Article / 25 July 2017 at 7:00 GMT

Morning Markets: Crude oil gains as Saudis pledge to axe exports

Consulting editor / TradingFloor
Norway







MM TABLE

 











Watchlist

  • France: Monthly business survey - goods-producing industries (0645 GMT)
  • Germany: Ifo business climate index (0800 GMT)
  • UK: CBI industrial trends survey (1000 GMT)
  • US: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller indices (1300 GMT)
  • US: Consumer confidence index (1400 GMT)
  • US: Richmond Fed manufacturing index (1400 GMT)


Crude oil prices extended gains in Asian trading on Tuesday after the world's top producer, Saudi Arabia, said it would go beyond production cuts and reduce its exports in a bid to tighten the market, which is awash with supplies.

Saudi energy minister Khalid Al-Falih said the kingdom would limit exports to 6.6 million barrels/day in August, 1 million lower than a year earlier. The deal implemented by Opec and some non-Opec oil producers since January 1 has focused on production cuts rather than exports, and plentiful supplies have kept oil prices under pressure this year.

WTI crude recovered to above $46/barrel, and Brent approached $49/b.

US stocks ended mixed on Monday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq rising 0.4% to a new record-high close of 6,410.81 points, while the Dow and S&P500 ended with small losses.

Asia-Pacific bourses were also mixed on Tuesday, with Australia's ASX gaining about 1%, while Japan's Nikkei and Hong Kong's Hang Seng were slightly negative, and the Shanghai Composite was down about 0.3%.

In a big week for US tech company earnings reports, shares in Google's parent Alphabet slid 3% in after-hours trading on Monday after the group reported second-quarter profits hit by a record $2.7 billion European Commission fine. Revenues were in line with expectations, while the search giant's earnings narrowly beat analysts' estimates.

Markets keenly await the outcome of Wednesday's policy meeting at the US Federal Reserve.


Market signals

Asian session

  • Nasdaq hit a high overnight ahead of a week of technology stock earnings
  • Alphabet fell more than 3.2% in after-hours trading on its earnings release
  • Trump's unfulfilled promises prompted the IMF to cut US growth forecast for 2017
  • IMF also cut UK growth forecast to just 1.7% from 2%
  • BoJ's monetary policy meeting minutes showed members agreed to keep policy easy 
  • This was because the central bank's 2% inflation target remained distant
  • Oil continued its overnight rise on news that Saudi Arabia will cut exports in August
  • Fellow Opec member Nigeria also agreed to cap crude production
  • South Korean semiconductor maker SK Hynix reported record Q2 operating profits
  • Most Asian stock markets slipped, while Australia's ASX rebounded from Monday's tumble
  • Korea's Kospi Composite was down 0.11% to 2,448.80 at 0508 GMT
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng was off 0.01% to 26,843.51 at 0529 GMT
  • The Shanghai Composite was down by 0.04% to 3,249.21 at 0529 GMT
  • Japan's Nikkei 225 gave up early gains; it was down 0.03% to 19,968.92 at 0508 GMT
  • Australia's S&P/ASX200 was up by a solid 0.94% to 5,741.30 at 0525 GMT
  • Aussie miner Rio Tinto faces a UK Serious Fraud Office probe over dealings in Guinea

Forex ahead

  • AUD edged higher; it was worth 0.7936 at 0526 GMT
  • The flagging USD fell against the yen; it was worth just ¥111.0430 at 0527 GMT


In opinion

1..2..3
Today’s survey data is on track to reaffirm that Britain’s manufacturing sector continues to expand at a healthy pace, says James Picerno.

Iron ore strengthens
Spot iron ore prices pushed higher, despite losses on futures markets in China, though the gains were limited, explain Saxo's Sydney trading team.

Dollar firms
The USD firmed overnight following recent uncertainty about the White House's ability to pass its key policy proposals in Congress, write Saxo's Singapore trading team.

Zooming car debt
UK car sales are soaring, and there are clear risks in the car industry’s growing reliance on personal contract purchase (PCP) lending, writes Stephen Pope.


German Ruhr area in Bottrop

 Germany's industrial Ruhr area. Today's macroeconomic data includes the 
Ifo business climate indicator for the EU's top economy. Photo: Shutterstock

Morning Markets goes out on the TradingFloor platform at 0700 GMT, Monday to Friday.
Click here
to make sure you're up to date with the latest developments.

2y
Patto Patto
A good summary............But what's happened to John Hardy's postings ? Has he left Saxo ? In his place there seems to be a tedious stream of system-generated trading rec. squawks from Ian Coleman.......
2y
John G Acher John G Acher
Have no fear. Mr Hardy will be back before long.

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Tradingfloor.com permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Tradingfloor.com and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Tradingfloor.com is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Tradingfloor.com or as a result of the use of the Tradingfloor.com. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. When trading through Tradingfloor.com your contracting Saxo Bank Group entity will be the counterparty to any trading entered into by you. Tradingfloor.com does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of ourtrading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws. Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Invetment Research
- Full disclaimer

Check your inbox for a mail from us to fully activate your profile. No mail? Have us re-send your verification mail