All
  • All
  • Articles
  • Squawks
  • Trade views
  • Must reads
  • Videos
  • Calendar
Views
Write a Squawk
No posts
  • Video / 12 January 2017 at 13:00 GMT

    Quarterly Outlook: Risky rollercoaster

    John J Hardy
    From intense speculation on how US policy will take shape under President Trump to EU existential questions in a busy election calendar for Europe, currency traders have a veritable laundry list of urgent questions for the year ahead.
    watch video
  • 08 January
    Jingjie Lee Jingjie Lee
    There will be a good chance to long USDCAD
    08 January
    Calzada Calzada
    Good eye Jingjie, ..I will not buy if price go below 1.30805 If buying, I will reconfirm long, one more time :)
  • 04 January
    fxtime fxtime
    @bvlaerhoven....totally agree.
    04 January
    zefy zefy
    Limbo is a perfect to describe my EURUSD algo results today LOL
    06 January
    ChrisYass ChrisYass
    I use exchange rate notifications to know about significant changes in the exchange rte
  • Squawk / 14 December 2016 at 13:14 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    EURNOK up through 9.00 after Norway's Finance Ministry announced new limits on mortgage lending in Oslo, currently billed as a temporary measure through June of 2018. The focus appears to be on lending limits for secondary dwellings, total loans as a multiple of borrower's gross income, conditions on interest-only mortgages. This macro-prudential approach could be seen as acting as a headwind on Norway's economy and a preference for such an approach as opposed to rate hikes from Norges Bank.

    Short Norwegian rates have been in retreat over the last few days anyway and are a couple of bps lower still today and we have a Norges Bank meeting tomorrow at which the bank is likely to signal hope that the economy will continue to improve amidst a revival of oil prices, but little in the way of fresh policy guidance as the rate forecast is likely to remain unchanged. Also pushing NOK lower today is a fresh dip in oil prices after the OPEC-inspired rally that started the week.
    Read the Squawk
  • Calendar event / 09 December 2016 at 7:00 GMT

    NO CPI

    forecast
    actual
    High CPI, M/M%
    +0.2%
    High CPI, Y/Y%
    +3.5%
    Med CPI-SA, After Tax, Excl Energy, M/M%
    -0.1%
    Med CPI-SA, After Tax, Excl Energy, Y/Y%
    +2.9%
    +2.6%
  • Squawk / 23 November 2016 at 6:59 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    EURNOK - Remains below key average and targets sub 9.0000
    Tuesday’s negative sentiment was confirmed as Monday’s decline deepened. The resulting fall was steady but not explosive and failed to break through last week's bottom. But EURNOK did close below the 13 day mvg avg and a 2nd solid down day in a row highlights a negative bias
    So we're targeting 9.0320, 9.0100 or even 8.9780 from current 9.0500 levels. Any bounce near 9.0680 should find sellers and only above 9.0940 is positive.
    Read the Squawk
  • Calendar event / 15 November 2016 at 7:00 GMT

    NO GDP

    forecast
    actual
    High GDP, Q/Q%
    +0.3%
    +0.2%
  • 08 November
    rzhi rzhi
    If Clinton wins, this is going to mean rate hike and stronger USD (EURUSD goes down). At the same time stronger USD means USDMXN has to go...
    08 November
    rzhi rzhi
    Especially given that USDMXN is at its 2 month lows
    08 November
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    MXN isn't about the USD as much as it is about Trump (fears of protectionism) vs. Clinton (no such fears). That's why Clinton's improved odds in recent...