Article / 18 August 2016 at 23:38 GMT

US Market Wrap: US dollar in full retreat

FX Trade Strategist /


  • Nothing of note 

US Data released:

  • Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing survey (Actual 2.0 vs forecast 2.0) 
  • Initial Jobless Claims (Actual262,000 vs. forecast 265,000)

New York traders sold EURUSD at the open but quickly came to their senses and bought the single currency, driving it to 1.1370 from 1.1305.

A similar move occurred in USDJPY. Traders rejected an early move towards 100.50 and drove it below 100.00 to a low of 99.85 where it spent most of the afternoon. 

Sterling managed to hand on to all of it’s European session gains and GBPUSD closed at 1.3160.

Yesterday’s Federal Open Market Committee minutes didn’t provide any confidence that US rates were going higher. Today, San Francisco Federal Reserve President John Williams tried to change that sentiment. 

He said in a speech; "We're at full employment, and inflation is well within sight of, and on track to reach, our target," he said. "Under these conditions, it makes sense for the Fed to gradually move interest rates toward more normal levels."

Oil traders couldn’t get enough oil. WTI started the day in New York at $46.85/barrel and climbed steadily to $46.32/b. The weak dollar and doveish FOMC expectations fueled the move. 

Traders ignored comments by Nigeria’s oil minister stating that “production cuts are unlikely” to be announced at the Algiers meeting in September.

US equity indices were flat on the day.

 Post the FOMC minutes, traders were keen on the EUR overnight, driving it higher. Photo: Flickr


A quick snapshot of the FX majors can be found in Saxo Bank Head of FX Strategy, John Hardy"s note: FX Board: USD fibrillating in pivotal area

-- Edited by Adam Courtenay

Michael O'Neill is an FX consultant at IFXA Ltd. Follow Mike or post your comment below to
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