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Video / 16 August 2013 at 6:28 GMT

Hardy: Why the euro's set to fall

John J Hardy

The euro's rallied fairly strongly over the past few weeks but it's definitely headed lower by year's end. That's according to Saxo Bank's Head of FX Strategy, John Hardy. Hardy believes the key will be the German elections in September. After that, he says, we should have a much clearer direction as to the future of the European project. John expects more activism from the European Central Bank and that will be bearish for the euro.
The British pound has also had a strong run recently but John doesn't see that continuing. Despite some optimistic news of late, he says the structural situation in the UK economy is "quite ugly"

On Friday, September 13, Saxo Capital Markets brings together leading political figures and financial analysts to discuss the future of the Eurozone and the single currency. The event, #TradingDebates – The end of the Euro as we know it (http://www.tradingdebates.com), will be hosted at Bloomberg's European Headquarters in London.

Saxo Capital Markets extends an invitation to all parties interested in attending this free event. For more information (including the full programme) and to register your interest, visit: http://www.tradingdebates.com

 

6y
goldfinger goldfinger
I agree with your comments regarding the UK'S structural situation. It is about time the Gov't did something innovative to attract manufacturing back into the country. I don't think it would take a lot of fiscal and grant aid to bring business into the country and maybe give some 18-25's some hope and convert job seekers allowance into a gov't revenue flow. However, that would probably be too obvious for a gov't mired by confused and weak leadership!
6y
John J Hardy John J Hardy
Cost of rent and housing is under-addressed as well.

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