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Ole Hansen
Join Saxo Bank's head of commodity strategy Ole Hansen for the latest market analysis following US president Donald Trump’s failure to get his healthcare reform plans through Congress. Does it sow seeds of doubt for other campaign promises such as big infrastructure spending?
Squawk / 15 June 2016 at 9:36 GMT
Consultant in Derivatives and Commodity Specialist / Manor Derivatives(Consulting) Ltd
United Kingdom
You think Cable might have a pop at 1.43 again today...........some positive chart patterns short term?
15 June
fxtime fxtime
Certainly the 1.4280 area but I intend to fade the trade on anything above that level.
15 June
Neil D Neil D
yes absolutely agree..........was over your way y'day, visited Cotehele- impressive place!
15 June
fxtime fxtime
How long you over here for?
15 June
Neil D Neil D
Prob go back Sunday............my son arriving today-he works for FCStone on the bullion side
15 June
fxtime fxtime
Wow !! Guess for Fathers day you will get a ingot then ? If you are bored Thurs/Fri Morning let me know and I can meet you half way etc.
15 June
Neil D Neil D
Thanks would be great to meet, but think am gonna be too busy.......all the family will be here by then
15 June
fxtime fxtime
No probs...I am booked in the afternoons/evenings and like you family commitments too.
15 June
fxtime fxtime
When I fade the cable I will long the eurgbp....cable should move faster than the euro etc etc thus eurgbp should rally in comparison due to the rates of change imbalances.
15 June
Neil D Neil D
sounds sensible :-)..........am thinking of buying Taylor Wimpey here..........they had great figs recently plus expecting to return special divs ongoing, now about 20% dwn cos of Brexit bollox. I think overall this sector is taking too big a hit and Brexit now built into this price move
15 June
fxtime fxtime
If via a CFD most providers are demanding 50% margin but can see the trade and sees a solid punt imho. I try and avoid equities for short term plays unless a sipp....I only have Lonmin from 29p and BHP at 799p (as of yesterday !) and banks look a possibility too but Barc is the only possibility....usually I seek a stake equal to covering costs etc with a 1p equity movement. So 10,000 equity minimum = £100pp earnings
If I am saying the absolute obvious feel free to tell me to shut up LOL.
Index and Forex option premiums seem expensive so housing sector is probably a good play tbh. I will probably simply open a sell OTM call to open option nearer the event. High risk but returns could be immense as premiums seem too inflated.
15 June
Neil D Neil D
Might be better to do a covered call strategy and gain some extra from the premia................banks I find it hard to look at seriously as their numbers/status are still so much in debate, they will only be of interest to me if they form tech breakouts from now on
15 June
fxtime fxtime
yeah cov call would work well...looking at my Lonmin holdings....I can't believe the costs that company must have incurred with its recent funding. I bought 10k x 29p equity via my sipp and took advantage of the max 1p offering to share holders which amazingly took me to a total permitted holding of 460,000 equity then they revised their equity listing downwards with 1 for every 100 held bringing me down to only 4600 stock holding ...thankfully inbetween the adjustment period I managed to accrue enough stock to get me back to the 10,000 equity holding. That has been one messy stock holding for me....thankfully easilly in a hearty profit but is one of the reasons why buying stocks can be a real pain LOL. Average B/E is 21p currently though....kicking myself for not taking more risk now as it has a value of 171p currently. Hindsight can be a real pain sometimes.
15 June
Neil D Neil D
lol yeah all hindsight trading is futile.......waste of emotional energy- says he who has done it often enough!!

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