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Video / 13 February 2017 at 9:28 GMT

Trading tips week 7 - technical analysis: Kim

James Kim@Saxo
James Kim, sales trader at Saxo Capital Markets, Australia, examines trading strategies during week 7 in a technical analysis of charts for forex, indices, and commodities.

Kim looks at trends in the US dollar index, and pairs including EURUSD and AUDUSD.

He also looks at Nikkei Futures and AUS200.i.
Kim also examines WTI crude oil, copper and gold.

James Kim's technical analysis is featured every Monday on TradingFloor.
14 February
Morris Morris
Hi! JK. I made a request of RSI on all the charts sometime ago? On the USD are you short term bull and long term bear and vice versa on the EUR/USD? The two charts looks more inverse of each other? Your Response please?
14 February
Saxo Capital Markets (Australia) Saxo Capital Markets (Australia)
Hi Morris, sorry, did you request for the RSI on all the charts I perform an analysis on?

Re. DXY: Currently it is upside corrective. 102.05 needs to clear for cautious outlook to be neutralized as a failure here (or even at 101.51) raises the probability of that H&S reversal speculation. Should my suspicions prove correct, down side targets are ~97 followed by ~95 where an amazing buy opportunity will present itself.

Long term I am bullish the DXY. The moves we saw in Nov / Dec 2016 confirms the direction. I am targeting 109.49 as per my last Week Ahead presentation of 2016.

Re. EURO: If you go back into history and see the tops over the Euro, you notice classical "blow off" tops which signals the top of the range. The recent top in the Euro at 1.0828 does not signal this hence I do think we have one more leg to the topside and watch 1.0942 as a key level for the Euro to fail. A failure here could signal the start of the next higher moves for the DXY. Time will tell.
14 February
Morris Morris
That was in November 2016 I made the request. They do not necessarily have to be your focus but one can refer to if needs be. You are talking about possible sHs on USD index and inverse sHs on EUR/USD.
14 February
James Kim@Saxo James Kim@Saxo
Apologies if I missed this request. I do use RSI in my analysis however only if its signicicant. I.e. in Sept of 2016 I was highlighting the divergence in the RSI over the USDJPY (https://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/trading-tips-week-39-technical-analysis-8087738) and whilst the market was calling for a sell, the RSI painted a different picture

I actually haven't highlighted an inverse H&S on the EURO actually, where do you see me covering this?
14 February
Morris Morris
The Daily graphs of the USD index and EUR/USD suggest potential sHs and Inverse sHs. Unless my imagination is running away with me? Pls look at the graphs more carefully. Thanks
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