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US president Donald Trump's bid to get his way on key areas of the economy faces an important litmus test Thursday as Obamacare goes before the Senate and a failure to get the repeal through could have significant implications for the Trumpflation trade and the dollar.
Squawk / 18 September 2016 at 17:19 GMT
Trader, Analyst / Individual Trader
Poland
WEEK 38 (19.09.2016 - 25.09.2016) [EURUSD][FUS500][USDJPY]

EURUSD finished the week around projected area, almost touched my target 1.1146. Sadly it happened on thin market, that is why I cannot tell anything about significance of the resistance.
The beginning of next week might not tell us more as any PA could be overshadowed by the incoming FOMC.

In globalised world and interconnected economies divergence in monetary policy cannot last more than short term.
We either get rate hike, economic boom in the US and the rest of the world(that would also mean tapering in Euro zone) or no rate hike, slowing US economy and higher chances of QE expansion in Euro zone.

I see USD weakening in both scenarios as divergence gap in mon pol would decline.

Short Term: Waiting for FOMC
Medium Term: 1.0480-90
Long Term: None

FUS500
Short Term: Waiting for FOMC
Medium Term: 2080-90
Long Term: Lower limit 1875

USDJPY
Short Term: Waiting for FOMC
Medium Term: None
Long Term: Lower limit 98.60-70

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