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John J Hardy
Earlier this Friday the Swiss franc took a tumble against both the US dollar and the euro. Saxo's John Hardy on what the reasons behind the move could be, why he expects USDCHF to head lower and how best to trade the Swiss franc.


Sorted on 1-year trailing return
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  • Article / Yesterday at 17:14 GMT

    Black Friday shoppers snap up US dollars

    FX Consultant / IFXA Ltd
    A blast of dollar buying crowned a choppy and drama-laden week, shortened for many by the US Thanksgiving holiday but rendered unforgettable by Turkey's downing of a Russian fighter plane. Next week's calendar is heavy with major events, above all the ECB's meeting on Thursday and Opec on Friday.
    Read the article
  • Article / Yesterday at 15:45 GMT

    FX Board: USDCHF bulls throw down the gauntlet

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    FX Board: USDCHF bulls throw down the gauntlet
    The US dollar is looking to finish the week with a flourish, pushing back against the upstart commodity currencies today and bashing to new five-year highs against a struggling Swiss franc as December looms with the tantalising central bank policy divergence story.
    Read the article
  • Article / Yesterday at 15:30 GMT

    FX 4 Next Week: Draghi to keep EURUSD headed south

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    FX 4 Next Week: Draghi to keep EURUSD headed south
    The US dollar climbed across the board on Friday, setting new highs against the Swiss franc in particular. Next week brings several major events, most importantly the ECB's policy meeting on Thursday, which is expected to roll out new easing measures. All this adds up to further downside to EURUSD.
    Read the article
    fxtime fxtime
    John are you concerned about prior events with SNB? Chart attached and levels where the SNB abandoned its peg rating prior to action by the ECB,,,,,history repeating...
    fxtime fxtime
    Obviously the swissy is now cheaper for exports but imports are becoming evermore expensive. Buying a simple coffee in Geneva was never cheap as we all know...
    fxtime fxtime
    Perhaps a precautionary level to watch is for a break of 1.01400 as a GTC short? eg a break of this current week trading low incase we...
  • Article / Yesterday at 14:37 GMT

    WCU: Oil market turning attention to Opec and Saudi Arabia

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Hedge funds have accumulated the first net-short across key commodities and following six weeks of continuous selling the sector paused ahead of several critical event risks over the coming weeks. Continued focus on oversupply ahead of the December 4 Opec meeting kept oil under pressure, industrial metals received a boost from talk of Chinese production cutbacks while a rising dollar added further misery for precious metals.
    Read the article
  • Article / Yesterday at 13:45 GMT

    Slow news day breeds conspiracy theories

    Director / Accumen Management
    United Kingdom
    Slow news day breeds conspiracy theories
    This morning's FX market price action left many aghast. Explanations for the burst of dollar buying run to the conspiracy theory category, but month-end programme buying is likely at the heart of it. Nonetheless EURUSD and Cable are retesting recent lows.
    Read the article
  • Editor’s Picks / Yesterday at 13:13 GMT

    UK to outspend US over the holidays: ING poll

    A new survey released by ING indicates that Britons are preparing to outspend their US counterparts this holiday season. According to the polls, the UK tops the 14-country "Christmas Spending League" with the average Brit planning to spend $440 this holiday season (the average American is looking to drop $382 on holiday-related purchases). According to ING's Martha McKenzie-Minifie, "the fact that Thanksgiving and the Black Friday sales are so close to Christmas could well contribute to the [result]". At the bottom of the league? Germany, Australia, Ialy, and Spain, where consumers are planning $200 worth of holiday shopping.
    Read article on CNBC
    Go to post
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 12:41 GMT
    Product Manager Futures and Listed Options / Saxo Bank
    US Markets closed in observance of Thanksgiving, European markets up fractionally. Would be interested to see the retailers from the US, i.e. #COST, WMT, JWN. Have a good weekend eveyone!
    Read the Squawk
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