Angus Walker
After Friday’s US jobs figures, the markets appear to be sending out mixed signals. The numbers weren’t that bad according to Saxo Bank’s Head of FX Strategy John Hardy who says there was an “odd reaction”.
Article / 16 October 2011 at 6:05 GMT

Choosing how much to put at risk, stop loss level and trade size

The traders who enjoy the greatest amount of success are those who have established clearly-defined rules of money management to govern their trading. Money management involves determining how much of your overall portfolio you are willing to put at risk in any one trade, where you should put a stop loss and what trade size to choose..

It's a bit like a poker player in a tournament. Rarely will you see players push all of their chips into the middle of the table on a single bet. In most cases, it would be foolish to do so. If poker players risk only a portion of their money in any one bet, they know that win or lose, they will have the means to play the next hand. On the other hand, if poker players bet everything in one hand, the only way they will be able to play the next hand is if they are right. That is a lot of pressure, and you have to be looking at some pretty good cards to justify making a bold move like that.

There are three money management rules you will want to incorporate in your own trading:

  • Live to trade another day
  • Know what you are willing to risk
  • Know how to determine trade size

You will also learn about one of the Forex market’s most important trading tools: a stop loss.

Live to trade another day

Perhaps the best piece of advice you could receive. Regardless of whether you are right or wrong in your trade, if you live to trade another day, you know that you will always have another chance. The subsequent two rules will help you understand what to do to survive, but as long as you observe this first rule, you will already have an advantage.

The single factor that causes most traders to overextend and blow up their accounts is greed. When traders get greedy, they take unnecessary risks. They also spend countless hours trying to find the one technical indicator or the one economic announcement that is the “Holy Grail”. They believe that if they only follow that one indicator or what that one economic announcement points to, they will never have to worry about being unprofitable in their trading again, they will always be right. You will also hear this referred to as the “secret” of investing.

Unfortunately, all this searching and hoping is unproductive simply because there is no secret. Sure, they may be able to identify a technical indicator that provides outstanding returns during a given period in market history, but the market changes, and soon another technical indicator will come into vogue. Or they might find an economic announcement that the market has been paying particularly close attention to for the past few months and believe they have found the key to their success. But once again, the market will change, and they will be left looking for a new key. To help avoid the frustration that always comes from chasing your tail, we are going to discuss how, no matter what changes take place in the market, you can be successful.

Know what you are willing to risk

This rule is the basic tenet of living to trade another day. If you don’t risk too much of your account in any trade today, you know you will have enough in your account tomorrow. You never know what is going to happen in the market, so you never want to risk everything you have on one position.

The first thing to do is determine what percentage of your account you are willing to lose in any one trade. Once you have decided that, the rest is a simple math formula. Most traders feel comfortable risking approximately 2 percent of their total account balance in any one trade. While this is a general rule of thumb, you will need to determine how aggressive or conservative you want to be in your individual account. But we will say one thing — avoid going to either extreme. If you want to be more aggressive, consider risking 2 to 5 percent in any one trade. If you want to be more conservative, consider risking 1 to 2 percent in any one trade. If you risk too much, you probably won’t be around to trade much longer. If you risk too little, you can't make enough.

Once you have determined the percentage of your account you feel comfortable risking, all you have to do is plug that number into the following equation:

Account balance * risk percentage = amount at risk

Here is an example of how this would work. Imagine that you have an account balance of $50,000 and that you would like to risk 2 percent of your account in any one trade. If you plug these numbers into the equation, you will see you should not risk more than $1,000 in any one trade.

This is the maximum amount you want to risk in any one trade. You may have more than this at risk in your overall account if you are in more than one trade. If you were in three trades at once, for example, you would want to risk only $1,000 per trade, but this may add up to a total amount at risk of $3,000.

Determining your trade size

Trade size is, for example, the amount of currency you purchase in any one trade. Once you know how much you are willing to risk, you need to know how to set up your trades so that you don’t end up risking more than you are comfortable with. It doesn’t do you any good to know what your risk tolerance is and then enter a trade that exposes too much of your account to risk.

To determine your trade size, you must first decide where you are going to set your stop loss (which you will learn about next). Once you have determined where to place your stop loss, you have to figure out how many pips lie between the point where you are going to enter the trade and the point you have determined to use as your stop loss. Now all you have to do is plug that amount into another simple equation that builds on the equation you just used to determine the amount you want to have at risk in any one trade.

Amount at risk / (pips at risk * value per pip) = size of your trade

Knowing exactly how to size your trade will help you eliminate one of your worst enemies as a trader: fear. Traders who do not appropriately size their trades are constantly worried they may lose more of their account than they are comfortable using. If you can eliminate fear from your trading, you will make much better trading decisions.

Stop-loss Orders

A stop-loss order is an order you place that exits your trade if the currency pair reaches a specified price point. Stop-loss orders allow you to protect your trading account even when you are not in front of your computer.

If you buy a currency pair, you will place a stop-loss order somewhere below the current price to protect you in the event the currency pair turns around and starts moving lower. If you sell a currency pair, you will place a stop-loss order somewhere above the current price to protect you in the event the currency pair turns around and starts moving higher.

Here’s how it works. Imagine you buy the EUR/USD at 1.4000. You notice that there is strong support approximately 50 pips below this price level at 1.3950, and you conclude that if the EUR/USD breaks below this level it will most likely continue to move lower. Since you bought the currency pair, and you will be losing money if it moves lower, you decide you do not want to hold onto the trade if the EUR/USD breaks below 1.3950. To protect your account, you set a stop-loss order at 1.3940 that exits the trade if the EUR/USD touches the 1.3940 price level. Whether it is in the middle of the night or it is the middle of the day, if the price of the EUR/USD drops to 1.3940, the trade will automatically be exited for you.

Stop-loss orders provide safety and security when you are trading, and they place a critical role in all of your money-management decisions. You should never place a trade without one.

Johann Gudmundsson Johann Gudmundsson
Good educational article with basic guidelines.
-However, the 'amount at risk' formula has a division sign where it's suppose to be a multiply sign.

(Account balance * risk percentage = amount at risk)
Yvette Roper Yvette Roper
Thanks for noticing this. This slip-up has been fixed now.
invtraks invtraks
This true. Trade management and risk/reward are key to every trade. With this, I would like to share my live trade here.

08Nov 2011
How I trade? Forex Trade Setup.
A) Analysis:
1) Forex Technical Analysis
a) Key Level (Hourly Chart) @1.3825 (Previous day high)
b) Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Chart Pattern
c) Pivot Point Indicator @ Resistance Level 1
2) Forex Fundamental Analysis:
a) GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, euro pare gains after Italian vote
b) Euro rallies on news Italy's Berlusconi will resign
B) Forex Trade Position Management
Details @
Eleftherios Mouchtaroglou Eleftherios Mouchtaroglou
Hi Yvette, very good article, it just came to my attention. I would also like to add that since notional amount is calculated at the first currency and P/L is calculated on the variable (e.g. on EURUSD the trade size is on EUR while the P/L is in USD), the formula should be adjusted for this conversion using the closing rate where P/L is calculated. So it should be: size of your trade = Amount at risk * closing rate / (pips at risk * value per pip). Please correct me if I am wrong about this.


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