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Video

#SaxoStrats
Today's edition of the Saxo Morning Call features the SaxoStrats team discussing the continuing weakness of the US dollar as commodity prices recover ground and in the wake of key US equity indices hitting all-time highs Thursday.

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No posts
  • Squawk / Friday at 5:57 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURJPY - Supported by key averages, 130.97 targeted
    Contrary to yesterday's bearish call, demand at the 50/100 day mvg avg area proved more substantial than assessed. Demand grew as the day progressed - to end a sequence of 5 down days – and has moved higher in Asia. Although the market remains below the 13 day line, and is counter-trend, it appears incomplete.
    So We Buy at 130.25 and 130.05
    Targets are 130.61 and 130.97
    Stop - 129.55 offered
    Closes - 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    4d
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    very mediocre week sadly. Off next week so it'll be a week later before I can regain my mojo
    4d
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Hahahaha, i compensated almost all with shorting dax. Just a little bit left. Maybe your short holiday brings luck.
    3d
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    well done mate. I did have the EQ markets right but don't publish those on here. Anyway BOL next week
  • Squawk / Thursday at 21:32 GMT
    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    After the Dramatic US Stock market plunge this week, if You
    would like to see my Assessment of the market, email me at: max@enterprise.net.nz
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Thursday at 5:47 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Cautiously Bearish & Sell .9900 Rally. Stop .9935
    The neutral range set in yesterday's report was unthreatened as the consolidation in USDCHF stretched to a 5th day in a row. That price action came against a background of a rising Keltner channel – although that channel is beginning to flatten - and above a Marabuzo line created on Oct 3rd. However the upside stalling has been translated into a more significant decline in Asia, and although an early positive reaction is probable, the immediate bias is now negative.
    We lok to Sell at .9870 and .9900
    Stop is .9935 bid
    Targets - .9840, .9819 or even .9790
    Closes - 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    5d
    TDI786 TDI786
    As Alan said to short
    if it shorts then it will be big one
    5d
    Montykris Montykris
    I am in as the risk reward is good enough but a tight stop bellow that of Alan, @ 99.099 I sold at 98.942 15 pips loss...
    5d
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    mmm. tough markets at the moment so sorry calls not as good as I expect them to be. Blank page tomorrow and as Churchill once said (or...
  • Squawk / Wednesday at 5:31 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Marabuzo Line caps the topside, Wednesday
    For a 2nd day in succession, USDCAD probed above 1.3000. But again those levels – above a daily Marabuzo line – were not held. This time price action was more subdued and so immediate signals for sentiment have to be assessed as weak. Nonetheless a close near the lows places the technical focus on the downside.
    So we look to Sell in 1.2935/40 area and any 1.2969 rally
    The stop is 1.3004 bid
    Targets - 1.2915, 1.2889 or even 1.2857
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 09 October 2018 at 5:35 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Temporarily Bullish & Buy 1.1470 Dip. Stop 1.1439, Tuesday
    In line with this week's bearish outlook, selling pressure around last Wednesday’s Marabuzo line proved important. Selling interest was renewed Monday with the decline yielding our first downside target and new 7 week lows. But although net losses were posted, there was a significant profit taking bounce from the day’s base that is enough to give intraday bullish bias.
    So we look to Buy in 1.1490/95 area and at 1.1470
    The stop is 1.1439 offered
    Targets - 1.1524, 1.1549 or even 1.1569
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    6d
    l---rudy---l l---rudy---l
    it was worth the wait
    6d
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    well done for having the patience. So much in the trading game is down to timing and patience
    6d
    l---rudy---l l---rudy---l
    you're absolutely right, Alan
  • Squawk / 05 October 2018 at 5:43 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Temporary rebound to extend.
    Like in EURUSD an Asian extension of Wednesday’s deterioration proved temporary. Europe attracted profit taking and CABLE steadily improved during the bulk of the rest of the day. The bounce here was more pronounced and although not strong enough to test the 13 day line, a close near the highs mean intraday signals for sentiment are bullish.
    We look to Buy at 1.3005 and 1.2981
    Targets 1.3039 and 1.3060
    Stop 1.2941 offered
    Closes 1pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    05 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    First target met. Stop to 03. Buy dip cancelled
    05 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Second and final morning target met.
    05 October
    marran marran
    missed this! serves me right for getting up late
  • Squawk / 04 October 2018 at 5:47 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - Bearish & Sell .8893 Rally. Stop .892
    Contrary to yesterday's negative outlook for sentiment, Asia’s gains were temporary with Tuesday’s failure above the 13 day line (and Monday’s Marabuzo line) proving more relevant. The resulting downside took EURGBP to a renewed test of the 200 day mvg avg – unbroken since June. Until/unless that point is breached signals for sentiment cannot be strongly bearish but this morning’s call is still a Cautious Sell
    Selling at .8870 and .8893
    Stop is .8922 bid
    Downside Targets of .8852, .8830 or even .8818
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    04 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    .8852 target met . stop to break even
  • Squawk / 03 October 2018 at 5:55 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Average caps. Sentiment cautiously Bearish.
    In line with yesterday's bearish call, selling pressure dominated Tuesday’s early price action. All of our negative targets were met as CABLE fell more than a big figure to reach 3 week lows. The lows were not entirely maintained as profit taking developed at oversold extremes but the market remains comfortably below the key 13 day mvg avg despite gains in Asia. Nonetheless immediate signals for sentiment are mixed and recognising these factors we are square from the open but look to Sell below 1.2956 (Stop 1.3000, intraday Marabuzo line) or 1.3042 Rally, Tuesday’s open (Stop 1.3083). Targets below 1.2956 are 1.2921, the open from 3 weeks ago, and 1.2897, Sep 10th low.
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    03 October
    alki alki
    Hi Alan! Thanks so much for your consistent and competent work mate. We will miss you after this web site will be discontinued...
    03 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Thank Alki. Will continue to post here until physically impossible.
  • Squawk / 02 October 2018 at 5:56 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - CABLE - Upside rejection targets 1.2948
    An early rally yesterday traded near to our weekly Sell Rally point, Thursday’s Marabuzo line. But selling interest re-emerged marginally below that level and the market closed with only minor net movement. This ‘Doji’ ended a sequence of 3 down days but ensured that CABLE remained below the 13 day mvg avg. This price action does not create strong intraday signals for sentiment but this morning’s call is still a Sell
    We look to Sell in 1.3025/30 area and at 1.3056
    Stop is 1.3090 bid
    Targets - 1.3001, 1.2981 or even 1.2948
    Closing 4pm London time
    www.3cAnalysis.com
    Read the Squawk
    02 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    If 1.3001 hit, stop to be lowered to 1.3050
    02 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    2nd target met. stop now no higher than break even
    02 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    3rd target met.
  • Squawk / 28 September 2018 at 6:53 GMT
    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Just a brief word of Trading encouragement to my past TradingFloor Followers :
    I believe that USD/CHF provides the real "Clue" as to the USD's next really
    significant Trend move. Good Trading ahead. Regards Max.
    Read the Squawk
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