• All
  • Articles
  • Squawks
  • Trade views
  • Must reads
  • Videos
  • Calendar
Write a Squawk
No posts
  • Calendar event / 46 minutes ago

    US Advance Report on Durable Goods

    High Durable Goods-SA, M/M%
    High Dur Goods, Ex-Defense, M/M%
    High Dur Goods, Ex-Transport, M/M%
    Med Orders: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M%
    Med Shipmnts: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M%
  • Calendar event / 46 minutes ago

    US Personal Income & Outlays

    Med Personal Income, M/M%
    Med Consumer Spending, M/M%
    Med PCE Price Idx, M/M%
    Med PCE Price Idx, Y/Y%
    Med PCE Core Price Idx, M/M%
    Med PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y%
  • Calendar event / 2 hours ago
    Low Composite Idx
    Low Composite Idx, W/W%
    Low Purchase Idx-SA
    Low Purchase Idx-SA, W/W%
    Low Refinance Idx
    Low Refinance Idx, W/W%
  • Trade view / 2 hours ago
    Short term

    The bears are back for EURUSD

    Senior Market Analyst (Equities & FX) / Faraday Research
    United Kingdom
    The euro’s resilience ended suddenly this morning, and the bears are back in charge. We are now looking for EURUSD to fall to the 1.0500 support level.
    Read the Trade View
  • Editor’s Picks / 3 hours ago

    Bonds bloodbath could follow end of deflationary supercycle

    The Telegraph
    Elite funds are stealthily exiting overpriced government bonds as they bunker down for an extended period of reflation, writes Ambrose Evans-Pritchard. With $17 trillion worth of bonds trading at sub-1% yields, the bonds love-in is out of kilter with global core inflation which has just hit a seven-year high of 2.7%. The flood of money into global bond markets is coming to an end as the likes of China, the petro powers and Asian central banks reverse long-standing policies, he says, and the chickens will come home to roost on this one, possibly by the end of 2016.
    Read article on The Telegraph
    Go to post
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    Well AEP uses "quietly"!
    fxtime fxtime
    LOL....I stand corrected. Sorry Martin I wasted your time with my comments above.
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    I wouldn't say that's true. Quite a lot of people out there in the community who follow what you have to say with avid interest.
  • Squawk / 3 hours ago
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    There is a remarkable strength of opinion that ECB QE will occur Dec 3rd and USA will icrease their base rates by 25bp next month. So far we are seeing evidence of market pricing to reflect this belief. I feel there is a need to exercise caution far the market is doing what the ECB wants (and the ECB has done nothing so far) but we have a substantially lower euro/usd also the DXY is at a level where USA exporters will feel pain. If the NFP report due next month is soft or Yellen raises rates by 25bp with a very dove-ish guidance on future rate hikes we may see an extreme unwinding of positions as the stops positioned on a strongly biased market are triggered.
    Certainly the huge cluster of stops around the sub 1.0450 spot area would permit a rapid move to parity but it could be a transient capitulation move followed by a major rally. Perhaps option strangles over the next month or aggressive calendar spreads may be of use as we approach key dates.
    Read the Squawk
    HaythamSabry HaythamSabry
    do u think there could be a rebound to 1.062?
    fxtime fxtime
    1.062 is a former (and recent) hourly support so will be retested as resistance at some point.