Article / 03 October 2016 at 14:30 GMT

Volatility Update: How to insure your portfolio against market swings

Product Manager Futures and Options / Saxo Bank
Denmark
  • 'Insurance' against market volatility can be purchased through options
  • Cost of position protection ultimately fairly cheap given value
  • Several strategies exist to protect single positions or whole portfolios

High water everywhere
Markets might be volatile, but the value of your portfolio does not have to 
rise and fall with the market's waves. Photo: iStock 

By Georgio Stoev


For all of us holding risky assets, i.e. stocks, ETFs and even bonds, the time to insure your portfolio against market uncertainties is now. But what is insurance? It's the life vest that you put on when in you're at sea, the seatbelts you wrap around yourself and your loved ones when driving, the arrangement that our bank asks us to make before taking on a mortgage. Insurance is a precaution and a gesture towards security.

So how is it that we do not carry an insurance policy on the hard-earned money we have invested in stocks, bonds and alternatives? 

Uncharted territory

Equities, and particularly US stocks, are up nearly 100% since the $68.92 low touched by the SPY S&P 500 ETF (shown in grey) on February 23, 2009. Over the same period, US Treasury bonds (shown in orange) are up 65% as the global low- and negative-rate environment continues to prompt demand. 

Moreover, TLT has outperformed the US benchmark by more than 50% over the last 10 years! 

markets 5 years
Source: Bloomberg

The coupling of bonds and equities is extraordinary; it's something that really should not happen. With this, we are in uncharted territory. What did Christopher Columbus, Lewis and Clark, and many other explorers rely on when they went on to explore the unknown? They had experience and they relied on their senses. For average investors, it's hard enough to process all the information in the marketplace let alone make a prudent decision. 

Here are three simple steps you can take:

  1. Diversify across asset classes: equities, bonds, cash, alternatives (commodities, options, real estate) and so on.
  1. Have a plan in place: when markets are bullish we seldom think about exits. Set up your investment goals and stick to your plan during times of market volatility.
  1. Learn to use options: options can be used in variety of ways. Unlike conventional assets such as stocks and bonds that give you a linear exposure to the market, with options you can place time and volatility on your side. Below are three straightforward strategies that you should consider using...

Strategy No. 1: the protective put 

Also referred to as a "married put", the strategy consists of a long stock position in combination with a long put. It is a classic hedge strategy.

There are number of way to step into an options strategy and this one is no exception. There are two basic questions to ask yourself here at all times... "how much time I want to be covered for?" and "what is the value I want to be covered for?" 

The answers will determine the terms of your insurance.

Protective Put















Source: WeeklyOptionsLab Webinar No. 6

You can buy the protection for that stock at the time of entry or at any time you feel uncertain about your stock(s). For the above example, the investor buys insurance at the time of purchase of the underlying stock. An investment of $4,200 is protected with a premium of $155 ($1.55 x 100 shares) for 60 days! 

Crunch the numbers and you have a guaranteed exit at $42 for about a 3.5% fee and you can enjoy all the upside in the stock.

Caught in the rain?

While a protective put does provide insurance for a stock or portfolio, it comes at a cost. The cost is determined by the market forces of supply and demand. When volatility – the price risk –in the market increases, investors will look for insurance, and just like the price of umbrellas on a rainy day, the premium in protective puts will be up. 

Strategy No. 2: The enhancer "covered call"

Last week we described this strategy in detail with this trade ideaHere's the rundown: What it boils down to is your degree of intimacy with the stock you own. Whether you are married to a winner or a loser, separation can be hard. A wise friend once said "don't fall in love with stocks; Instead love your wife and children."

Here's when you should consider the covered call:

  • You are moderately bullish on the stock you own (no extremes here).
  • You're OK with departing at a predetermined price.
  • When setting a ceiling (or sell price) on your stock price
covered call
 















Source: Saxo Bank

Selling a covered call against a stock you own is a simple and effective way to enhance the return of a stock position. It's important to note that this strategy does not increase the risk in your stock (red-dotted line); in fact, by receiving premium – $0.39 in the above example – the investor is able to reduce their cost basis in that position down to $28.42. 

So you have improved your cost basis and hence slightly limited the maximum possible loss in a stock!

Consistent long-term performance

Earlier we mentioned that options could be use as variations, and the covered call is no exception. If an investor believed that a stock could rise 2-3% or more in the next 30 days, they could sell a call options reflecting that expectation. The further out-of-the-money, the less premium that investor will collect... but the more upside on the underlying stock. 

