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Video

Ole Hansen
Saxo Bank’s head of commodity strategy Ole Hansen considers the implications of pledges by Saudi Arabia and Russia to raise oil production despite the likes of Iran and Venezuela not backing the move.

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  • Squawk / 9 hours ago
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    USDCHF - Supported by key average. 1.0019 potential
    Yesterday's report highlighted an underlying positive tone but an absence of buy signals. That proved correct as trading in USDCHF was muted Tuesday. An early decline found fresh demand near Thursday’s Marabuzo line and the 13 day mvg avg. That bounce did not translate into significant upside but it is the weakness of selling interest that ensures our technical bias is bullish, especially after demand in Asia.
    We look to buy near .9955 and at .9934
    The risk is .9898 offered with targets at .9978, .9999 and 1.0019
    Closes at 4pm London time
    Read the Squawk
    9h
    Romanatrader Romanatrader
    Good Morning Alan....thank you....USD/CHF looks good for buy
    9h
    KS2011 KS2011
    Thanks Alan
    3h
    JVKNL JVKNL
    Thank you again Alan
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 21:03 GMT
    FX Trade Strategist / www.Loonieviews.net
    Canada
    US Wrap: Trade War Drums Spook FX

    NY Focus: President Trump is the “Little Drummer Boy”, beating out a tattoo of trade threats to China. The G-10 currencies are the snare drums. The President’s threat to impose additional tariffs against China if China responds to his tariffs drove FX traders into risk aversion trades. The Japanese yen was the biggest beneficiary as the rest of the G-10 majors sank.

    Unfortunately for New York traders, all the action occurred before they got to their desks. EURUSD dropped from a European high of 1.1624 to 1.1531. It opened in New York at 1.1552. An early attempt to push prices below the European bottom failed, and the single currency drifted higher throughout the day, closing at 1.1880. US Housing Starts and Building Permits data was a non-factor.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 21:02 GMT
    FX Trade Strategist / www.Loonieviews.net
    Canada
    US Wrap-Part 2: Sterling dropped from 1.3240 to 1.3164 as New York started and added to the losses, touching 1.3151. Prices zig-zagged higher but stalled at 1.3185. Traders are concerned about ongoing Brexit discussions and the risk of a dovish Bank of England meeting Thursday.

    USDJPY drifted higher in a 109.70-110.07 range on the back of profit-taking. A drop in US Treasury yields and Wall Street losses capped the upside.

    Wall Street was awash in red ink, led by a 1.15% plunge in the DJIA, which pushed the index into negative territory for the year. President Trump’s antics help boost the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) 8.45%.
    Chart: DJIA YTD, source: CNN Money
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 21:00 GMT
    FX Trade Strategist / www.Loonieviews.net
    Canada
    US Wrap, Part 3: Oil prices were choppy as trader reacted to rumours ahead of the Opec meeting on Friday. WTI oil bounced in a $64.40-$65.41 range. Prices firmed at the close after the American Petroleum Institute reported a 3.01 million /barrel decline in crude inventories.

    Wednesday Focus: FX traders will be starved for actionable economic data again, leaving currencies vulnerable to rumours. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is part of a panel at the ECB forum in Sintra Portugal. USDJPY snapped a minor uptrend with the move below 110.40 and tested support at 109.50 which held. The prospect of higher US rates should help alleviate risk aversion fears, suggesting a 109.50-110.30 range for the day ahead.

    Chart: USDJPY 1 hour
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 5:41 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURUSD - Weak rally emphasises bearish bias.
    The backdrop to EURUSD remains dominated by Thursday’s aggressive decline. Price action yesterday was muted with limited movement in range and net direction. This kept EURUSD under Thursday’s Marabuzo line and the 13 day mvg avg without attracting significant fresh selling interest. This means that today’s signals are weak and despite the underlying bearish bias there is no immediate sell signal.
    So we look to Sell any 1.1687 rally (stop 1.1744) or on a downside break of 1.1588 (stop 1.1645).
    Targets below 1.1588 are 1.1543 and 1.1510.
    Read the Squawk
    1d
    geirth geirth
    Yes, done! Joined from 1.1586. Thanks Alan.
    1d
    JVKNL JVKNL
    So i was waiting.for.the 1,1687😕
    1d
    KS2011 KS2011
    Thanks Alan
  • Squawk / Monday at 21:00 GMT
    FX Trade Strategist / www.Loonieviews.net
    Canada
    US Wrap: Trade jitters and Opec

    NY Focus: FX markets were lethargic. Perhaps it’s the heat and humidity across a broad swath of US and Canada or maybe the Fifa World Cup, but whatever the reason, traders weren’t interested. The US dollar closed in New York with small losses against the Swiss franc and Euro while posting small gains against the commodity currency bloc. The Japanese yen and British pound closed nearly unchanged.

    EURUSD appears to be in consolidation mode after racking up big losses late last week. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he was still at “three rate increases for the year.” He also said that among his contacts economic growth optimism has faded and been replaced with concerns about trade. EURUSD bounced inside a 1.15945-1.1623 band.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Monday at 21:00 GMT
    FX Trade Strategist / www.Loonieviews.net
    Canada
    US Wrap: Part 2 Sterling didn’t get any traction in either direction, trading in a 1.3228-1.3261 range. Traders are wary ahead of Thursday’s Bank of England policy meeting and Brexit issues. The British House of Lords rejected Prime Minister May’s plan to give parliament a “meaningful vote.”

    USDJPY did not have much enthusiasm for a rally. Prices struggled in a 110.38-110.57 range with gains capped the risk of trade war fueled risk aversion demand and soft US Treasury yields.

    Oil prices recovered a large chunk of Friday’s losses that occurred after reports that Russia wanted Opec to agree to a substantial production increase. Iran said they would block the move. Goldman Sachs analysts predicted higher prices driven by falling inventories. They are not changing their peak Brent forecast of $82.50/barrel.

    Trade concerns undermined Wall Street. The NASDAQ closed unchanged while the SPX and DJIA were in the red.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Monday at 21:00 GMT
    FX Trade Strategist / www.Loonieviews.net
    Canada
    US Wrap: Part 3 Tuesday Focus: There is potential for EURUSD volatility from speeches by ECB’ President Mario Draghi and Chief Economist Peter Praet but not from economic data. EURUSD may continue to digest last week’s losses in a 1.1540-1.1640 range
    Chart: EURUSD
    Read the Squawk
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