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TV

John J Hardy
Want to know what's next for major currencies like the US dollar and the euro? Want to know what trading opportunities are out there? Then check out this webinar, where Saxo Bank's Head of FX Strategy John Hardy provides in-depth analysis into the markets after the first round of central bank meetings in 2016.

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  • Squawk / Yesterday at 21:34 GMT
    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    The S&P 500 ended the week on key support levels (see chart below) having failed to rally after the positive jobs report. However, USD traders were more impressed, pushing it higher. Money markets slightly increased the chance of rate hikes this year. We now await an update on China’s FX reserves position on Sunday and FOMC Chair Yellen’s view on the situation before the US Congress on Wednesday.

    Gold continues to rally nicely and is closely tracking my Bullish Analysis and Forecast (refer Daily and Weekly charts below)
    Read the Squawk
    13h
    Treve Treve
    thanks Max, your analysis on Gold is much appreciated!
  • Trade view / Yesterday at 16:47 GMT
    Short term

    UPDATE: FB iron condor moving profitable at expiry

    Product Manager Futures and Listed Options / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    For the trade initiated on January 27, an earnings play on FB, after surging to a high of $117.59 profit taking has clearly taken over and shares are now reversing back into our condor's short vertical call spread (wing). At the time of writing FB is trading at $106.28 and below breakeven point of $107.60 and the condor could be bought back for $0.30 against the $0.60 received at initiation.
    Read the Trade View
  • 18h
    John Shaw John  Shaw
    Another great piece today Mike. Thanks for sharing.
    Have a great weekend and a good bowl of Super Bowl chili and nachos.
    Us old guys...
    18h
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    .Not me. I'm going for the new guy, fig newton
    8h
    yuiyui yuiyui
    maybe i wasn't so far off to say that the low CAD had been stimulative for exports....
  • Article / Yesterday at 15:26 GMT

    FX 4 Next Week: Yellen calls the shots

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    FX 4 Next Week: Yellen calls the shots
    The market suffered a traumatic week this week, as the moves of the previous week on the back of the Bank of Japan’s shock negative rates move were entirely reversed and then some as the week progressed. Next week will be about whether the US jobs report was sufficiently interesting to shore up the US dollar’s prospects and how Janet Yellen positions the FOMC after all of the turmoil to start this year.
    Read the article
  • Article / Yesterday at 14:39 GMT

    Friday charts: JPY, European financials, sentiment, US yield curve

    Blogger / MoreLiver's Daily
    Finland
    Friday charts: JPY, European financials, sentiment, US yield curve
    European financial stocks have underperformed the rest of the market during the beginning of 2016. The divergence is large enough to suggest a reasonable market neutral spread-trading opportunity. Elsewhere, despite the Bank of Japan's negativity surprise, the JPY seems intent on not going anywhere - tread carefully! Meanwhile, the US yield curve has flattened, and the 10y-2y spread is lower than at any point since 2008.
    Read the article
    18h
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    I omitted the European financials- charts, so here goes:
    18h
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    Another:
    17h
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    More European doom&gloom, suggesting a bottom is close, here: "Europe's Economic Outlook Darkens, Sends Shudder Through Markets" http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-05/europe-s-economic-outlook-darkens-sends-shudder-through-markets
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 13:56 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    US Employment Report: were it not for all of the recent market panic and market instability, this was just what the doctor ordered if we're to expect more hawkish Fed and faster pace of rate hikes for the rest of the year: higher labor utilization as evidenced by the Average Weekly Hours back at the highest level for the cycle and the highest two months of earnings increases for the cycle. (Jan. at 2.5% YoY and Dec. revised up to +2.7%).

    There has been a bit of delayed reaction, but that seems to be the idea now as the USD rallies and the December 2016 Fed Funds future prices in a few more basis points of hiking. Weak payrolls growth doesn't matter much if the interpretation is that skilled workers are hard to find and that wages will rise faster now.

    That's a big "if" however, and the overhanging question is how much the market has this data on the radar with so many other fish to fry, especially China's reserves report over the weekend and next week's Yellen testimony.
    Read the Squawk
  • Article / Yesterday at 12:39 GMT

    Mid-session Europe: Fixated on NFP

    Saxo Markets
    Denmark
    Mid-session Europe: Fixated on NFP
    All eyes are focused on the crunch nonfarm payrolls numbers from the US at 1330 GMT. The market consensus foresees an increase of 190,000 jobs in January. Anything severely less than this would smash hopes of ever a small rate hike this year and the market would punish the dollar.
    Read the article
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