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  • Article / 15 hours ago

    Timing, not size, is the Fed's focus

    Managing Partner / Spotlight Group
    United Kingdom
    Timing, not size, is the Fed's focus
    There is some speculation that when the Fed eventually increases rates, a smaller increase than the expected 25 basis points may occur. However, this would be the first in history this would happen and is unlikely. While the increase is expected to be 25bps, it is still difficult to say whether they will move in September or December.
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    sarahvillanuess sarahvillanuess
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  • Editor’s Picks / Monday at 4:52 GMT

    China must act fast to fix demographic time bomb

    South China Morning Post
    The baby boom expected for China with the 2013 easing of the one-child policy has not happened. Couples allowed to have two children have decided not to, putting finances, lifestyle and careers first. The low birth rate and ageing issue mean that population control measures should be scrapped. The one-child policy has meant a rapid ageing of society, a shrinking workforce, growing numbers of elderly and a vast gender imbalance. The worse the demographics get, the more the economy will suffer through low productivity, a decline in consumerism and the need for more government funding for pensions and health care.
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    Ricky2154857 Ricky2154857
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    Cassy Cassy
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  • Squawk / Thursday at 12:45 GMT
    Head of Macro Strategy / Saxo Bank
    US jobless claims hit lowest level since 1970s:

    Last week just 255,000 applied for first-time jobless benefits in the US, according to a new report. This was way below both the expectation of 278,000 and the prior reading of 281,000. It is, in fact, the lowest reading since November 1973 when claims stood at 233,000. As a result, the (less volatile) four-week moving average fell to 279,000 from 283,000.

    It must be remembered that there is typically plenty of volatility in the jobless claims series in July due to factory shutdowns etc. (the Labor Department mentions school staffing as another example).

    Overall, initial jobless claims should remain low (250,000 - 300,000 area) for the remainder of the year as the US labour market continues to expand at a solid pace.

    EURUSD fell from north of 1.101 to around 1.098 as a result, but remains up 0.4% for the day.
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