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  • Article / Wednesday at 0:02 GMT

    Little to arrest Aussie's upwards trajectory

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Little to arrest Aussie's upwards trajectory
    The odds are increasing that one G10 country will break ranks and abandon inflation-targeting and with a new Reserve Bank governor about to be sworn in, Australia has a chance to lead the way. But will it have the nerve?
    Read the article
  • Article / 18 August 2016 at 1:31 GMT

    Money market imbalances should provide support for USD

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Money market imbalances should provide support for USD
    A shortage of US dollars is reducing the attractiveness of the US bond market for offshore investors, making it more vulnerable if the Fed was to resume raising rates. The markets have priced the odds of a rate move by the end of the year at 50%. But with a shortage of dollars in the money markets, any decline in the USD in the meantime should find keen support.
    Read the article
    4d
    lahla lahla
    Hello. Thanks for the great analysis, article. I really got lost when You explained the dynamics of hedging the positions. Firstly You said....to avoid a DECLINE in...
    4d
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    If a Japan-based investor buys US Treasury bonds without hedging the currency risk he wants JPY to decline against the USD i.e. for USDJPY to rise. So,...
    4d
    lahla lahla
    Thank You very much. You are incredible valuable to this community.
  • Article / 17 August 2016 at 7:00 GMT

    Morning Markets: Fed ripples rile markets

    Deputy Editor / TradingFloor.com
    Denmark
    Morning Markets: Fed ripples rile markets
    Wednesday finds European markets preparing to open in uncertain mode following unnervingly volatile trading in the US dollar and core government bonds on Tuesday and amid fresh uncertainty about Fed interest rate policy that dragged on US stocks and undermined sentiment.
    Read the article
  • Article / 17 August 2016 at 2:17 GMT

    Kiwi dollar strength continues to defy RBNZ strategy

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Kiwi dollar strength continues to defy RBNZ strategy
    Events are conspiring against the RBNZ in its attempt to lower the exchange rate. Dairy prices are rebounding, global bond yield yields remain at rock bottom and hopes the US Federal Reserve will ride to the rescue with rate hikes are fading.
    Read the article
    17 August
    Allied Allied
    I agree that they could do Intervention but it wouldn't work and be short lived. It creates the chance that real money is waiting on (buying dips)...
    17 August
    Patto Patto
    Previous interventions by the RBNZ (a couple of years ago) were successful for a while - and costly for traders who were long NZDUSD at the time....
    17 August
    vyacheslav111 vyacheslav111
    Can I buy it now NZD/USD and stop 0.7129?
  • 11 August
    Bill_K Bill_K
    Thank you for this highly informative piece Clare. Temporary disruptions such as the Canadian wildfire have been supporting the oil price but these disruptions are just that...
  • Editor’s Picks / 11 August 2016 at 1:30 GMT

    RBNZ cuts key interest rate to 2%

    The Sydney Morning Herald
    The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut rates by a quarter percentage point to 2% because of uncertain global growth, writes Will Willitts. It was the sixth such rate cut in 14 months. Signalling that further easing would likely be required, Governor Graeme Wheeler said "Global growth is below trend despite being supported by unprecedented levels of monetary stimulus". The futures market had indicated on Wednesday that traders were pretty much certain of a monetary policy easing and even saw 20% odds for a further half-percentage-point drop in the key rate.
    Read article on The Sydney Morning Herald
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  • Article / 27 July 2016 at 2:35 GMT

    Australia’s inflation beats forecasts but rate cut still likely

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Australia’s inflation beats forecasts but rate cut still likely
    AUDUSD jumped from 0.7510 to 0.7565 earlier today after Australia’s June quarter inflation numbers came in slightly better than expected. A rate cut by the RBA to 1.5% next week is still likely. Neither the RBA nor RBNZ can expect much assistance from the Fed in pushing their currencies down.
    Read the article
    27 July
    Jamesawann Jamesawann
    Limit order not hit at .7576 but shorted at lower aud/usd
    27 July
    brian1983 brian1983
    jus check. still holding onto aud n nzd short?
    28 July
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    covered yesterday pre Fed ...