Day trade
Trade view / 07 March 2018 at 8:29 GMT

USDCAD correcting lower from the 161.8% Fibonacci

Analyst / PIA First
United Kingdom
Instrument: USDCAD
Price target: 1.2810
Market price: 1.2924

The dollar moved lower and equity markets came under fresh selling pressure as US futures declined by over 1.0%. There were renewed declines in oil prices as risk appetite deteriorated with the Canadian dollar also under pressure again

The Canadian PMI index strengthened to 59.6 for February from 55.2 the previous month which helped underpin confidence in the outlook.

The Canadian dollar was still subjected to very choppy trading with sharp gains as USDCAD retreated from the key 1.3000 level. The pair hit lows near 1.2865 before rallying back above 1.2900 as trade fears persisted. Reports of Cohn’s resignation were important in undermining the Canadian dollar with USDCAD around 1.2930 ahead of the Bank of Canada rate decision later in the day 


The 161.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 1.2961 from 1.2247 to 1.2688.
Broke the sequence of six positive daily performances. 
Selling posted in Asia. 
We have a 38.2% Fibonacci pullback level of 1.2792 from 1.2247 to 1.2688. 
Bespoke support is located at 1.2805. 
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. 

USDCAD four-hour chart
Source: Saxo Bank

Management and risk description


If stop or target levels are not reached, traded price at 21:00hrs (UK time) or in the case of Asian/Pacific ideas 16:00 hrs (UK time) the following day, will be used as a closing level for performance analysis. 

Entry: Intraday – we look to sell at 1.2950


Target: 1.2810

— Edited by Clare MacCarthy

Non-independent investment research disclaimer applies. Read more
A compiled overview of Trade Views provided on is found here
07 March
Edgaras Edgaras
Ian, will you keep pending sell trough BOC decision?
07 March
Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
technically sound... I think we might just shoot down to the target level first ... lets see
07 March
Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
cancelling the trade view
07 March
Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
Missed it by 9 pips..... not worth the risk now
07 March
Edgaras Edgaras
thank you for update :)
09 March
Edgaras Edgaras
Hello Ian, Have you brought CAD?
09 March
Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
PIA First has bought on an intraday basis


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