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News that the EU and the UK had agreed a 21-month Brexit transition deal propelled sterling higher yesterday but some gains were subsequently lost as doubts crept in. Sterling faces a difficult week between today's CPI, tomorrow's BoE meeting and the EU summit in Brussels on Thursday and Friday.


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  • 20m
    TradingFan TradingFan
    Good Morning Alan, on board...
  • Article / Yesterday at 12:54 GMT

    Equities to survive macro bombardment and tech tax? – #SaxoStrats

    Head of Equity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Equities to survive macro bombardment and tech tax? – #SaxoStrats
    Global equities are rolling into the new week on a weak footing following last week's declines. Macro data are getting weaker and this week's macro figures will likely support this trend. The flattening yield curve will be a big talking point, Chinese earnings releases will dominate emerging markets and technology companies will be under pressure from a potential new technology tax proposed by the EU Commission.
    Read the article
    Alan M Alan M
    Hey Peter, do you remain positive on facebook from here, or do you feel this is the first of a whole shelf of shoes to drop? I...
    Peter Garnry Peter Garnry
    I can't comment specifically on the direction of Facebook. But as we highlighted in today's morning call (see link) Facebook's stock sits on the 200-day MA and...
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 12:10 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Brexit negotiation breakthrough boosts sterling. The EU commission announced a short while ago that the EU and UK sides have come to an agreement on the terms of the Brexit transition, and the EU's Barnier was making much friendlier noises at a press conference than he has in the past, saying that both sides agree on large parts of the Brexit treaty, even if not all is agreed. Importantly, it appears that some agreement has been reached on the Irish border issue as well.

    GBPUSD is trading well above 1.4000, a pivotal area of late, and EURGBP is down in the last bits of the long-standing range at 0.8755.

    This looks promising for sterling for the near term at minimum. Remember that a BoE meeting is up on Thursday.
    Read the Squawk
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Obviously strong GBP driver. Thx. I very much like this short squawk from you, Sir.
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 11:36 GMT
    Technical Analyst / FuturesTechs
    United Kingdom
    DAX on the cusp of the dreaded "Death Cross" signal. Here's a snippet of my report to clients this morning, plus the chart:

    "Last week saw a big sell off on Tuesday followed by a recovery subsequently to get most of it back. 12440 is/was a Fibonacci level of note so seeing this off properly is the bulls priority. But I want to draw your attention to something else this morning: See the green and blue moving averages above the market? Yes, thems that are about to cross… They are the 50 and 200 day SMAs… So yes, if they cross we get a classic “Death Cross” sell signal. The last time the 50 day SMA was below the 200 day was August 2016. The last time we got this sort of sell signal was September 2015".
    Read the Squawk
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    Incidentally the FTSE, which has led the way lower this morning mainly due to Sterling strength, gave a similar signal last week, as did the Eurostoxx 50....
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