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Ole Hansen
Stock markets are wobbling and political risk remains both with President Trump in US and European elections. Saxo Bank’s head of commodity strategy Ole Hansen says gold is outperforming silver which indicates safe haven demand.


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  • 2h
    Patto Patto
    As of now the money market is fully pricing in a rate hike by March 2018 with a 30% chance of a move as soon as this...
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 14:49 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    US crude oil inventories rose by 5m barrels to a new record last week. Distillate and gasoline both dropped in line with expectations. The inventory rise was driven by increased imports, especially from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iraq. The average import from these Opec producers showing no signs of slowing y-t-d.
    Production rose by 20k b/d while refinery demand rose by more than expected on solid refinery margins.
    Read the Squawk
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    More supply: Reuters reports that Libya's production has returned to 700k b/d and the NOC Chairman say they are hoping to reach 1.1m b/d by August
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 14:33 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    US crude oil inventories rose by 5 m barrels last week primarily due to a 900k b/d pick up in imports. This was more than expected while gasoline and distillates both dropped in line with expectations. Production rose 20k b/d. Brent and WTI both hit a new low for the day
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 13:58 GMT
    Technical Analyst / FuturesTechs
    United Kingdom
    Well this could be interesting... On the "June only" chart for the Dow Futures, with the overnight trade "stripped out", yesterday's low was 20603. Back on February 21st we were on the way up and we gapped higher. This left a gap between 20533 and 20597.

    This all suggests that 20597-603 is an important level to watch today, especially in the first few hours of trade when this could well be "decided". Because we have opened BELOW here, and if we stay below here we'll have an "Island Reversal" topping formation on this chart.. This is a BIG reveral pattern...
    Read the Squawk
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    No Island... We've filled the gap; the first sign that dip buyers are still out there!
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 13:47 GMT
    Technical Analyst / FuturesTechs
    United Kingdom
    According to all the books I've ever read on Technical Analysis, and there's been a few, a Head and Shoulders pattern is only completed when you break the Neckline of the pattern.

    The H&S is a pattern consisting of 3 peaks, the middle one being the highest, and the Neckline is the line that joins the two lows between the three peaks.

    So if you're looking at the Dollar Index right now, and I know many people are, the Neckline is at 98.83. So we haven't got a sell signal yet. 99.09 is a Fibonacci support and has already seen one bounce back in early February. Here's a chart. Happy to add colour for anyone who is confused. The Neckline is the orange line...
    Read the Squawk
    Morris Morris
    Giving some hope! Some may need it.
  • 9h
    benlouro benlouro
    VERY GOOD ARTICLE and coincident with my view and philosophy of investing in the next year or so...
    Patto Patto
    Growth in the Fed's balance sheet via bond buying has driven down the term premium on US Treasuries (about 1% according to the fed). That's what is...
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