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  • Squawk / Friday at 21:45 GMT
    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    The stock market at a new record, yield curve flattening, Bitcoin surging..............Just another day in the US financial markets

    Behind the scenes there are a couple of developments worth noting.

    First, the yield on the S&P 500 has been declining while the 2-year Treasury bond yield climbs, closing the big gap that has been in place since the GFC.

    See chart below.

    Some asset allocation models will signal this as justification for a move from equities into bonds.

    Second, the tax bill that looks a done deal to pass thru Congress next week could lead to repatriation of up to $2 trillion of funds US companies are holding offshore. This could lead to a significant dollar shortage in the money markets. The EURUSD cross currency swap basis is moving accordingly, breaking under 100 basis points. It usually drops at year end but this time the move is pronounced and likely to be maintained.

    See chart below

    This could start to have an impact on EURUSD.
    Read the Squawk
    1d
    Treve Treve
    Max, great coverage this week from you! If you possibly have the time (and I can imagine how busy you are trading the markets) it would...
    1d
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    Thanks Treve, as always there have been frustrating and testing periods (aplenty) in 2018 but applying stringent money/risk management (with considerable patience and trading discipline)
    has been the...
  • 2d
    FXKhaos FXKhaos
    Excellent analysis! Thank you.
    2d
    fred seru fred seru
    Your welcome
  • Squawk / Friday at 4:15 GMT
    Technical Analyst in Financial Market / commoditymarket2008 Advisory Services
    India
    Spot Gold Trading View: now having support zone 1248, below holding means 1242 & 1235 easily possible other wise again rise up to 1260 & 1267...
    Read the Squawk
  • Article / Thursday at 12:11 GMT

    A bumpy year for commodities comes to a close — #SaxoStrats

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    A bumpy year for commodities comes to a close — #SaxoStrats
    Following a return to profit in 2016 for the first time in six years, the Bloomberg commodity Index is once again on track to record a small annual loss. All sectors apart from industrial and precious metals yielded a negative return, not least the agriculture sector which slumped to a nine-year low.
    Read the article
    2d
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Very nice review!
  • Squawk / Thursday at 4:18 GMT
    Technical Analyst in Financial Market / commoditymarket2008 Advisory Services
    India
    Spot Gold Trading View: now having support zone 1251, below holding means 1245 & 1238 easily looking other wise again rise up to 1265 & 1272...
    Read the Squawk
  • 3d
    IL IL
    Txs for update:-) ... and I want to add, that Dow manipulations has got so obvious that I can document it with the Screen dump from...
    3d
    IL IL
    actually Dow should close with minus 6 points today, according to the stocks
    3d
    djustoe djustoe
    All the major indices are being manipulated by the various central banks around the world. Its not something ever given mainstream media attention though.