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  • Article / 13 hours ago

    RBA keeps market guessing on future rate cuts

    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    RBA keeps market guessing on future rate cuts
    The RBA board kept the policy rate at 2%. The central bank will releases its updated economic forecasts on November 6. If it revises its economic forecasts down on that date, then it may cut the policy rate as well. Meanwhile the IMF says the Australian dollar is still “on the strong side”.
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    Treve Treve
    very timely and well presented article/thanks!
  • Article / 14 hours ago

    3 Numbers: Upbeat German factory orders, EURUSD, US Treasury yields

    editor/analyst /
    United States
    3 Numbers: Upbeat German factory orders, EURUSD, US Treasury yields
    Germany is facing various macro challenges, including blowback from the Volkswagen scandal. So a solid rebound in manufacturing orders will be a welcome sign of an improving outlook for Europe's top economy. Meanwhile signs that the US is slowing may have trapped the EURUSD into a tight trading range, and the latest decline in Treasury yields mean a Federal Reserve rate hike this year looks highly unlikely.
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  • Article / Yesterday at 13:00 GMT

    After the deluge, any port will do

    Director / Accumen Management
    United Kingdom
    After the deluge, any port will do
    The market is none the wiser after Friday's September US jobs report, which sparked selling of the USD and exit from "risk" positions. In terms of uncertainty, we are right back where we were before the report.
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  • Editor’s Picks / Yesterday at 10:11 GMT

    Blame easy money for Glencore's plunge

    The Telegraph
    The central-bank fostered flood of easy money through the global system is directly to blame for Glencore's shocking 30% share-price plunge one week ago, writes Jeremy Warner. Glencore's travails have effectively become a proxy for emerging-markets difficulties and with China on the wane and central banks creating yet more bubbles, there's no sign of an end to this. The complete misreading of China based on the hope of a constant revolving belt of demand is at the heart of the Glencore gamble.
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  • 1d
    ChristianK ChristianK
    what is your time horizon and this trade? where would you put a stop / trailing stop?
    Michael Boye Michael Boye
    Hi Christian. We think this trade works for at least the medium term, while short term is more of a timing issue. For now it seems the...
  • Article / Yesterday at 4:00 GMT

    3 Numbers: EU retail outlook softens; US ISM services, labour market

    editor/analyst /
    United States
    3 Numbers: EU retail outlook softens; US ISM services, labour market
    Today's retail sales update for August will attract close scrutiny to see if it offers any clues about the general health of the single currency union. In the US, the ISM Services Index for September should provide some welcome good news about the economy in the wake of last week's disappointing nonfarm number. Meanwhile the Fed’s Labor Market Conditions Index may reveal whether the grim jobs number was an anomaly, or a sign of a worrying trend.
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  • Editor’s Picks / Sunday at 23:45 GMT

    Emerging market turmoil a warning for global economy

    Emerging economies risk "leading the world economy into a slump", with lower growth and a rout in financial markets, according to the latest Brookings Institution-Financial Times tracking index. Chris Giles writes that released ahead of the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Lima, Peru, the index paints a much more pessimistic outlook than the fund is likely to predict later this week. According to Eswar Prasad of Brookings, weak economic data across most poorer economies has created "a dangerous combination of divergent growth patterns, deficient demand, and deflationary risks".
    Read article on CNBC
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