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  • Squawk / Thursday at 16:19 GMT
    Blogger / MoreLiver's Daily
    Finland
    Bond yields, stocks and USDJPY have recently moved hand-in-hand. Bond yields and USDJPY have now rise for two days while stocks have remained unchanged. I guess stocks could join the party after "Trump event risk" is over.
    Read the Squawk
    2d
    fxtime fxtime
    If his history of narcissism is anything to go by we can expect a sugar sweet speech promising everything to everyone plus ofcourse he alone will unite...
    2d
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    My main reason for thinking that the Trump-rally (or whatever you want to call it, high PMI- or higher bond yield-rally) has more to go is because...
  • Squawk / 10 January 2017 at 9:35 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    I suspect the real market moving event will be Donald trumps press conference tomorrow (although Trump will have rehearsed his speech and subsequent potential replies etc for the press conference) it will outline the reality of which policies will be enacted rather endless tweet knee jerk theatre we have seen of late. The Trump rally looks to have fully priced infrastructure expenditures and the dollar strength against the euro and yen may well have absorbed tax reform/reduction stimulus so Trump imho will have to be very polished tomorrow to hold the World markets in thrall.
    Looking at the sheer size of rallies from his success of winning the election and what little market support in price evident on most charts any drop now could be severe.
    No doubt there will be a plethora of tweets and Trump will seek to distract the marketplace by comparing his celeb status to Schwarzenegger or who ever but he is danger of becoming a laughing stock to his own voters and fellow senators.
    Read the Squawk
    10 January
    zefy zefy
    I have noticed several times ice cream scenario being valid for next morning entry.
    11 January
    fxtime fxtime
    There are quite a few permutations available....a gap up usually gives the best entry I usually scale my trade size and adapt the trade but the fundemental...
    11 January
    zefy zefy
    Yes, the main function of ice-cream will entry at close. My intention was not to disagree about rules/setup but just to mention that there are cases where...
  • Squawk / 09 January 2017 at 21:35 GMT
    Some interesting remarks on the SP500. Close price Feb 11 2016, 1828, stand in near 180 degrees to high on Jan 6 at 2181 ish. 2 181 is aligned with 666 (2009) lows. The descent into the low on Feb 11 2016 from the peak in 2015 took 267 days which was aligned with the number of days from March 2009, which in turn aligns on Jan 6...given that calculations are correct the Jan 6 appears pivotal of some degree both in time and price. Might mean nothing might mean everything...in any case some weakness wouldn't be a surprise since we have five waves higher off the Nov 4 daily close low.
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  • Article / 09 January 2017 at 17:27 GMT

    Volatility Update: Fed, not earnings, will lift volatility—#SaxoStrats

    Product Manager Futures and Options / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Volatility Update: Fed, not earnings, will lift volatility—#SaxoStrats
    The earnings season is upon us, and markets are moving steadily ahead of US companies' fourth-quarter reports. Analysts have revised down their earnings outlook on eight of 11 sectors. After Friday's US jobs report showed clear wage pressures, attention will swing to the Fed's next meeting at the end of the month, which could be the surprise that will drive volatility.
    Read the article
    10 January
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Wages rising + positive revision from last NFP. 178K revised to 204K. Nice reading Georgio!
    10 January
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    thx MP
  • Squawk / 09 January 2017 at 9:22 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    FTSE looks to be struggling imho....I suspect the DAX is likely to pullback too but we need to see the EU unemployment data release in 35mins time before seeking to short that market and correlate the data to trading the eurusd.
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    10 January
    fxtime fxtime
    fwiw the mclellan oscillator dropped below 10 yesterday for net change so we can expect a large USA move today or tomorrow but the oscillator doesn't give...
    10 January
    Andrew Perkins Andrew Perkins
    long greenback so looking for some movement back to 118.00
    10 January
    Andrew Perkins Andrew Perkins
    as you see i didn't say hoping LOL
  • Squawk / 06 January 2017 at 13:36 GMT
    Blogger / MoreLiver's Daily
    Finland
    A nice payroll report. The monthly non-farm payroll gain +156,000 was a bit lower than expected, but previous months' upward revisions compensate that. Unemployment rate steady at low levels.

    Most importantly, upside surprise on average hourly earnings: +0.4% month-over-month, +2.9% year-over-year. Expectation was for a gain of 0.3%.

    USD stronger, bond yields higher, stocks higher. New kind of "goldilocks economy" - quite strong, but not too strong, good for the economy but no emergency for the Fed to hike.
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    06 January
    goldfinger goldfinger
    All is good. Wait for the reversal. It will be bloody.
  • Squawk / 30 December 2016 at 15:09 GMT
    Blogger / MoreLiver's Daily
    Finland
    Stock market update - the final trading day of the year looking ugly.
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    30 December
    AlexF AlexF
    I will add on short nasdaq today if we see a small recovery, have a big long portfolio to protect. have puts and short covered calls. No...
    30 December
    AlexF AlexF
    2210 maybe as per ur chart
    30 December
    AlexF AlexF
    if we close well below 2232, then nothing till 2210