- EU says trade talks could start in December if UK improves Brexit divorce offer
- USD is wobbly ahead of hurricane-affected US CPI and retail sales data
- Gold challenges resistance at $1297.50 on weaker dollar and lower yields
- Mildly bullish inventory report helps oil to stabilise
- Energy and metals enjoy their best week of the past six weeks
- US technology sector looks bubbly after above-trend gains
By Clare MacCarthy
The dollar is ending the week with a bit of a wobble as the market awaits US inflation and retailsales data (12:30 GMT) which are expected to be skewed by the recent hurricanes off Florida and the Mexican Gulf, says John Hardy, Saxo's head of forex strategy. Sterling, meanwhile, which has been dogged in recent weeks by continual concern about Brexit is getting support from a new conciliatory tone by the EU negotiators who now say that trade talks could start in December if the UK improves its divorce offer.
Over in the equities world, Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy, points out that the US technology sector is starting to look a tad bubbly as recent gains have taken the index above its trend from 2010: "It's not alarming yet but investors need to be careful here, potentially hedging some downside would be prudent," he says.
Commodities, meanwhile, are doing well and have put in their best week out of the past six weeks thanks to strength in the energy and metals sectors, says Ole Hansen, Saxo's head of commodity strategy. The weaker dollar is providing overall support for commodities, especially gold, which is trying for a second day running to break resistance at $1297.50/oz. Besides the weak dollar and lower yields in the wake of the dovish FOMC minutes earlier this week, gold is benefiting from safe-haven interest sparked by president Donald Trump's increasing irascibility and squabbling with everybody from his own cabinet to the Iran government, Hansen says.
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