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Dan Larsen
Saxo Bank’s head of FX options Dan Juhl Larsen covers such topics as rolling positions, long term versus short term views, and simple strategies and positioning.


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  • 32m
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    The EIA replicated the findings of the API report in showing draws across the board while stocks at Cushing rose by less than expected. Crude oil production...
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    EIA charts
  • Squawk / 3 hours ago
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Crude oil continues to rally with a potential Iran disruption being sited as the driver. Struggling with this assumption considering the 1.8 m b/d the OPEC+ group could unleash to counter. Probably more a reaction to the technical breakout of an increasingly tight range.

    Our monthly commodities outlook will be live at 13:30 CET. You can sign up here:
    Read the Squawk
  • Article / 3 hours ago

    Weekly Bond Update: Why banks deserve a second look – #SaxoStrats

    Manager, Global Sales Trading / Saxo Bank
    Weekly Bond Update: Why banks deserve a second look – #SaxoStrats
    In a low-interest environment, opportunities for yield-hungry investors seem few and far between. But one sector that could provide a useful comparative advantage is financial sector bonds. Tougher regulations and bigger capital adequacy constraints since the GFC mean that they're now in far better shape than before the Lehman bubble exploded.
    Read the article
  • Article / 6 hours ago

    FX Update: Is it really about the FOMC at the moment? – #SaxoStrats

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    It’s the first FOMC meeting of new Fed Chairman Powell – and it's obvious that this is the market’s primary focus. But it is far from clear that the market is trading lately on Fed expectations and whether today's meeting will produce any surprise of note. Still, with the USD near the tipping point in many pairs, a reaction of some kind is inevitable.
    Read the article
  • 6h
    alki alki
    Same to you, my good sir!
    Morten Olby Morten Olby
    Good pick Alki, I think it is a keeper. I can not find the entry so just looking at it going lower from the side-line :-(. Thanks...
  • Trade view / 7 hours ago
    Day trade

    USDCHF – Tracking Keltner channel higher

    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    Two days of indecisive price action was followed by a renewal of investor buying interest Tuesday. Overbought extremes are an increasing concern but despite a decline in Asia we look for the currency pair to continue tracking the Keltner channel higher.
    Read the Trade View
    alki alki
    Of course i understand Alan. There is a good amount on uncertainty.
    For the time being it looks the market is on my side .-) Thanks!
    marran marran
    are you sticking with this alan or closing out?
    AlanCollins AlanCollins
    Move accentuated by EURCHF of course but sticking with it Marran. stop in right place I feel.
  • Squawk / 9 hours ago
    Global Macro Strategist / Saxo Bank Group - Singapore Hub
    Ok folks, so just finished a quick overview of the price action of gold post the previous five FOMC hikes...

    Bottom line, historically at least:

    * …on average post the prior five FOMC hikes gold seems to rally after a one week and two weeks, to a one–three month time frame, however, on average, the first week sees gold finishing up +0.17%

    *This time around, unless we get a very hawkish Fed, I have a feeling that we could get quite a pop up in gold just given the recent bullish price action. I definitely get the sense of bidders out there, despite higher yields, stronger USD, etc.

    *The range in price performance is pretty big over the period, from -3.20% to +16.87%, with an average range of +0.17% to +7.90%

    *The only thing consistent so far, seems to be that on a 3-month basis post each of the five FOMC hikes we’ve had, gold is up anything from +5.51% to +16.87%, which is a great asymmetrical skew for gold bulls.

    (Note we adjusted our "short gold into the FOMC" today in Asia)
    Read the Squawk
    alki alki
    A good one, Kyle, thanks!
  • 14h
    Treve Treve
    Max another Big Risk/Reward, nice!
    benlouro benlouro
    i´m in with option
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