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  • Editor’s Picks / 12 May 2016 at 0:19 GMT

    Time to reform the economy or risk crisis, says Beijing leadership

    South China Morning Post
    An article published in a Communist Party mouthpiece is a clear sign that China’s top leadership is unhappy with debt-driven growth. Thanks to opaque policy and decision-making, investors, economists and foreign officials are accustomed to nuanced messages about China’s economy. The latest, an article in the People’s Daily, is a signal that top Beijing officials want to change course from reliance on debt to fuel growth because they believe it could lead to systemic financial risks. According to the article, the world’s second-largest economy is set to enter a so-called L-shaped recovery trajectory for a few years and it is unrealistic to expect any rebound.
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  • Editor’s Picks / 21 April 2016 at 22:59 GMT

    Don't be fooled by professional jargon, herd-like thinking
    Investment terms such as ‘defensive’, ‘growth’ and ‘risk’ are used heavily by professionals and retail investors alike, but these words can be misleading as they depend on the context and investors’ goals. In my view, many institutional investors follow herd-type thinking, without robust logic, because everyone before them followed the same line of thought. Much of what is preached is not robust enough in my view and I am not alone in my scepticism, though certainly in a minority. The investment community is prone to putting concepts into neat little boxes, which does not work because investing is more of an art than a science, despite the continued attempts to make it a more predictable subject.
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  • Squawk / 26 December 2015 at 20:39 GMT
    Senior Analyst /
    Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
    Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (December 28 - 31, 2015)

    Dominant bias: Bullish
    EURUSD moved upwards 100 pips last week, still showing determination to go further upwards. The market would experience some equilibrium movement this week, owing to thin activities in the markets, but possibilities of surprise movements cannot be ruled out (especially on some other EUR pairs like EURAUD, EURNZD, etc.). Bulls might target the resistance lines at 1.1000 and 1.1050 this week.

    Dominant bias: Bearish
    This pair did not make any significant movement last week, and it is more likely that the sideways movement would continue this week; which could make the bias on the market turn neutral. There are support levels at 0.9850 and 0.9800. On the other hand, there are resistance levels at 0.9950 and 1.0000.

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  • Editor’s Picks / 25 November 2015 at 2:54 GMT

    Bargain hunters bet on a commodities rebound

    Nikkei Asian Review
    The Thomson Reuters/CoreCommodity CRB Index, which tracks global resources prices, is hovering at its lowest point in a decade. Industry players are scaling back supply, with Glencore announcing a cut in copper output. But some investors, especially those with high risk tolerance, see an opportunity in plummeting commodities prices. US exchange-traded funds targeting energy businesses attracted $400 million in October, a tenfold jump on the month, Nomura Securities said. Some ETF buyers apparently anticipate a recovery in resources stocks in the long term. Natural resources stocks have hit bottom, said Fidelity International's Sean Molony, who upgraded his recommendation for energy businesses from "hold" to "buy" this month.
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  • Editor’s Picks / 16 June 2015 at 4:23 GMT

    Gold price tipped to climb on Grexit fears

    The Sydney Morning Herald
    The gold price is tipped to rise as investors use the precious metal as a hedge against fallout from Greece's debt crisis. Gold has been trading at about $1180/oz for the last week, and between $1170/oz and $1210/oz for months despite a strengthening US dollar. But it could climb as investors attempt to mitigate the risks of a possible Grexit if Athens defaults on its debt mountain. A Greek exit is also likely to prompt a fall in the euro, a flight to German bonds, a sharp selloff in European equity markets and a $233 billion loss for France and Germany.
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  • Article / 10 July 2014 at 10:38 GMT

    Geopolitical risk - does it matter?

    Chief Economist & CIO / Saxo Bank
    Geopolitical risk - does it matter?
    Geopolitical risk is one of life's constants and some corner or other of this planet is subject to escalating tensions at any given moment. But the very fact that it is ever present means that from an investment perspective geopolitical risk doesn't matter and shouldn't matter in the long term.
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