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  • Article / 1 hour ago

    WCU: Commodity focus turns to Yemen

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    WCU: Commodity focus turns to Yemen
    Yemen was the big story of the week as a Saudi Arabian-led coalition attacked Hauthi rebels, sparking fears of a spike in tensions between Shiite Iran and its Sunni neighbours and triggering sharp gains for oil and precious metals. Elsewhere, industrial metals lagged and the agricultural sector awaited a key report due next week.
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  • Squawk / 1 hour ago
    Head of Macro Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    US economy grew 2.2% in the fourth quarter:

    The third estimate of Q4 GDP shows that the world's largest economy grew by 2.2% q/q (annualised) vs. 2.4% expected and unchanged from the second estimate a month ago.

    Following growth rates of 4.6% and 5% in Q2 and Q3 the economy slowed markedly in Q4 of last year, but the composition was quite good with personal consumption up 4.4% while government consumption dropped 1.9%. Investment (including inventories) rose 4.5% as did exports while imports rose a substantial 10.4%.

    While Q1 will likely also show slow(-er) growth I expect a pick-up in growth in Q2 and beyond as the impact from USD strength fades while personal consumption and (residential) investment should continue to be key drivers of growth.
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  • Calendar event / 3 hours ago

    US 3rd estimate GDP

    forecast
    actual
    Med GDP
    +2.4%
    +2.2%
    Med Chain-Weighted Price Index
    +0.1%
    +0.1%
    Med PCE Price Index
    -0.4%
    Med Purchase Price Index
    -0.1%
    Med Real Final Sales
    +2.3%
    Med Core PCE Price Index( Ex Food/Energy)
    +1.1%
    Med Personal Consumption
    +4.4%
    Med Corporate Profits
    -3%
  • Article / 9 hours ago

    3 Numbers: Central bankers speak, US GDP, US consumer sentiment

    Blogger / MoreLiver's Daily
    Finland
    3 Numbers: Central bankers speak, US GDP, US consumer sentiment
    A slow data day with minor releases or revisions brings us the third estimate of the US Q4/2014 GDP growth rate and the end-of-the-month US consumer sentiment index. The most potential for market moves are the speeches from central bankers. Also watch out for a possible surprise downgrade of Italian government bonds, which don't seem to be priced in by the markets.
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  • Editor’s Picks / 10 hours ago

    Year of the goat looks bullish for Asian equities

    Cuffelinks.com.au
    Since 1973, the Year of the Goat has generated the highest average returns of the 12 zodiac symbols, averaging 45.3% a year. Leaving superstition aside, there are fundamental reasons why Asian equity markets can make like a bull this year. Notwithstanding the risk of war – currency, physical or in cyberspace – Asian equity fundamentals look attractive. Earnings expectations for Asia excluding Japan are the most realistic they have been in years. Consensus is forecasting EPS growth of 9.5%. Another positive is that Asian governments are implementing reforms that are are critical to overcoming structural weaknesses. All in all, there is a strong case for being a bull in the Year of the Goat.
    Read article on Cuffelinks.com.au
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  • Editor’s Picks / 11 hours ago

    Branchless banking program launched in Indonesia

    The Jakarta Post
    An initiative designed to help boost access to banking services for millions of people in rural areas has been launched by Indonesia's Financial Services Authority and four of the nation’s largest banks, writes Grace D. Amianti for The Jakarta Post. The Laku Pandai, popularly known as branchless banking, program promotes banking and financial services for all through the help of other parties, such as individual and institutional agents, supported by mobile phones and IT facilities. State-owned Bank Mandiri and Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) as well as private lenders Bank Central Asia (BCA) and Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional (BTPN) — have already obtained permits from the OJK to run the program.
    Read article on The Jakarta Post
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