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Today's edition of the Saxo Morning Call features the SaxoStrats team discussing the continuing weakness of the US dollar as commodity prices recover ground and in the wake of key US equity indices hitting all-time highs Thursday.


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No posts
  • Squawk / Friday at 14:13 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    Hi mate you ask about a twitter feed etc......sadly I have never considered it ! You can put your email address on one of my old TFloor posts to ensure your details are lost in the miasma of Tradingfloor articles... and i will get notification from Saxo and I can send a sample of my email stuff if that is of use?
    Read the Squawk
    Coco84 Coco84
    Is it ok if I give it here?
  • Article / Friday at 7:55 GMT

    FX Update: Yen on an explosive trajectory

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    FX Update: Yen on an explosive trajectory
    The USD is weak and the Japanese yen is drastically weaker as rising bond yields are absorbed by the currency rather than JGB’s which can’t move if the BoJ is to make good on its policy. The situation is fraught with danger in both directions.
    Read the article
    helicongrowth helicongrowth
    Absolutely correct on the JPY - because if bond yields start rising because of rising inflation then the holders of JGBs will sell into the BoJ's yield...
    Josehshsh Josehshsh
    so the idea for the JPY is that when the yields go up the bond value go down? As Japan is one of the biggest bond holder...
    i want to join the illuminati brotherhood call Dr mark +2349061232079 i want to join the illuminati brotherhood call Dr mark +2349061232079
  • Squawk / Friday at 5:43 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Key Averages to platform further gains
    Contrary to yesterday's bearish call, the preceding 2 days of consolidation were followed by a renewal of last week’s buying interest. Using the 100 day mvg avg as a platform EURUSD was bought to 2 month highs. Intraday signals for sentiment are approaching overbought extremes but we currently look for any probable, profit taking, negative reactions to prove temporary.
    So we look to Buy in 1.1780/85 area and at 1.1757.
    Targets are 1.1802, 1.1833 and 1.1851
    Risk is 1.1723 offered
    Closes 4pm London time

    For those who have enjoyed our technical analysis trade ideas here over the years, please check out our full subscription service at
    Read the Squawk
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    First target at 1.1802 met. Stop raised to 1.1771 and the buy dip cancelled
  • Squawk / Thursday at 19:35 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    If the site does indeed closedown or simply stop functioning (24th) then to all the regulars onsite that I have had the joy of meeting and learning from over the years may I wish you every success with your trading.
    As an off topic posting may I highlight the divergence on Bund to 10yr Notes yield disparity....@ 2.6% to put this into perspective when the Euro project started the spread on yield was thus far apart so seasoned spread/arbitrage traders out there may want to track this pair IMHO. Remember that we are trading opposing markets in the near term duration and that Notes have a greater rate of change so when building your 1:1 positional arbitrage account also for rates of change and simply skim your net gain. VIX can only remain at extremes for a certain length of time before an average range occurs bringing the VIX back to normal ranges.....I suspect that is the same between Bund and Bond ! Trade for yield normalisation or even faster price distortion.
    Read the Squawk
    fxtime fxtime
    Have a great evening all and happy trading :-)
    Coco84 Coco84
    Thanks for the tips! Do you have a twitter profile one could follow and keep in touch?
    Crispee Crispee
    Thank you so much fxtime for all the great lessons and insightful articles to help me learn and get better.
  • Squawk / Thursday at 5:42 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - Upside rejection points to lower levels.
    Like CABLE, this cross saw Sterling volatility Wednesday. Marginally new 7 week lows were posted but a sharp reaction to that point failed, again, above .8900. The lack of follow through in either direction kept EURGBP between the 100 and 200 day mvg avgs and ensures that signals for sentiment have to be assessed with caution. Nonetheless it is the upside failure that is expected to impact on price action so;
    we look to Sell in the .8875/80 area and at .8902
    Targets are .8861, .8846 and .8830
    The risk is .8922 bid
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    obikobi obikobi
    good call
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Taking some profits below 70 as 61 narroiwly missed. Stop lowered to .8892
    Andrei14 Andrei14
    Alan, thank you. The forecast is at an altitude, a good day
  • Squawk / Wednesday at 5:40 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD, Capped by key averages, points lower
    Monday’s upside failure at the 100 day mvg avg proved important. Sellers emerged yesterday near those highs and resumed the solid decline posted last week. Last week's lows were retested and although the break below has yet to be confirmed, a close near the lows ensures that the technical bias is bearish.
    We look to Sell at 1.2965 and any 1.2990 rally
    Targets are 1.2929, 1.2887 or even 1.2855
    The risk is 1.3027 bid
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    bit a a bumpy ride but after triggering the 1.2990 sell, the 4pm close was modestly profitable. Fingers crossed the market is as kind tomorrow
    geirth geirth
    Too much political noise in the markets these days!
  • 4d
    fxtime fxtime
    Well as a spectator I hope the new project proves to be successful Mike :-)
    Patto Patto
    Micheal McKenna certainly has a way with words but saying Saxo is "shifting our focus in house" is only a cover up for the fact the best...
    ForeverUP ForeverUP
    You´d stress continually every day as NEVER trust a BANKER and a LAWYER. As for here, definitely on the side of Patto´s opinion. But then who cares...
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