points higher
    Friday’s rejection of 5 month lows extended yesterday. With CHF weakening across the board profit taking took USDCHF back to the Marabuzo line created by Thursday’s strong decline. The move above that point, continued in Asia this morning, completed a Bullish Morning Star pattern on daily candle charts and, allowing for a reaction to Asian gains, this formation points higher.
    we look to buy at .9665 and .9644
    Targets .9685 and .9711
    Risk is .9613 offered
    Close 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    25 September
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Thanks for your comments fxtime. You're entirely correct. However I have to hold my hands up and say that I had a poor day in FX analysis...
    26 September
    fxtime fxtime
    We both have to provide the same service Alan and it can be a thankless task at times IMHO LOL.
    27 September
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Thats for sure mate. though I LOL less as the years pass by!
  • Squawk / 21 September 2018 at 14:13 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    Hi mate you ask about a twitter feed etc......sadly I have never considered it ! You can put your email address on one of my old TFloor posts to ensure your details are lost in the miasma of Tradingfloor articles... and i will get notification from Saxo and I can send a sample of my email stuff if that is of use?
    Read the Squawk
    21 September
    Coco84 Coco84
    Is it ok if I give it here? vlad.sandulescu@gmail.com
  • Article / 21 September 2018 at 7:55 GMT

    FX Update: Yen on an explosive trajectory

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    FX Update: Yen on an explosive trajectory
    The USD is weak and the Japanese yen is drastically weaker as rising bond yields are absorbed by the currency rather than JGB’s which can’t move if the BoJ is to make good on its policy. The situation is fraught with danger in both directions.
    Read the article
    02 November
    Jadira F. Norton Jadira F. Norton
    Dear John, Thank You For The Update///
    07 November
    fxtime fxtime
    This comment has been redacted
    11 January
    marksilvester marksilvester
    This article is extremely knowledgeable, do give it a read. Thank you so much, John Hardy, for such a great piece of information. Kindly write more such...
  • Squawk / 20 September 2018 at 19:35 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    If the site does indeed closedown or simply stop functioning (24th) then to all the regulars onsite that I have had the joy of meeting and learning from over the years may I wish you every success with your trading.
    As an off topic posting may I highlight the divergence on Bund to 10yr Notes yield disparity....@ 2.6% to put this into perspective when the Euro project started the spread on yield was thus far apart so seasoned spread/arbitrage traders out there may want to track this pair IMHO. Remember that we are trading opposing markets in the near term duration and that Notes have a greater rate of change so when building your 1:1 positional arbitrage account also for rates of change and simply skim your net gain. VIX can only remain at extremes for a certain length of time before an average range occurs bringing the VIX back to normal ranges.....I suspect that is the same between Bund and Bond ! Trade for yield normalisation or even faster price distortion.
    Read the Squawk
    20 September
    fxtime fxtime
    Have a great evening all and happy trading :-)
    21 September
    Coco84 Coco84
    Thanks for the tips! Do you have a twitter profile one could follow and keep in touch?
    21 September
    Crispee Crispee
    Thank you so much fxtime for all the great lessons and insightful articles to help me learn and get better.
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