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  • Squawk / 12 minutes ago
    Head of Macro Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Breaking: Twitter reports better-than-expected Q1 earnings!
    Read the Squawk
    Mads Koefoed Mads Koefoed
    Sees 2015 revenue at $2.18bn to $2.27bn (expected: $2.37bn), sees 2015 EBITDA at $510mn to $535mn
    Mads Koefoed Mads Koefoed
    Twitter reports partnership with Google's Doubleclick, Twitter to buy Tellapart
  • 3h
    John Shaw John  Shaw
    North American growth is sputtering and don't be surprised if we are back in recession by Q4 this year or Q1 next year.
    Did we even really leave...
  • Squawk / 4 hours ago
    Head of Macro Strategy / Saxo Bank
    US consumer confidence drops, but house prices rise:

    We have had a mixed bag of US data today led by a large decline in the Conference Board's consumer confidence index to 95.2 in April from 101.4 a month ago. Consensus had looked for a slight improvement to 102.2 and today's reading of 95.2 is the weakest of the year.

    The Richmond Fed manufacturing index also came in (slightly) below expectations at -3 in April vs. -2 expected, though this was an improvement on March's -8 reading. New order remain weak at -6 (vs. -13 prior) but the number of employees rose to 7 from 6 and the average workweek was also positive at 4 (vs. -4).

    The Case-Shiller home price composite index rose 0.9% m/m in February vs. 0.7% expected and 0.9% prior implying an annual change in house prices of 5% (4.7% expected).

    The S&P 500 index is down a tad so far today (-0.1%). Tomorrow we have Q1 GDP (12:30 GMT) and FOMC (18:00) as the main events.
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  • Squawk / 5 hours ago
    Chief Economist & CIO / Saxo Bank
    Early warning signal from BTP's?

    2y vs 10y often steepens when there is uncertainty. The Italian 2vs10s are indication of "spill over" from Greece.... Not alarming yet, but market is starting to take notice.
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  • Article / 7 hours ago

    #Election2015: GBPUSD will fall hard after UK election

    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    #Election2015: GBPUSD will fall hard after UK election
    GBP has been flying high ahead of the UK election on May 7 while the USD has been on the defensive. But uncertainty about the make up of the next government, coupled with concerns about the hole in Britain’s finances means GBPUSD may eventually decline back to the sub-1.4600 April lows and far beyond by year-end.
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