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  • Squawk / 14 hours ago
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    Bears Taking over EURUSD – Elliott wave Analysis by Gregor Horvat

    EURUSD has made a sharp drop in three waves from February highs which was expected, as we were tracking final stages of a bigger, bullish five-wave development as wave C. Wave C represents a final leg within a three-wave movement, meaning a change in trend can follow; also price unfolded five legs within wave C, which is another indication that bulls may eventually slow down and bears take over.

    See the full article here: https://www.fxexplained.co.uk/forex-articles/technical-analysis/bears-taking-over-eurusd-elliott-wave-analysis/
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  • Video / Yesterday at 7:29 GMT

    From the Floor: Markets haunted by trade war spectre

    #SaxoStrats
    Global markets are reeling this morning after the US president trumped his previously announced tariffs on $50bn worth of Chinese imports with the threat of another $200bn worth should the Chinese retaliate with penalties of their own on his initial tariffs. The heightened fear of a full-blown trade war has slammed into equities and EM currencies with the usual safe-haven assets – gold, bonds and the Swiss franc – gaining.
    watch video
  • Squawk / Monday at 8:39 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD re-energized bull trend; USDJPY bull breakout risk

    A more hawkish tone from the Fed alongside global trade war concerns have seen a return of US$ strength through mid-June.
    In our report here from 28th May we highlighted the USDCAD shift to an intermediate-term bull trend, which is now fully re-energized.
    For USDJPY we currently see an intermediate-term range theme defined as 111.08 to 108.08, but with a strong bias for a bull breakout above 111.08.

    See the full article here: https://www.forexfraud.com/technical-analysis/usdcad-re-energized-bull-trend-usdjpy-bull-breakout-risk
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    2d
    John Shaw John  Shaw
    Uncertainty in CAN - USA cross border trade is going to hang over the Loonie for awhile.
  • Squawk / Monday at 7:57 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    AUDUSD and NZDUSD bearish and negative themes resuming

    In our prior report here on AUDUSD and NZDUSD, we highlighted that the intermediate-term bear trends from early Q2 were under scrutiny, but subsequent AUDUSD and NZDUSD selloffs have maintained the intermediate-term negative themes.
    For AUDUSD the setback from now key .7677 resistance has sustained the intermediate-term bear theme, with risk for an extension below the May cycle low at .7410.
    For NZDUSD, we see an intermediate-term range environment defined by .6880 and .7095, but with risk skewed towards a surrender of.6880 for an intermediate-term bearish shift.

    See the full article here: https://www.forextraders.com/forex-charts/technical-analysis/audusd-and-nzdusd-bearish-and-negative-themes-resuming/
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  • Squawk / Monday at 7:29 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    Oil Prices Wait on Opec by Stephen Pope

    Crude is under pressure as the markets awaits Opec
    It holds our attention as Opec produces 40% of the world’s total crude oil
    The Saudis and Russian’s both see a need to raise production
    President Trump has blamed Opec for recent price spikes
    Prices are set to be quiet until Thursday and Friday

    See the full article here: https://www.fxexplained.co.uk/forex-articles/technical-analysis/oil-prices-wait-on-opec/
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  • Squawk / 11 June 2018 at 7:05 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    NZDUSD and AUDUSD bear trends negated and under threat

    Despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties (Italian and EU politics and particularly a looming trade war), global asset classes have shifted back to a “risk on” environment in early June, led by equities rallying.
    In our article published 20th May we highlighted AUDUSD and NZDUSD intermediate-term bear trends, BUT these have been questioned by early June rallies.
    For NZDUSD, the push above .7052 shifted the intermediate-term view to range (.6880 to .7095) BUT with risk for a push above .7095 for an intermediate-term bullish shift.
    For AUDUSD we still see an intermediate-term bear trend, BUT the very strong June risk for a shift back to neutral above .7678 and even to bullish above .7813.

    See the full article with video here: https://www.forexfraud.com/technical-analysis/nzdusd-and-audusd-bear-trends-negated-and-under-threat
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  • Squawk / 07 June 2018 at 5:55 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    CADJPY Could Face A Sharp Drop Soon by Gregor Horvat

    CADJPY has five waves down and three waves up, which is an ideal pattern for a bearish set-up.

    At the end of May, we have seen a sharp and impulsive drop with five waves and as we know after every five waves, a three-wave correction follows. As you can see, a three-wave A-B-C correction can be in final stages, right at ideal resistance zone around 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. So, be aware of a drop, either from here or from slightly higher levels around 86 area and 78,6% Fibonacci retracement. We remain bearish as long as it’s trading below 87.08 invalidation level.

    For a more in depth analysis please go here: https://www.fxexplained.co.uk/forex-articles/technical-analysis/cadjpy-could-face-a-sharp-drop-soon/
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  • Squawk / 04 June 2018 at 6:57 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD still an intermediate-term up trend; USDJPY set to ease bear forces

    In a prior report, we highlighted the USDCAD resumption of an intermediate-term bull trend after the bullish shift above 1.2944.
    A slight shift back towards more of a “risk on” outlook for global asset classes has seen USDJPY attempt to rebound, after a shift from intermediate-term bullish to bearish into latter May.

    See the full article with video here: https://www.forextraders.com/forex-charts/technical-analysis/usdcad-still-an-intermediate-term-up-trend-usdjpy-set-to-ease-bear-forces/
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  • Squawk / 04 June 2018 at 6:51 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD and GBPUSD upside corrections of intermediate-term bear trends

    Both EURUSD and GBPUSD remain within intermediate-term bear trends, as highlighted in our last article.
    However, late May EURUSD rebound effort has setup and upside correction tone, but the i0t bear trend is only neutralised above 1.1996.
    For GPUSD, we still see the intermediate-term bear trend, but the immediate bias is for an early June rebound, but the intermediate term trend only shifts back to neutral through 1.3618.

    See the full article with video here: https://www.forexfraud.com/technical-analysis/eurusd-and-gbpusd-upside-corrections-of-intermediate-term-bear-trends
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