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Video

#SaxoStrats
Today's edition of the Saxo Morning Call features the SaxoStrats team discussing the continuing weakness of the US dollar as commodity prices recover ground and in the wake of key US equity indices hitting all-time highs Thursday.

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No posts
  • Squawk / 5 hours ago
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Bearish Outside Day Points Lower
    Modestly higher levels in early trading yesterday yielded our first upside target. But this demand proved limited and temporary. Sentiment turned sharply with the bulk of the day attracting steady selling pressure. The resulting decline took EURUSD back to the 13 day mvg avg but although that held, it is the creation of a Bearish Outside Day pattern that places the technical focus on the downside.
    we look to Sell in 1.1385/90 area and any 1.1411 rally
    Stop is 1.1452 bid
    Targets - 1.1358, 1.1330 or even 1.1306
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    1h
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    After triggering the Sell at 1.1411, we suggest reducing below 1.1385 and lowering stop to 1.1413
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 6:53 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - Tracking Keltner Channel Higher
    Against a background of bullish weekly signals for sentiment, minor gains Monday extended last week's powerful upside. EURGBP was bought at higher levels for a 4th day in a row and the market was sustained above the key mvg avg area. Overbought extremes constrained the limited of the upside and a more significant profit taking reaction cannot be ruled out. But with the undertone still clearly positive our call;
    we look to Buy in .8905/10 area and on a .8894 dip
    Stop is .8867 offered.
    Targets; .8934, .8956 or even .8988.
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    1d
    ldan ldan
    Bought at .8894
  • Squawk / 09 November 2018 at 6:53 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Average supports further gains
    In line with both yesterday's, and this week's, positive calls Wednesday’s strong downside rejection impacted on Thursday’s sentiment. The crucial 13 day mvg avg again acted as a level to attracted buyers and another attempt to break above the Marabuzo line created Nov 1st was made. Although that level yesterday, it has been exceeded in Asia and while caution does need to be applied, our intraday technical studies are positive.
    So we Buy in 1.0070/75 area and any 1.0041 dip
    The stop is 1.0007 offered
    Targets are 1.0095, 1.0121 or even 1.0153
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 08 November 2018 at 6:53 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURGBP - Tracking Keltner Channel Lower
    After 2 down days in a row, yesterday's call highlighted a bearish bias. Although selling pressure was more muted than expected, our Sell rally point was virtually the high of the day. Fresh selling interest arrived in the latter part of the day and this led to minor net losses on the day. That keeps EURGBP tracking the lower end of a negative Keltner channel with no sign of anything other than temporary rallies.
    So we Sell in .8712/17 area and any .8731 rally
    The stop is .8749 bid
    Downside targets of .8697, .8679 and .8662
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    08 November
    JVKNL JVKNL
    in at 12
    08 November
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Our .8697 target has been reached. The focus now is on .8679 with a stop lowered to .8718 and the sell rally strategy cancelled.
  • Squawk / 07 November 2018 at 13:13 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    Why not try and post some technical analysis instead of swamping the site with promises; why not prove your so called economic prowess real time. Otherwise stop filling the site with your charlatan fake promises.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 07 November 2018 at 6:45 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Cautiously Bullish & Buy 1.3093 Dip. Stop 1.3060
    The gradual improvement from Friday’s low continued Tuesday. Bought at higher levels for a 2nd day in a row, USDCAD tested Thursday’s Marabuzo line – maintaining prices above the 13/100 day mvg avg area. Until/unless last week's top is exceeded our technical studies cannot be strongly positive. Nevertheless, buying on intraday setbacks places our focus on the topside despite the failed spike higher in Asian trading.
    So we Buy in 1.3120/25 area and any 1.3093 dip
    The stop is 1.3060 offered
    Targets - 1.3141, 1.3171 and 1.3198
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 06 November 2018 at 6:49 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Key average to support further gains
    This week’s outlook lacks strong signals for sentiment. Despite buying interest Monday, and a 4th higher low, that situation has not changed. CABLE is below the 100 day mvg avg and the 13 week line with both yesterday and Friday only posting minor net movement. So intraday technical studies cannot be strong but they are assessed as mildly bullish.
    We look to Buy at 1.3050 and 1.3033
    Targets are 1.3082 and 1.3098
    Stop is 1.2990 offered
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    06 November
    marran marran
    looks like i have missed the entry on this
    06 November
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Same here
    06 November
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    missed buy level. Hit first target so this view no longer valid
  • Squawk / 31 October 2018 at 7:12 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Cautiously Bullish & Buy 1.3107 Dip. Stop 1.3069
    Our bullish call for Tuesday had some modest success. But the buying on an initial setback still lacked the momentum to retest last week's top and USDCAD continued to trade, uncertainly, within Friday’s parameters. The currency pair remains comfortably above the 13/100 day mvg avg area but is not currently showing strong signals for sentiment. This means that this morning’s analysis has to be made with a good deal of caution. But with buyers returning in Asia, our call for this morning is a Cautious Buy at 1.3125 and 1.3107
    Targets are 1.3150, 1.3168 or even 1.3198
    The stop is 1.3069 offered
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    01 November
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Tks - Thought I was talking to myself on here.
    01 November
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Me too :)
    01 November
    marran marran
    nice trade Alan, thanks
  • Squawk / 30 October 2018 at 6:39 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Tracking Keltner Channel Higher
    In line with this week's outlook, buying interest was attracted to USDCHF yesterday. This renewed attempt to consolidate above 1.0000 overturned Friday’s profit taking setback and although demand faltered near last week's highs, the market is increasingly willing to buy setbacks. Cautious still needs to be applied to this currency pair but our technical studies are mildly positive.
    We look to Buy in 1.0010/15 area and any .9994 dip
    Targets are 1.0036, 1.0052 or even 1.0069
    The stop is .9962 offered
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    30 October
    marran marran
    this pair seems to have been kind to us recently.
    30 October
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    tougher today. Am reducing longs near 30 as momentum weak and 36 target narrowly missed earlier. Stop is now 1.0007
  • Squawk / 26 October 2018 at 5:54 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF – Gradual grind higher targets 1.0069
    This week’s 2nd upside target was met yesterday as this week’s gradual gains extended. Prices above parity were traded for the first time in 3 months – although the highs, an dob intraday extremes, were not entirely maintained. But intraday profit taking setbacks are shallower and this indicates an increasingly positive tone that we expect to impact on today’s price action.
    We look to Buy in .9995/1.0000 area and any .9978 dip
    Targets are 1.0020, 1.0038 or even 1.0069
    The stop is .9938 offered
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
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