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Crude oil futures are hovering above support into this weekend's meeting between Opec and non-Opec producers in Kuwait. Saxo Bank head of commodity strategy Ole Hansen says investors should expect bullish talk, but maintains that his bias is ultimately neutral.
Squawk / 05 July 2016 at 7:24 GMT
Consultant in Derivatives and Commodity Specialist / Manor Derivatives(Consulting) Ltd
United Kingdom
cable looking dreadful again........FTSE must retrace surely !
05 July
fxtime fxtime
LOL....cable was always going south imho. FTSE will fall....my old boss used to always shout ''duration give it duration'' to me all the time.....the ftse will fall but we need some new balls up by Parliament or Carney to really get things going and we can always depend on a new crisis from these two or the EU. LOL
05 July
Neil D Neil D
Yeah like that lol...............after taking some prof on silver y'day am up to over 25% in cash now. Guess that's not a bad thing
05 July
fxtime fxtime
That Fres trade of yours was brilliant....wish I done it LOL.
I have covered all LONMIN now as looking a bit top heavy imho so will await a pullback.
I often wonder if there should be a seperate section here for longer term trades eg sipps etc.
05 July
Neil D Neil D
I only took prof on a third so far as this is still functioning as a hedge primarily- luckily it appears to have been the stand-out performer within that sector!
SIPPs mean different things to different people I reckon because of the ability to trade a variety of investments and individual timescales...........but yes a combination of SIPP analysis combined with risk analysis/profiling may well be valid
05 July
fxtime fxtime
Risk Profiling to me currently is sitting in Costa listening to a fire alarm bell constantly triggering LOL.
05 July
Neil D Neil D
No your risk is which coffee/pastry to have today............had my first iced coffee last week!
05 July
fxtime fxtime
LOL....a sticky finger trade in Costa is something to avoid :-) Good wifi here though and I can read my comic (FT) in peace with my 12st pooch nagging me for another walk.
05 July
fxtime fxtime
typo with should read without !
05 July
Neil D Neil D
at least am only losing 4k on Ftse now instead of the 7 last week!
05 July
fxtime fxtime
I wonder if Italian Banks will be the new market crisis (we commented on the need for a mkt crisis above) to give impetus to the bear side?
Should be a good day now that all the national holidays are out of the way.
05 July
fxtime fxtime
Yeah but if we put that into perspective that is merely a days earnings for you LOL.
Obviously the hedge trade covered the drawdown and earned some :-)
05 July
Neil D Neil D
Yeah hopefully as S&P seems on downward curve too before they out of bed!
05 July
fxtime fxtime
You watching usdjpy? Starting to look extreme imho....we may have a whipsaw move on that pairing this week as japan tend to interfere on their fx.
05 July
Neil D Neil D
yes indeed..........but in effect the FTSE hedge derailed that to a degreee
05 July
Neil D Neil D
you advocating a buy on usd/jpy then?
05 July
fxtime fxtime
I have just opened a long at 101.80 with a 100pip stop at 10% stake size spot mkt.....this a hunch trade only though hence the mickey mouse stake size. What my teenage kids call a Mad Max trade LOL. No evidence for opening a trade it either succeeds or totally crashes and burns.
05 July
fxtime fxtime
Mate....I am covering my cable short now at 1.30660....seems a bit stretched for the day and want to bank some profits....target low sub 1.2950 but i expect a pullback first to reload to the short side. There is a real risk of a sudden rally and looking at the market depth we seem to be having fewer auto trades appearing and their size of contracts seem fractionally smaller hence my covering.
06 July
fxtime fxtime
Nice drop overnight and I missed it LOL
No matter we are back at the same levels I covered at !! I will await the FOMC mins before direct trading but the usdyen trade did crash out so using an ATR as a minimum guide I have adjusted new long orders to trail 200pips above current price. Thus any intervention move should trigger the buy order but until then it walks down with the market without risk.
However I do have a short order pending at 20% stake size set an hour ago and currently unfilled at 1.2920 spot cable. I can't just ignore this market entirely LOL.
FTSE drop has been brilliant.....stops obviously trailing so I keep my pennies.

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