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John J Hardy
Want to know what's next for major currencies like the US dollar and the euro? Want to know what trading opportunities are out there? Then check out this webinar, where Saxo Bank's Head of FX Strategy John Hardy provides in-depth analysis into the markets after the first round of central bank meetings in 2016.


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  • Editor’s Picks / 3 hours ago

    North Korean rocket launch angers neighbours and US

    North Korea launched a long-range rocket carrying what it called a satellite, drawing renewed international condemnation just weeks after it carried out a nuclear bomb test. Critics of the rocket program say it is being used to test technology for a long-range missile. South Korea and the United States said they would explore whether to deploy an advanced missile defense system in South Korea "at the earliest possible date".
    Read article on Reuters
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  • Editor’s Picks / 5 hours ago

    Japan records eighteenth straight current account surplus

    Japan posted an 18th consecutive current account surplus as cheap energy imports continue to aid an economy that’s struggling to produce sustained growth and inflation. The excess in the widest measure of the nation’s trade was JPY 960.7 billion ($8.2 billion) in December, from JPY225.9 billion yen a year earlier. The median estimate of 25 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for a surplus of JPY1.05 trillion yen. An influx of tourists and income from investments abroad has also helped in recent months. But overshadowing these positive contributions are a slowdown in exports and weak domestic demand. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the economy to have contracted 0.8% in Q4 2015. “Cheap oil is driving Japan’s current account surplus. Without it, we should keep in mind that the underlying trend isn’t strong,” said Yasuhiro Takahashi at Nomura Securities. “Once you take away oil, companies can’t be very confident about an increase of income from overseas.”
    Read article on Bloomberg
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  • Editor’s Picks / 5 hours ago

    ANZ Bank cooperating with interest-rate benchmark probe

    Australia & New Zealand Banking Group said it’s continuing to cooperate with a probe into possible manipulation of Australia’s interest-rate benchmark, amid a report the regulator is on the verge of taking legal action against the bank. The Australian Securities and Investments Commission is expected to file a civil action against ANZ Bank in relation to breaches of the law relating to the bank-bill swap rate between 2007 and 2013, the Australian Financial Review reported on Monday, without citing sources. An announcement is expected in the next few weeks, the newspaper said.
    Read article on Bloomberg
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  • Editor’s Picks / Yesterday at 23:01 GMT

    China's forex reserves decline to $3.23 trillion

    China’s foreign exchange reserves shrank to the smallest since 2012, indicating that the central bank sold dollars as the yuan’s retreat to a five-year low exacerbated depreciation pressure. The world’s largest currency hoard decreased by $99.5 billion in January to $3.23 trillion, according to a People’s Bank of China statement released on Sunday. The contraction was less than a Bloomberg's estimate of a $120 billion drop. The stockpile slumped by more than half a trillion dollars in 2015, the first-ever annual decline. Policy makers fighting to hold up the weakening yuan amid slower economic growth, plunging stocks and increasing outflows have depleted reserves. The draw-down has continued since the central bank’s surprise devaluation of the currency in August, when the stockpile tumbled $94 billion. “While the remaining reserves represent a substantial war chest, the rapid pace of depletion in recent months is simply unsustainable,” said Rajiv Biswas at IHS Global Insight.
    Read article on Bloomberg
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  • Squawk / Yesterday at 20:11 GMT
    The Volvo stock had a good earnings release Friday, the stock gained in the aftermath...however, the next couple of days could prove interesting. For now I have made one slight change to the wave count and a failure at current levels should pave the way to SEK 69 before mid March. An immediate continuation higher would imply a larger low might be in place after I see it SEK 84 is key for bears and bulls alike.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 19:17 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Volatility in #oil markets assured with bull and bear positions in WTI both rising. Latest Brent data due Monday 1pm CET

    This week the monthly energy reports from both the EIA and IEA will hit our screens on Tuesday. The "drowning in oversupply" comment from the IEA following their January 19 release helped send oil down to what has so far been the low in the market.
    Useful links:
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