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Foreign exchange markets continue to be characterised by low volatility, says Saxo Bank's John Hardy, but GBP is approaching an interesting inflection point at 0.90 versus EUR. Meanwhile, industrial metals are lower following a cautious speech by Chinese president Xi Jinping.
Squawk / 01 August 2016 at 3:03 GMT
i so you are shot sp500 , i think it can go to 2 220 , 2300, could have a correction , but at list it ..i think the big correction is arrows this point
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i know you like statistic. in a elections for presidents the markets alway go up , is a special time , and i think the big correction is going to come one month before the election , or after the election , why one month before , because clinton have a lot of probability to lose---is only a think..i could be wrong
1y
fxtime fxtime
Agree we could go to 2200 and now seems highly likely considering the huge consolidation box that is evident now on the dailies. But most of my strategies are of a far shorter time frame than the election cycle you mention.....and I disagree that the markets always rally for presidential years. Thanks for your thoughts.
1y
fxtime fxtime
Update....my stops have been adjusted to protect profits. :-)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
=) waiting for next movement , a,b,c
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
or is going to be 5 movement
1y
fxtime fxtime
Now you are better than me....I only consider a,b,c ...beyond that is beyond my ability. I am not at risk on my trades so I am happy to see how this market plays out.
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i'm talking about nasd
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
no way , i'm happy to
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i wish, i knew half of your knowledge
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
can you help me?? i want your opinion , do you think that bad joy , is going to have the pull back to 102 , more less , or is going to do a new low,,thanks for you help
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
usdjpy sorry
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
trade in forex is different , than trade in stocks or index , i maby understand the log trade but the trade , dat to three day i make mistakes ...
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i believe , usdjpy is going forward new low, around 94.50 .
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
the small different of trade forex ,than stocks and index ,is big deferents, in my view.
1y
fxtime fxtime
I am not in any trade with usdjpy but I suspect Japan will keep intervening on it's own currency so initially I suspect 104.00 will be regained but Japan has had a long history of accepting 96 area so the answer is I do not know. Eyeballing the charts I can see either your suggestion or the 104. Thankfully we don't trade a linear market so we can both be right :-)
1y
fxtime fxtime
Yen has now moved +80 to above the 102 area.....dollar purchasing power increases due to expected end of year base rate rise after NFP.
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
:) it was a nice move :)
1y
fxtime fxtime
Lucky :-)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i' waiting for the pull back =)
1y
fxtime fxtime
You are perfectly correct there will be one.
Have a good weekend mate.
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
thanks ,you too
1y
fxtime fxtime
The usdyen trade ...very little pullback for you but assume you did get a trade late Friday? Currently still looking for 104.00 but halving the trade at 102.38 fwiw. Risk free stop placed.
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
yes i did , thank for your comments
1y
fxtime fxtime
Well done mate....you should be profit :-)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
yes around 130 pips =)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
we are not far to have a nice correction in the sp and nasd
1y
fxtime fxtime
agree
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
what is your opinion about usdcad you think is going fw the 1.35
1y
fxtime fxtime
A strong move on Friday...
https://www.tradingfloor.com/posts/trading-a-missed-move-7206136
A break of 1.3200 and trail may be the safer move but I am already long from my Friday postings/commentary due to the break of the price fix range :-)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i start thinking , that we going to have a pull back in gpdusd , to 1.31 , 1.3120 , what do you think ...
1y
fxtime fxtime
Anything above 1.3000 seems to be a long....which is where I suspect most traders entered a trade eg a price breakout at that point. As for targets....I will simply trail and see what the market gives me. :-)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
thanks , i didn't try ..
1y
fxtime fxtime
sinesio...this may be of interest. Chart is spot market cable on hourlies with a MMA11. The first close above the MMA11 is a long and conversely the first close below is a sell. I have arrowed the current candle formation...it hasn't given a buy signal yet but it looks like it will at the end of the hour completion. Settings are displayed on the chart and note the NFP spike...obviously don't use this trade strategy on fomc or nfp days.
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
it will help
1y
fxtime fxtime
Just remember this mkt is going illiquid at this time of day...perhaps the safest trade is place a buy order a few pips above the day high and always small stakes...you can always scale your trade up once it is in profit.
1y
fxtime fxtime
That mini swing trade did trigger and worked :-)
Time to trail your stops.
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
hahah yes , and thanks for your tip its works just find =)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
my diverges was correct , and mma give me the timing to get in :) thanks again
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
down hill in nasd nice ;)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
Dworkin in usd jpy to ;)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
sorry working
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
usdmxn ;)
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
time to look for a good trade in corn , the 5 leg is almost done, the big cycle is almost over ..
1y
sinesio miranda sinesio miranda
i think that is time to follow it , to do a sell put and a buy a call,
1y
fxtime fxtime
I trade soft commods but not corn so good luck.

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