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John J Hardy
How will US president Donald Trump’s plans to repeal healthcare legislation affect the markets in the coming week? Saxo Bank’s head of FX strategy John Hardy explains.
Squawk / 01 August 2016 at 3:03 GMT
i so you are shot sp500 , i think it can go to 2 220 , 2300, could have a correction , but at list it ..i think the big correction is arrows this point
01 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i know you like statistic. in a elections for presidents the markets alway go up , is a special time , and i think the big correction is going to come one month before the election , or after the election , why one month before , because clinton have a lot of probability to lose---is only a think..i could be wrong
01 August
fxtime fxtime
Agree we could go to 2200 and now seems highly likely considering the huge consolidation box that is evident now on the dailies. But most of my strategies are of a far shorter time frame than the election cycle you mention.....and I disagree that the markets always rally for presidential years. Thanks for your thoughts.
03 August
fxtime fxtime
Update....my stops have been adjusted to protect profits. :-)
03 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
=) waiting for next movement , a,b,c
03 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
or is going to be 5 movement
03 August
fxtime fxtime
Now you are better than me....I only consider a,b,c ...beyond that is beyond my ability. I am not at risk on my trades so I am happy to see how this market plays out.
03 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i'm talking about nasd
03 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
no way , i'm happy to
03 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i wish, i knew half of your knowledge
05 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
can you help me?? i want your opinion , do you think that bad joy , is going to have the pull back to 102 , more less , or is going to do a new low,,thanks for you help
05 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
usdjpy sorry
05 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
trade in forex is different , than trade in stocks or index , i maby understand the log trade but the trade , dat to three day i make mistakes ...
05 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i believe , usdjpy is going forward new low, around 94.50 .
05 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
the small different of trade forex ,than stocks and index ,is big deferents, in my view.
05 August
fxtime fxtime
I am not in any trade with usdjpy but I suspect Japan will keep intervening on it's own currency so initially I suspect 104.00 will be regained but Japan has had a long history of accepting 96 area so the answer is I do not know. Eyeballing the charts I can see either your suggestion or the 104. Thankfully we don't trade a linear market so we can both be right :-)
05 August
fxtime fxtime
Yen has now moved +80 to above the 102 area.....dollar purchasing power increases due to expected end of year base rate rise after NFP.
05 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
:) it was a nice move :)
05 August
fxtime fxtime
Lucky :-)
05 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i' waiting for the pull back =)
05 August
fxtime fxtime
You are perfectly correct there will be one.
Have a good weekend mate.
05 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
thanks ,you too
08 August
fxtime fxtime
The usdyen trade ...very little pullback for you but assume you did get a trade late Friday? Currently still looking for 104.00 but halving the trade at 102.38 fwiw. Risk free stop placed.
08 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
yes i did , thank for your comments
08 August
fxtime fxtime
Well done mate....you should be profit :-)
08 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
yes around 130 pips =)
08 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
we are not far to have a nice correction in the sp and nasd
08 August
fxtime fxtime
agree
08 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
what is your opinion about usdcad you think is going fw the 1.35
08 August
fxtime fxtime
A strong move on Friday...
https://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/trading-a-missed-move-7206136
A break of 1.3200 and trail may be the safer move but I am already long from my Friday postings/commentary due to the break of the price fix range :-)
08 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i start thinking , that we going to have a pull back in gpdusd , to 1.31 , 1.3120 , what do you think ...
09 August
fxtime fxtime
Anything above 1.3000 seems to be a long....which is where I suspect most traders entered a trade eg a price breakout at that point. As for targets....I will simply trail and see what the market gives me. :-)
09 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
thanks , i didn't try ..
09 August
fxtime fxtime
sinesio...this may be of interest. Chart is spot market cable on hourlies with a MMA11. The first close above the MMA11 is a long and conversely the first close below is a sell. I have arrowed the current candle formation...it hasn't given a buy signal yet but it looks like it will at the end of the hour completion. Settings are displayed on the chart and note the NFP spike...obviously don't use this trade strategy on fomc or nfp days.
09 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
thanks
09 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
it will help
09 August
fxtime fxtime
Just remember this mkt is going illiquid at this time of day...perhaps the safest trade is place a buy order a few pips above the day high and always small stakes...you can always scale your trade up once it is in profit.
09 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
ok
10 August
fxtime fxtime
That mini swing trade did trigger and worked :-)
Time to trail your stops.
10 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
hahah yes , and thanks for your tip its works just find =)
10 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
my diverges was correct , and mma give me the timing to get in :) thanks again
10 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
down hill in nasd nice ;)
10 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
Dworkin in usd jpy to ;)
10 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
sorry working
10 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
usdmxn ;)
11 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
time to look for a good trade in corn , the 5 leg is almost done, the big cycle is almost over ..
11 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i think that is time to follow it , to do a sell put and a buy a call,
11 August
fxtime fxtime
I trade soft commods but not corn so good luck.
22 August
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
=;)

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