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  • 17m
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    This comment has been redacted
  • Article / 34 minutes ago

    What’s the target for USDJPY?

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    What’s the target for USDJPY?
    USDJPY has broken to a major new high and is trading at levels not seen since 2007. Where it goes from here may depend more on upcoming US data releases than anything else, unless we see a disruptive move in risk appetite in the days ahead.
    Read the article
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    USDJPY is through 123 and is currently trading at 123.13 at 1306 GMT. It has been as high as 123.286.
  • Squawk / 36 minutes ago
    Head of Macro Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Solid US durable goods orders for April:

    A change in durable goods orders of -0.5% m/m for April does not sound very good, but beneath the headline - which was in line with expectations while March was revised to 5.1% from 4% - the numbers are better than expected. Durable goods orders outside the volatile transportation sector rose 0.5% vs. 0.3% expected in April while March was revised from -0.2% to 0.6%.

    Capital goods orders - a proxy for future investment spending in the GDP accounts - rose 1% vs. 0.3% expected while capital goods shipments - a proxy for present investment spending - rose 0.8% vs. 0.3% expected. Both were revised higher for March to 1.5% and 1% from -0.5% and -0.4% respectively.

    Despite the large upward revisions to March and generally better-than-expected figures for April, durable goods orders remain weak. Orders are down 6.8% in the last six months compared to the previous six, and flat 3m/3m. And it is the same when you exclude transportation at -2.8% ...
    Read the Squawk
    Mads Koefoed Mads Koefoed
    ... -1.5% respectively.

    Therefore the outlook for present quarter GDP growth remains muted based on available monthly indicators and we need to see a pick-up in data in...
    Mads Koefoed Mads Koefoed
    US house prices rose 1% in March according to the Case-Shiller 20-city composite index. This implies an (unchanged) annual rate of growth in house prices of 5%...
  • Editor’s Picks / 1 hour ago

    Polish euroseptic win sends shiver down Brussels' spine

    Global Economic Trend Analysis
    Poland may be faring rather better than many of its European Union counterparts economically with a relatively modest unemployment rate of 7.8%, but that has not stopped anti-austerity candidate Andrzej Duda from storming to victory in presidential elections this weekend against the pro-Brussels incumbent, Bronislaw Komorowski. Komorowski's defeat, says Mish Shedlock, is yet another shot across the bows of the European Union juggernaut after the victory of Podemos in Spain's local elections and the surprise surge across the line at the start of the month for David Cameron's conservatives in the UK election. Dissatisfaction with the whole European project is growing, says Shedlock, and it will take an almighty change on the part of Brussels to turn this around.
    Read article on Global Economic Trend Analysis
    Go to post
  • Editor’s Picks / 2 hours ago

    'Quick and dirty' on Greece not working

    There have been good reasons why "quick-and-dirty" stopgap solutions to the ongoing crisis in Greece have been so prevalent, not least the opportunity it affords to cobble together compromises and political consensus with a bit of breathing space. But, writes Mohamed A. El-Erian, IMF chief Christine Lagarde is right to point out that this kind of sticky-plaster solution is no longer applicable to the Eurozone crisis and only a comprehensive approach to the Greek crisis can possibly engender the kind of result that allows everyone to move forward as the band-aid approach yields less and less results with each passing measure.
    Read article on Bloomberg
    Go to post
  • Editor’s Picks / 2 hours ago

    Modri ahead of the curve...just

    If the opinion polls are to be believed, then Indians are relatively happy with Narendra Modri's first year in power giving the incumbent a 74% mandate to carry on. Nevertheless, if Modri is to make good his pledges to bring "better times" to India, there is much work to do and he cannot necessarily rely on the luck that has helped see him through his first 12 months on the back of lower oil prices which has helped him to curb inflation and contain the fiscal deficit. If he can address the corruption that has been all too prevalent in Indian business and political circles. then we really might be looking at a game-changing regime. But the economy is still Modri's achilles' heel and with some 13 million Indians annually looking for work, this is the key area in which he has to deliver.
    Read article on BBC
    Go to post
  • Article / 2 hours ago

    European Stocks: One last push higher?

    Trader /
    United States
    European Stocks: One last push higher?
    With four trading days left in the month of May, some pundits that go by the slogan "sell in May and go away" are calling this a last four-day opportunity to sell stocks. The path of least resistance, however, remains higher and European indices appear set to rally before a mean-reversion move takes place. Buy the dips, don't chase the rallies.
    Read the article
  • Article / 3 hours ago

    China, Australia and iron ore

    Chief Economist & CIO / Saxo Bank
    A look at the iron ore charts, as well as Fortescue shares, shows a potential play combining three themes that look likely to grow more prominent in the long term: Chinese growth via the new SIlk Road, commodities through iron ore and Australia through mining exposure.
    Read the article
    ozgur hatipoglu ozgur hatipoglu
    Hi Steen, referring to yr ending sentence, I understand you mean if/when Iron ore price break out to the upside, other commodity prices will supposedly move along,...
    Steen Jakobsen Steen Jakobsen
    You are right
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