Video

Playlist

Show less
10:20
Morning Call: Softer dollar boosts commodities, stocks
#SaxoStrats
21 September 2018 at 7:40 GMT
10:35
Morning Call: Markets stabilise as trade tensions ease
#SaxoStrats
20 September 2018 at 8:28 GMT
10:03
Morning Call: Chinese shares surge as trade war rages on
#SaxoStrats
19 September 2018 at 8:36 GMT
8:51
Today’s FX chart analysis - video
John J Hardy
18 September 2018 at 10:28 GMT
9:42
Morning Call: Trump hits China with tariff plan
#SaxoStrats
18 September 2018 at 7:29 GMT
2:45
The week ahead in macro
Kay Van-Petersen
17 September 2018 at 8:11 GMT
27:58
Macro Monday week 38: Keep Global Macro and Carry On
Kay Van-Petersen
17 September 2018 at 8:02 GMT
10:00
Morning Call: US yield curve lifts, boosting dollar
#SaxoStrats
17 September 2018 at 7:23 GMT
43:30
Technical analysis webinar – A view of the market: Larsson
Kim Cramer Larsson
12 September 2018 at 14:44 GMT
11:15
Morning Call: Chinese shares fall further
#SaxoStrats
11 September 2018 at 8:36 GMT
11:34
Morning Call: USD, SEK in focus
#SaxoStrats
10 September 2018 at 7:49 GMT
2:47
The week ahead in macro
Kay Van-Petersen
10 September 2018 at 7:37 GMT
14:02
Morning Call: Is Japan next?
#SaxoStrats
07 September 2018 at 7:35 GMT
Video / 11 July 2017 at 7:57 GMT

From the Floor: Equities mood improves in Europe and Asia —#SaxoStrats

#SaxoStrats
  • • Equities market sentiment improving in Europe and Asia: Garnry
  • • Yields still ticking higher, adding a tailwind for global financial stocks: Garnry
  • • Q2 earnings season gets under way; Danish insurer Tryg Q2 beats expectations
  • • EURCHF seen heading up through 1.10, which could open up for 1.12 area: Hardy
  • • Oil selloff pauses ahead of EIA report as inventories expected to fall again
  • • Support for oil emerging below $44/b, but sentiment remains bearish: Hansen
  • • Gold putting up a bit of a fight: Hansen
  • • Crop conditions continue to deteriorate
  • • Light economic calendar features two BoE speakers and Fed's Brainard
  • • Technical analysis webinar available at 1330 CET (1130 GMT)

Saxo Strats banner
 By John Acher

Sentiment in Asian and European equity markets has improved as jitters surrounding technology stocks have subsided, and higher bond yields are providing a boost for financial shares, says Saxo Bank's head of equities strategy Peter Garnry.

The second-quarter earnings season is getting under way, and Danish insurer Tryg's second-quarter pretax profits beat market expectations, while results from PepsiCo are perhaps the highlight for later in the day (due at 1000 GMT).

“Sentiment is strengthening in Europe and Asia post last week’s nervousness around technology stocks,” says Garnry.

Yields are still ticking higher, and that is adding a tailwind for global financials, says Garnry. “We are short-term bullish on this sector.”

Hawkishness among central banks is pushing up yields, and, if that continues, it will lift valuations among insurance companies, Garnry says.

Macroeconomic signals from China are mixed, but strong signals from Australia could be an indication that the Chinese economy is improving rather than weakening, though "the jury is still out," Garnry says.

The forex markets have been mainly quiet ahead of US Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen's two-day testimony to Congress, which begins Wednesday.

But EURCHF was seen heading up through 1.10 for the first time in a long time, and that could open the way for the 1.12 area, says Saxo Bank's FX strategy chief John J Hardy.

Higher yields are also driving Swiss franc weakness, Hardy says. (Read also Hardy's latest FX Update here on TradingFloor.)

EURCHF climbs through 1.10
EURCHF
Source: Saxo Bank

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to raise interest rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, which would make it the first G10 currency to follow the Fed's tightening.

The macroeconomic calendar for Tuesday is thin, though two Bank of England speakers and the Fed's Lael Brainard, a dove, are slated to speak.

In the commodities markets, the selloff in crude oil prices has stabilised ahead of a key US inventory report due on Wednesday, and WTI is finding support below $44/barrel, says Saxo's head of commodities strategy Ole Hansen.

Gold is "putting up a bit of a fight," Hansen says, noting, however, that gold is still some distance away from relative safety above $1,230/oz.

Silver potentially holds the key as it looks stretched and oversold after the latest leg down, Hansen says. "A recovery in silver could provide some support to gold."

“Crop conditions continue to deteriorate,” says Hansen.

Saxo Bank's Kim Cramer Larsson will hold a webinar on technical analysis at 1330 CET (1130 GMT) today. (Sign up here on TradingFloor.) 

Pepsico truck
 The second-quarter earnings season kicks off, with results due 
from US soft-drinks group PepsiCo. Photo: Shutterstock

John Acher is a consulting editor at TradingFloor

Disclaimer

The Saxo Bank Group entities each provide execution-only service and access to Tradingfloor.com permitting a person to view and/or use content available on or via the website is not intended to and does not change or expand on this. Such access and use are at all times subject to (i) The Terms of Use; (ii) Full Disclaimer; (iii) The Risk Warning; (iv) the Rules of Engagement and (v) Notices applying to Tradingfloor.com and/or its content in addition (where relevant) to the terms governing the use of hyperlinks on the website of a member of the Saxo Bank Group by which access to Tradingfloor.com is gained. Such content is therefore provided as no more than information. In particular no advice is intended to be provided or to be relied on as provided nor endorsed by any Saxo Bank Group entity; nor is it to be construed as solicitation or an incentive provided to subscribe for or sell or purchase any financial instrument. All trading or investments you make must be pursuant to your own unprompted and informed self-directed decision. As such no Saxo Bank Group entity will have or be liable for any losses that you may sustain as a result of any investment decision made in reliance on information which is available on Tradingfloor.com or as a result of the use of the Tradingfloor.com. Orders given and trades effected are deemed intended to be given or effected for the account of the customer with the Saxo Bank Group entity operating in the jurisdiction in which the customer resides and/or with whom the customer opened and maintains his/her trading account. When trading through Tradingfloor.com your contracting Saxo Bank Group entity will be the counterparty to any trading entered into by you. Tradingfloor.com does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) financial, investment, tax or trading advice or advice of any sort offered, recommended or endorsed by Saxo Bank Group and should not be construed as a record of ourtrading prices, or as an offer, incentive or solicitation for the subscription, sale or purchase in any financial instrument. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, would be considered as a marketing communication under relevant laws. Please read our disclaimers:
- Notification on Non-Independent Invetment Research
- Full disclaimer

Check your inbox for a mail from us to fully activate your profile. No mail? Have us re-send your verification mail