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Ole Hansen
Stay updated on what’s happening with oil, gold and other raw materials. Join Saxo Bank Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen as he explores the world of commodities and how fundamentals, geopolitics and other factors could influence prices. He also looks at market opportunities for both traders and investors.
Medium term
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Sell
Trade view / 08 February 2018 at 15:08 GMT

Estrategia de pares: cortos en oro vs. largos en plata

Global Macro Strategist / Saxo Bank Group - Singapore Hub
Singapore
Instrument: XAUXAG
Price target: 76.08
Market price: 80.4908
saxostrats
 

Fondo de mercado

El oro ha superado ampliamente a la plata en los últimos cinco años, como puede verse por la relación en el gráfico semanal. Nos acercamos a niveles de resistencia potencial y de posible vuela del oro frente a la plata.

Por lo tanto, estamos poniéndonos cortos en el oro y comprando plata con un nivel de entrada de 80.4908, arriesgando 100 puntos básicos con una parada en 84.20 y un objetivo de 76.08. Este trade podría alargarse entre uno y tres trimestres, sin embargo, dada la sobreextensión, podría ocurrir una reversión drástica de la media en los próximos dos o cuatro meses.

Descripción de la gestión y el riesgo

Arriesgando 100bps.
  
El riesgo clave aquí podría ser el impulso en el rendimiento superior de la plata sobre el oro en el ciclo actual (desde 2008). Hasta ahora en 2018, la acción del precio y el posicionamiento largo han sido mucho más beneficiosos para el oro que para la plata.

gold and silver
 Fuente: Bloomberg

Parámetros

Entrada: 
Entrada: 80.4908
Cortos en oro en 1312 
Largos en plata en 16.30  


Stop: 84.20

Objetivo: 76.08

Horizonte temporal:  3–9 meses


Puede operar el XAUXAG ratio en SaxoTraderGO 
xauxag
 

















— Editado por Sala de Inversión España

Se aplica una cláusula de exención de responsabilidad de investigación no independiente. Saber más
Puede encontrar la descripción en Trading Floor aquí

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