Head of Macro Strategy / Saxo Bank
Denmark
US manufacturing expands at slowest pace since January '13:
The manufacturing sector continues to grow in the world's largest economy, but we have witnessed a quick slowdown in recent months. The ISM manufacturing index declined to 52.9 last month - as expected by consensus (53) - from 53.5 in January and a high of 58.1 in August of last year. The deceleration has been particularly pronounced in the last three months with the index still as high as 57.6 in November.
Among the sub-indices new orders slowed somewhat to 52.5 from 52.9 while production printed 53.7, down from 56.5. The employment component also slowed quite a bit to 51.4 from 54.1, interesting ahead of Friday's employment report. Manufacturing employment has averaged 31,000 per month in Nov-Jan.
Overall a report without major surprises.
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Article /
6 hours ago
Director / Accumen Management
United Kingdom
The markets this morning seem to be taking risk events in their stride – the reaction simply isn't there to be seen. I find this all very uncomfortable if I’m honest.
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Editor’s Picks /
6 hours ago
Bloomberg
It's something of a truism to view a slowdown in China as inevitable given the belief that slowdown inevitably follows a period of strong, sustained growth and by that model, China certainly fits the bill. But, says Mark Buchanan, the linkage is at its strongest when the economies in question are at intermediate to high levels of complexity. It becomes far more difficult to make that case with less-developed nations which fall into an essentially different regime of economic dynamics, according to the work of a group of physicists led by Matthieu Cristelli. That has big implications for China certainly, and most probably India, and is grounds for some more optimism for the future of these two behemoths.
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Editor’s Picks /
9 hours ago
The Telegraph
As the UK election date draws ever closer, the combatants are engaging in a round of banker bashing to demonstrate to the voting public who would hit the sector hardest if elected. The Telegraph's Andrew Critchlow bemoans this lowest common-denominator approach to vote winning and labels the blame apportioned to bankers for the financial crisis as a "grotesque political lie." Critchlow says the banking sector has been one of Britain's biggest success stories of the post-war period and if anyone deserves the blame for the crisis that struck so many families so hard at the end of the last decade, then look no further than the governing party of the time, the Labour Party.
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Article /
10 hours ago
TradingFloor.com Team / Saxo Bank
Denmark
China has cut its benchmark interest rate for the second time this year as low growth and deflationary pressures hit the economy. The US, on the other hand, appears to be growing closer to a rate hike, but any timing errors from the Fed could put a real damper on equity markets.
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Calendar event /
10 hours ago
Low
Jobless Rate
11.3%
11.3%
11.2%
Article /
11 hours ago
Managing editor, TradingFloor.com / Saxo Bank
Denmark
Dollar's rally is putting the relatively weak euro under severe pressure with a path to 1.1000 and beyond opening up. Elsewhere, the People's Bank of China rate cut is filtering through to markets and Maersk looks like a prime pick.
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Calendar event /
11 hours ago
Low
Unemployment Rate
12.9%
12.6%
Article /
11 hours ago
Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
Denmark
The US dollar rally late last week impressed, and this week tells us whether the usual first week of the month data can stand in the rally’s way. Tonight, look for an RBA cut to continue to apply the pressure on a weak AUD.
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