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Video / 03 August 2018 at 7:31 GMT

From the Floor: EM, China feeling the heat

#SaxoStrats
   • EURUSD 'finally breaking downwards'
   • AAPL becomes world's first trillion-dollar firm
   • 'China remains the biggest downside risk for markets'

SaxoStrats
By Michael McKenna

Both the CNY and the Chinese CSI 300 index continue to trend lower with the firm USD weighing on emerging markets as a whole while China feels the particular burn of trade war fears and weak sentiment regarding its capacity for economic growth.

"Things are not good [in China] and the complacency in Europe and the US is mind-blowing," stated Saxo Head of Equity Strategy Peter Garnry in a note released this morning.

"China remains the biggest risk to global markets," Garnry adds.

In stocks, AAPL became the world's first trillion-dollar firm by market capitalisation Thursday while Toyota's latest earnings showed the firm exceeding expectations on profits while fretting Chinese demand and the impact of tariffs.

"We continue to be underweight automotive, EM, China, semiconductors while staying overweight healthcare, software/internet, and staples," says Peter Garnry.

In forex, Saxo Bank Head of FX Strategy John Hardy reports that the market is broadly ignoring Thursday's hawkish hike from the Bank of England while shifting to the apparent view that the Bank of Japan statement earlier this week in fact represented a net tightening.

"This move is more visible in non-USDJPY pairs on the dollar's strength," says Hardy.

Finally, Hardy says that EURUSD may finally be gaining some downside momentum with a move out of a recent triangle formation (see chart below).

For more on forex and equities, watch today's Morning Call in full.

EURUSD
 Source: Saxo Bank
03 August
Patto Patto
So this is the revamped Trading Floor? It's been a long time coming. It seems all the external contributors are no longer on the team. That's a shame because they generated most of the inter-action with readers..... I think that's because traders understood Ian, Max, Allan etc had skin in the game whereas the Saxo boys, being on comfortable salaries, lack that edge.
03 August
MyTrade MyTrade
Anyway Credit to those, that had created it before. Maybe we've been only lucky to be a part of it.

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