Outrageous Prediction: USDJPY heads to 60.00
The Liberal Democratic Party comes back into power with its supposedly JPY-punishing agenda. But the reality of office, an uncooperative parliament and resistance from the Bank of Japan, mean that only half-measures are introduced. Meanwhile, the market has become over-enamoured with the potential for LDP leadership to bring about change and over-positioned for JPY weakness. As the market loses its enthusiasm for global quantitative easing and risk appetite retrenches, the yen vaults to the fore again for a time as the world’s strongest currency due to deflation and repatriation of investments, and carry trades find themselves turned on their head. USDJPY heads as low as 60.00 and other JPY crosses head even more violently lower, ironically
paving the way for the LDP government and the BoJ to reach for those more radical measures aimed at weakening the yen.