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Followers
Write a Squawk to Coco84
  • 30 August
    Coco84 Coco84
    The thing I liked the most about the old morning call format (besides being more technical and slides based) was that it was on time every single...
    31 August
    Jadira F. Norton Jadira F. Norton
    Thank you John, greate update
    31 August
    Jadira F. Norton Jadira F. Norton
    Amazing///
  • Squawk / 09 August 2018 at 11:25 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Due to internal misunderstanding: just now became aware that this morning's FX Update didn't make it to this website. Will now squawk out the update in pieces.

    FX Update: NZD plunges on dovish RBNZ. GBP struggles
    RBNZ pushed its dovish guidance out into 2020, a move the market wasn’t expecting, and kiwi plunged to new lows for the cycle. Elsewhere, traders can’t figure out to do with the US dollar, while the Russian ruble was sent into a tailspin on new sanctions threats.
    The big dollar is flopping around with no conviction, perhaps merely owing to the increasingly low volatility summer doldrums in equity and bond markets and the lack of any of the incoming data on tap will do anything to shift expectations for the Fed’s policy trajectory. It’s a long wait for the late September Fed meeting (hike 91% priced anyway there) with the uncertainty premium greater for the December meeting – with another hike only priced at 65% odds. Elsewhere, plenty of volatility in individual currencies:
    Read the Squawk
    09 August
    Coco84 Coco84
    Any updates on the new home.saxo insights website? It was supposed to replace tradingfloor at the end of July. I see it's business as usual on tradingfloor...
    10 August
    marran marran
    good question Coco84 Saxo what is happening with the new site?
    10 August
    Forex Signals Forex Signals
    good
  • 31 July
    Coco84 Coco84
    Peter, you mention you have the monthly webinar tomorrow, however, I cannot find it on the website...
    31 July
    matsuri matsuri
    on oil - of course stocks data could change this but from the chart it seems as the floag formation and we tested the upper line again...
  • Article / 30 July 2018 at 14:17 GMT

    What's next for tech given Facebook's Q2 surprise?

    Head of Equity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    What's next for tech given Facebook's Q2 surprise?
    There are a plethora of risk factors looming over equity markets, from the Chinese slowdown to global policy tightening to trade war fears. Amidst all of this, however, the tech sector has continued to push stocks higher on the back of high growth rates and consistent earnings surprises. Can this continue, or was Facebook's Q2 report the canary in the coalmine?
    Read the article
    31 July
    Coco84 Coco84
    Is there an equity update webinar tomorrow?
  • Article / 30 July 2018 at 7:57 GMT

    COT: EUR long extends on Trump threat

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    COT: EUR long extends on Trump threat
    The long dollar trade continued apace in the week to July 24, albeit at a slower pace than the previous five weeks. Selling of JPY, GBP, CHF and AUD more than offset the 38% jump in the EUR net-long, which likely came in response to President Trump's attack on the strong greenback.
    Read the article
    30 July
    Coco84 Coco84
    Hi Ole, I am also following the COT report tool you have on tradingfloor: https://www.tradingfloor.com/tools/cftc-commitment-of-traders-report. However, I cannot match the numbers I see there with the ones...
    30 July
    Coco84 Coco84
    I am only referring here to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices
  • 06 July
    Coco84 Coco84
    What do you make of the data released today?
    06 July
    Coco84 Coco84
    The market went up in the past years whenever there was a drop in average hourly earnings...but there was no trade war talk back then.
    06 July
    Alan M Alan M
    At this point Im astounded at the lack of growth in Hourly earnings figures. I know I dont live in the US, so its impossible for me...
  • Squawk / 09 April 2018 at 7:34 GMT
    -
    Denmark
    Thanks for the very knowledgeable explanation on the NFP post. I'm a ML guy trying to get into this field, but I lack the economic knowledge and intuition. I am now looking into developing a reinforcement learning automatic trading algo to trade the major US indices. Could you please point me to some resources to fill in these gaps I have regarding the macro economic calendar news? Thanks :)
    Read the Squawk
    10 April
    Coco84 Coco84
    Thanks
    10 April
    kom75 kom75
    email sent:)
    10 April
    fxtime fxtime
    Thx Kom :-)
  • 10 April
    ChristianK ChristianK
    Choppy action last night. Let's see which way we are heading today....I also favor an uptrend in the near to medium term
    10 April
    ChristianK ChristianK
    Coco 84. Another way would be to move your stop loss every time you hit one of the targets. Pros and cons...
    18 April
    Kay Van-Petersen Kay Van-Petersen
    Trade View Update (Wed 18 Apr 18):
    On Monday 9 Apr 18, the MM book put on a controversial tactical long in the S&P futures, long from 2620,...
  • Squawk / 06 April 2018 at 12:43 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    US March Jobs Report: yawn. The headline grabber here is that the Nonfarm Payrolls Change missed badly with a +103k print vs. +185k expected and that the net revision to the prior two months' data was an ugly -50k. But if we average the last two data points (the February data revised up to +326k) we have a two-month average of over 200k. As much of the data going into this monthly report is assumed and massaged, this fails to have much significance, especially given other strong job market indicators elsewhere. The more important data point was the Average Hourly Earnings, which were in-line with expectations and still see earnings growth above 2.5%. All in all, tough to see any strong market takeaways on this in Fed expectations or USD terms, though equity traders might be emboldened by the lack of inflationary worries from this report.

    Next key USD-linked event risks are next Wednesday's US Mar. CPI (core expected at +2.1% YoY) and FOMC minutes, also up on Wednesday.
    Read the Squawk
    06 April
    Coco84 Coco84
    I'm still learning how to read these economic reports, most of the times they don't mean what I expect...
    06 April
    Coco84 Coco84
    Most of the time it seems to me the big funds do whatever they want with the market, regardless of these news
    08 April
    fxtime fxtime
    Coco84 perhaps the big firms already know the news before we do as they pay for it ? Remember also new jobs created is calculated from a...
  • Squawk / 21 March 2018 at 18:08 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    FOMC meeting: Fed raises rates and steepens the path of expected rate hikes for 2020 in dot plot, but not for the 2018 time frame. The longer term "terminal rate" seen relatively unchanged. The wording of the statement sees minor changes, with a small downgrade to observations for current state of economy, but confident sounding on eventual path. In accompanying materials, GDP forecast for 2018 and 2019 revised a bit higher, as was PCE core for 2019 and 2020 (to 2.1% from 2.0%). More to follow on market reaction -see comparison of statements (January to March) attached.
    Read the Squawk
    21 March
    Market Predator Market Predator
    It seems Mr. Hansen is right in his chart. Hike means Gold growth.
    21 March
    Coco84 Coco84
    not just the USD behaves the same as after the last Fed meeting, but all US indices look awfully similar to right before the correction
    22 March
    Herbata Herbata
    What I see from the dot plot is there is almost same probability of 3 and 4 rate hikes for the year. There's visible shift to slightly...
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