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  • Calendar event / Just now
    High Industrial Output (on month)
    -1.8%
    -3.4%
    Med Inventory-Shipments Ratio (on month)
    +4.3%
    Med Shipments (on month)
    -3.4%
    Med Inventories (on month)
    +0.5%
    Med Companies Forecast Ind Output In Following Month
    -2%
    Med Companies Forecast Ind Output Two Months Later
    +3.6%
  • Article / 1 hour ago

    KVP’S Macro Take: Everyone has a plan 'til they're punched in the face

    Asia Macro Strategist / Saxo Capital Markets
    Singapore
    KVP’S Macro Take: Everyone has a plan 'til they're punched in the face
    As the boxer Mike Tyson says, “everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face”. The importance of carrying out risk management & position sizing cannot be emphasized enough. End of 1Q in this short week, packed with Fed speakers, quarterly shuffles & lots of US data + nonfarm payrolls being due on Friday, April 3. Meanwhile only 9 days ago to the Tuesday, April 7 RBA decision, where there should be a cut
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  • Article / Friday at 13:57 GMT

    WCU: Commodity focus turns to Yemen

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    WCU: Commodity focus turns to Yemen
    Yemen was the big story of the week as a Saudi Arabian-led coalition attacked Hauthi rebels, sparking fears of a spike in tensions between Shiite Iran and its Sunni neighbours and triggering sharp gains for oil and precious metals. Elsewhere, industrial metals lagged and the agricultural sector awaited a key report due next week.
    Read the article
    2d
    Ole Hansen Ole Hansen
    With regard to oil markets also remember that the deadline for an agreement between Iran and six major powers is on Tuesday March 31. Look out for...
  • Squawk / Friday at 13:39 GMT
    Head of Macro Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    US economy grew 2.2% in the fourth quarter:

    The third estimate of Q4 GDP shows that the world's largest economy grew by 2.2% q/q (annualised) vs. 2.4% expected and unchanged from the second estimate a month ago.

    Following growth rates of 4.6% and 5% in Q2 and Q3 the economy slowed markedly in Q4 of last year, but the composition was quite good with personal consumption up 4.4% while government consumption dropped 1.9%. Investment (including inventories) rose 4.5% as did exports while imports rose a substantial 10.4%.

    While Q1 will likely also show slow(-er) growth I expect a pick-up in growth in Q2 and beyond as the impact from USD strength fades while personal consumption and (residential) investment should continue to be key drivers of growth.
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  • 2d
    fxtime fxtime
    The moral to the above imho is.......Never trust a BoE storyteller sorry governor!
  • Calendar event / Friday at 12:30 GMT

    US 3rd estimate GDP

    forecast
    actual
    Med GDP
    +2.4%
    +2.2%
    Med Chain-Weighted Price Index
    +0.1%
    +0.1%
    Med PCE Price Index
    -0.4%
    Med Purchase Price Index
    -0.1%
    Med Real Final Sales
    +2.3%
    Med Core PCE Price Index( Ex Food/Energy)
    +1.1%
    Med Personal Consumption
    +4.4%
    Med Corporate Profits
    -3%