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  • Article / 1 hour ago

    FX Update: Markets showing dreaded risk-on, risk-off tendencies

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    FX Update: Markets showing dreaded risk-on, risk-off tendencies
    Risk appetite stabilised to a degree yesterday, but the tension level remains high as Turkey’s situation remains untenable and the market looks ahead through its fingers on the risks of collateral damage from the eventual fallout from a default and/or capital controls. Meanwhile, Italy’s two-year yield closed at a two-month high yesterday.
    Read the article
  • Squawk / 2 hours ago
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD, Tracking Keltner channel lower
    In line with this week's bearish call, early price action Monday saw EURUSD sold to the most negative point for 13 months. But the lows were not entirely maintained as some profit taking developed at oversold extremes. The rally was a weak one and a 3rd down day in a row was posted. Further rally attempts cannot be ruled out but sentiment is assessed as negative.
    We look to Sell in 1.1405/10 area and at 1.1433
    The stop is 1.1468 bid
    Targets - 1.1365, 1.1334 or even 1.1312
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    marran marran
    I'm going in on this trade today only I'm waiting to sell at the 1.1433 price
    I think I will do like you Marran.
  • Article / Yesterday at 13:14 GMT

    How much damage will Turkey inflict on European banks?

    Head of Equity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    How much damage will Turkey inflict on European banks?
    President Erdogan's remarks both last Friday and today have done nothing to rein in the Turkish lira crisis, with USDTRY continuing to flirt with the 7.00-plus area first seen overnight. At this point, the main topic for investors is contagion risk – particularly with regard to the European banking sector.
    Read the article
  • Article / Friday at 14:40 GMT

    EM FX Weekly: TRYing times

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    EM FX Weekly: TRYing times
    We leave this week with markets in a fragile state linked to the accelerating risk of a Turkish default, both by its banks and possibly even the sovereign eventually after President Erdogan’s defiant speech.
    Read the article
    asena asena
    asena asena
    asena asena
  • Article / Friday at 11:54 GMT

    WASDE report to guide volatile grain markets

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    WASDE report to guide volatile grain markets
    Global wheat prices have jumped during the past couple of months as the outlook for production in Europe, Australia, and the Black Sea region continued to deteriorate. Wheat, corn, and rapeseed production in these major production centers have been hard hit by extreme heat and lack of rain.
    Read the article
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