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Video

#SaxoStrats
Today's edition of the Saxo Morning Call features the SaxoStrats team discussing the continuing weakness of the US dollar as commodity prices recover ground and in the wake of key US equity indices hitting all-time highs Thursday.

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No posts
  • Squawk / 7 hours ago
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Capped by Key Average, .9862 potential
    Two of yesterday's upside targets were met as the rally from Tuesday’s 8 week lows extended. But these gains failed above the 13 day mvg avg and a Marabuzo line created Dec 6th. The pullback from the highs left USDCHF with only minor net movement – an indecisive ‘Doji’ pattern. But it is the upside rejection that we look to as the backdrop to Thursday’s price action.
    So we look to Sell in .9935/40 area and any .9967 rally
    Targets are .9905, .9889 or even .9862
    The stop is .9991 bid
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    6h
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    USDCHF Reduce Exposure/Lower Stop - Today’s bearish call is being confirmed with solid downside from 7am. But given quiet trading conditions we suggest reducing exposure at current...
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 6:46 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD- Tracking Keltner Channel Lower
    Yesterday's and this week's bearish bias was proved as an initial profit taking rise Tuesday triggered our sell rally level. The resulting renewal of selling pressure took CABLE to new 18 month lows and through our final weekly downside objective. Immediate signals for sentiment remain oversold but, currently, rally attempts (like in Asia this morning) are likely to remain temporary and limited.
    So we look to Sell in 1.2510/15 area and any 1.2542 rally
    Targets are 1.2479, 1.2451 or even 1.2406
    Stop is 1.2580 bid
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    5h
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    No problem., Are you the only guy watching this page any more do you think?
    18m
    marran marran
    im starting to think so! is this the only place on the saxo site you can post?
    7m
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    we're still on their TradeMaker platform but only until the end of March.
  • Squawk / Tuesday at 6:44 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Supported by key Average and Marabuzo line
    Friday’s downside failure at a daily Marabuzo line left the immediate outlook for this week unclear. That situation has yet to be clearly resolved but Friday’s net losses were regained after buyers were again seen near that Marabuzo line (Dec 5th) and the 13 day mvg avg. Until/unless last week's top is breached signals for sentiment cannot be strong but a close near the highs ensures that our technical studies have a positive bias.
    So we look to Buy in 1.3400/05 area and any 1.3363 dip
    Targets are 1.3427, 1.3445 or even 1.3487
    Stop is 1.3328 offered
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 05 December 2018 at 6:39 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    GBPUSD - Upside Rejection to Deepen
    Trading as volatile yesterday with our original negative forecast ‘stopped’ by a strong early rally. But this upside failed to be maintained above the 13 day mvg avg and, although the lows were also not held, it is the failure above that average that leaves our intraday technical signals for sentiment bearish. Caution needs to be applied to cope with volatility that remains but sentiment remains assessed as negative.
    So we look to sell in 1.2685/90 area and on a 1.2711 rally.
    Stop is 1.2747 bid
    Targets 1.2647 and 1.2626.
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    05 December
    marran marran
    im in on this, i think the only way for gbp is down over the next few weeks
    05 December
    marran marran
    well no cigar!
  • Squawk / 04 December 2018 at 6:48 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Asian gains to temporarily extend
    Against a background of bearish weekly signals for sentiment Monday’s price action did not provide clear direction. The market fluctuated around the important 13 day mvg avg with both initial demand and subsequent downside not held. This means that caution needs to be applied for Tuesday but, although there remains the concern of a Bearish Evening Star pattern in the background, Asian demand gives our immediate technical studies a positive bias.
    We look to Buy in 1.1375/80 area and any 1.1350 dip
    Stop is 1.1305 offered
    Targets - 1.1396, 1.1412 and 1.1434
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    05 December
    mehanik mehanik
    Hi Alla on the monthly chart in descending
  • Squawk / 29 November 2018 at 6:57 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Bearish & Sell 1.3295 Rally. Stop 1.3329
    In line with our call, demand again dominated USDCAD Wednesday. A 4th up day in a row was
    posted as the currency pair was bought to the most bullish levels traded for 5 months. But in late
    price action sentiment changed sharply with all gains reversed. Net movement was minor but the
    upside rejection is likely to impact on today’s price action.
    So we look to Sell in 1.3270/75 area and any 1.3295 rally
    Stop is 1.3329 bid
    Targets - 1.3242, 1.3217 and 1.3186
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    29 November
    ldan ldan
    Sold 1.3295
  • Squawk / 28 November 2018 at 6:44 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURJPY - Cautiously Bullish & Buy 128.35 Dip. Stop 128.05
    Despite Monday’s solid gains, Tuesday’s forecast was a negative one. This was due to demand stalling at the crucial 13 day mvg avg and this proved correct. But price action was volatile and, despite a negative bias, net movement was minor. This kept EURJPY fluctuating around the 13 day line and does not provide strong signals for sentiment going into Wednesday. Nonetheless, demand has been seen in Asia and with this likely to impact on this morning’s sentiment.
    We look to Buy in 128.55/60 area and on any 128.35 dip
    The stop is 128.05 offered
    Targets - 128.85 and 129.10
    Closes 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    28 November
    marran marran
    im in on this but getting nervous! lol
    28 November
    marran marran
    closed one trade moved stop loss and letting the other run, thanks Alan
  • Squawk / 27 November 2018 at 6:35 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Key Average supports further upside
    Although our weekly view for USDCAD is a bullish one, price action has been trapped over the last 3 days. Buying interest has been steady at the 13 day mvg avg but the upside has been limited around a Marabuzo line created Nov 20th. This means that any immediate analysis has to be made with caution but it is yesterday's downside rejection that we look for today’s technical guidance.
    So we look to Buy in 1.3245/50 area and any 1.3217 setback
    Stop is 1.3186 offered
    Targets- 1.3273, 1.3298 or even 1.3319
    Closed 4pm London time
    www.3cAnalysis.com
    Read the Squawk
    27 November
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    1.3273 target met. Stop to 1.3236 and buy dip cancelled
  • Squawk / 22 November 2018 at 6:49 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCAD - Bearish & Sell 1.3266 Rally. Stop 1.3298
    USDCAD failed to build upon Tuesday’s powerful gains yesterday. Instead profit taking above 1.3300, and at overbought extremes, dominated the day’s price action. The resulting decline took the currency pair back to Tuesday’s Marabuzo line. The fact that that point held compromises negative sentiment to a degree but our technical signals are left bearish.
    so we look to sell in 1.3230/35 area and any 1.3266 rally
    Stop is 1.3298 bid.
    Targets- 1.3201, 1.3170 or even 1.3127
    Closed 4pm London time
    www.3cAnalysis.com
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 21 November 2018 at 6:43 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Bearish Outside Day Points Lower
    Modestly higher levels in early trading yesterday yielded our first upside target. But this demand proved limited and temporary. Sentiment turned sharply with the bulk of the day attracting steady selling pressure. The resulting decline took EURUSD back to the 13 day mvg avg but although that held, it is the creation of a Bearish Outside Day pattern that places the technical focus on the downside.
    we look to Sell in 1.1385/90 area and any 1.1411 rally
    Stop is 1.1452 bid
    Targets - 1.1358, 1.1330 or even 1.1306
    Closing 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    21 November
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    After triggering the Sell at 1.1411, we suggest reducing below 1.1385 and lowering stop to 1.1413
    21 November
    marran marran
    not a good day for me so far
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