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Ole Hansen
Stay updated on what’s happening with oil, gold and other raw materials. Join Saxo Bank Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen as he explores the world of commodities and how fundamentals, geopolitics and other factors could influence prices. He also looks at market opportunities for both traders and investors.


Sorted on 1-year trailing return
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No posts
  • Squawk / 10 hours ago
    Technical Analyst / FuturesTechs
    United Kingdom
    My charts say Gold has big resistance at 1254, 1260 and 1263.5, which in turn says that rallies like today's = selling opportunities.

    In the bulls' defence 1232-33.6 is a strong area of support. If this broke (my favoured skew right now) look for 1211-14 next.
    Read the Squawk
    Morris Morris
    Clive what is so significant about the move from 1124 to 1298 that you have to base your reasoning on? Unless that represents a complete Elliot...
  • Squawk / 12 hours ago
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    ECB President Draghi: out sounding a bit more hawkish than we are accustomed to as he speaks at an ECB Forum in Portugal this morning. His speech sounds optimistic even as he claims that inflation is not durable and self-sustaining. Still, on inflation, it does sound like he wants to look through the factors that are currently keeping inflation low, calling them temporary and says that deflationary forces are replaced by reflationary ones. Policy hints are few and cautious.

    EURUSD up to a nine-day high on this near 1.1240 at one point, though 1.1300+ needed for a proper break higher in this very low volatility environment. Later, we have two FOMC voters (Harker and Kashkari) speaking and Fed Chair Yellen herself speaking in London at 1700 GMT.
    Read the Squawk
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    By far largest reaction today has been in EURJPY which has pulled to a new high for the cycle well above 126.00.
  • Squawk / 13 hours ago
    Director / PIA First
    United Kingdom
    Ftse Index - Intraday - We look to Sell at 7465 (stop at 7490)
    Buying was posted yesterday but levels close to bespoke resistance of 7480 have found sellers. Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning. In line with the possible early stages of a head & shoulders pattern and the strong rejection of gains, we look to set shorts in anticipation of a swing lower. Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 7477 found sellers. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 7465, resulting in improved risk/reward.
    Our profit targets will be 7395 and 7365

    Resistance: 7461 / 7480 / 7508
    Support: 7424 / 7395 / 7362
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 13 hours ago
    Director / PIA First
    United Kingdom
    Gold - Intraday - We look to Buy at 1246 (stop at 1240)
    Price action has posted a bearish Engulfing Candle and is negative for short-term sentiment. The overnight dip has been bought into and there is scope for further bullish pressure going into this morning. With our medium term bias looking to buy dips and the short term bias indicating selling interest we are faced with mixed signals. Bias is mildly bullish today but we need to see a break of 1260 to confirm the upward pressure.
    Our profit targets will be 1260 and 1265

    Resistance: 1260 / 1265 / 1275
    Support: 1246 / 1240 / 1236
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 14 hours ago
    Director / PIA First
    United Kingdom
    AUDUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 0.7580 (stop at 0.7550)
    Trading within a Corrective Channel formation. Prices have continued the bullish move higher and resulted in 2 consecutive positive days. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 0.7580, resulting in improved risk/reward.
    Our profit targets will be 0.7630 and 0.7700

    Resistance: 0.7630 / 0.7710 / 0.7800
    Support: 0.7580 / 0.7555 / 0.7520
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 14 hours ago
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    US crops rated good to excellent last week showed another decline in spring wheat to 40%, the lowest reading for this week since 1988. Corn was unchanged at 67 while soybeans dropped 1% to 66% against an expected rise. Cotton meanwhile dropped to 46% from 50% but stays above the 5-year average.
    All crops trading a tad higher this morning with wheat potentially the best supported following a near 50% correction of the June rally from $4.6 to $5.1
    Read the Squawk
  • 10h
    PredatorFX PredatorFX
    The momentum build up on the daily chart still persists nontheless. I think the daily 50 SMA is a possible target, however a divergent on the 4...
    PredatorFX PredatorFX
    upside incursion i mean to say
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    Oh dear - I was right about sterling (broadly speaking), but Draghi comes out and inspires an enormous rout in bonds that sends the JPY spiraling lower.......
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