Below is a graph of the Chicago Board Options Exchange S&P 500 2% OTM Buy/Write Index (BXY), which systematically employs a 2% out-of-the-money call on the S&P 500:

CBOE BXY
 

Strategy No. 3: happy when it's up, calm when it's down (the collar) 

As with other option strategies, the collar can be structured in variety of ways all depending on how much exposure or protection one wants to have. In this respect, the strategy truly is a collar in the same sense as the one around your neck. Depending on the occasion, you can button up that shirt or let it loose!

The collar is composed of three elements: long stock, short call, and long put. And while the protective put insures that the airbag will deploy in case of a collision, the covered call will finance that insurance for no money out of pocket, or in the below case for a credit. 

Suppose you own shares of Facebook that you recently purchased at $127. If you purchased in the past with a lower cost basis, perhaps you have more at stake here as you have accumulated profits but only on paper. Profits can easily slip away if we don't protect them. 

Long 100 shares of Facebook at $127 (net investment of $12,700)

Short 1 Facebook 130 Call at $4 => money coming into your account
Long 1 Facebook 120 Put at $2  =>    money leaving your account

The net effect of selling  a covered call and buying a protective put produces a credit (money coming in) of $2 ($4 minus $2). The $2 for every share you own of Facebook reduces your cost basis from $127 to $125. 

This is also the point at which you don't make money or lose money (breakeven). So you might be happy to make $5/share if shares of Facebook reach $130 at expiration and/or you could be calm if market turns for the worse and goes down in flames. 

Your loss is limited to $5 per share. All at no cost.


the collar
 
















Create your own charts with SaxoTraderGO click here to learn more

Source: Saxo Bank

Investors can use collars to insure both single positions and whole portfolios. Suppose a portfolio worth $500,000, for instance, mostly consists of US blue chip stocks (investors in Europe might want to use the EuroStoxx50 index in a similar fashion)...

Using the CBOE SPX (S&P 500), investors could hedge their blue chip US portfolio by purchasing a protective put on the index. At the index's current level of 2,160, a November 2,100 put that is roughly 3% below the current levels of the S&P 500 will cost $26 or $2,600. 

But how much protection would one contract provide? 

Knowing the contract size will help you determine the coverage needed. At levels of 2,100, one SPX put option will provide $210,000 (2100 x $100) worth of notional value. Therefore, three contracts November 2100 puts will provide a notional value of $630,000. 

The same could be applied to a portfolio consisting of European equities – just find out what the multiplier is. On the Saxo Trader platform, the contract size information is displayed on the trade ticket. For the Eurostoxx 50, that multiplier is 10. 

The same calculations are applied here:

Portfolio Size/ Strike Price x Multiplier  or $500,000 / 2900 x 10 = 17 contracts

Insurance is relatively cheap

With volatility at historically low levels (and equities, bonds, real estate, and more near all-time high) it costs very little to insure a stock or portfolio using any of the above strategies. A small cost for sleeping well and night and making sure you spend more time with the people you love.

The alternative...
Or else you could always stay up worrying about the overseas sessions... Photo: iStock 

— Edited by Michael McKenna

Georgio Stoev is futures and options product manager at Saxo Bank 
03 October
AlexF AlexF
Will read that one tonite !
03 October
Patrice Henault Patrice Henault
Everything you need to know to start trading options is here!
Read it!
03 October
AlexF AlexF
Hi Giorgio I guess the collar strategy does not work for index right ? I my portfolio is about 150000 of a mix of US/eur equities how would you go for a covered call you would need to buy on top the index and then short the call...? Basically question is collar strategy only for sigle position cannot do one for a complete portfolio ?
03 October
AlexF AlexF
Only thing is a protective put ?
03 October
Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
Of course it does Alex, you could finance the purchase of your index protective put by selling a call in the index or a short call spread, to hedge the risk to the upside. Roll that collar every 40-50 days.
03 October
AlexF AlexF
I think I got it. Could you do please an example on SPY (5 contracts to cover 100 000 USD) long put 210 and short call 220 ? December 2016 Does that sound right ? Cause SPX would cover 210 000 USD.
Relevant articles for you

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Tradingfloor.com permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Tradingfloor.com and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Tradingfloor.com is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Tradingfloor.com or as a result of the use of the Tradingfloor.com. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. When trading through Tradingfloor.com your contracting Saxo Bank Group entity will be the counterparty to any trading entered into by you. Tradingfloor.com does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of ourtrading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws. Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Invetment Research
- Full disclaimer

Check your inbox for a mail from us to fully activate your profile. No mail? Have us re-send your verification mail