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  • Article / Thursday at 5:55 GMT

    3 Numbers: ECB likely to seek solid inflation proof before tightening

    editor/analyst / CapitalSpectator.com
    United States
    3 Numbers: ECB likely to seek solid inflation proof before tightening
    Economists expect the ECB will leave its benchmark refinancing rate unchanged at 0% today, despite a pop in inflation. But the days of super-easy monetary policy look numbered. Today's ECB press conference may reveal more. Meanwhile in the US, jobless claims should stay near their record low in today’s update. And housing starts are for December are headed for a solid rebound.
    Read the article
  • Calendar event / Wednesday at 10:00 GMT

    EU Harmonised CPI

    forecast
    actual
    High CPI, Y/Y%
    +1.1%
    +1.1%
    High Core CPI, Y/Y%
    +0.9%
    +0.9%
    Med CPI, M/M%
    +0.5%
    +0.5%
    Med Core CPI, M/M%
    +0.4%
    +0.4%
    Med Ex-Tobacco, M/M%
    +0.6%
    Med Ex-Tobacco, Y/Y%
    +1.1%
  • Calendar event / Wednesday at 9:30 GMT

    GB UK monthly unemployment figures

    forecast
    actual
    High Jobless Claimants % of Workforce
    2.3%
    2.3%
    High Jobless Claimants-Adj
    +5000
    -10100
    Med Avg Earnings Ex-Bonuses, 3-Mo
    +2.6%
    +2.7%
    Med Unemployment Rate, 3-Mo
    4.8%
    4.8%
    Med Unemployment, Net Chg, 3-Mo
    -2100
    -52000
  • Squawk / Tuesday at 12:14 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    May wants clean break from EU. A few highlights from UK Prime Minister May's Brexit speech: May delivered a very firm, but diplomatic speech outlining that Brexit is indeed Brexit, something she has stated before. Outlining the chief aim of Brexit, the broadbrush framing was that UK wants a return to its national sovereignty, not any partial-, associate- or half-in, half-out membership, but a complete exit. At the same time, the positive spin was emblazoned on the backdrop behind here as she spoke: "A Global Britain" in which the UK is positioned as an open trading partner to the world at large.

    She then started to outline 12 points she would like for Brexit deal to accomplish

    1 Provide certainty whenever we can during negotiation process, including approval of both houses of Parliament. This sparked GBP buying.
    2 Build a stronger Britain, including the much discussed red line of exiting the European Court of Justice, involving the regional governments of Wales and Scotland
    ...
    Read the Squawk
    3d
    fxtime fxtime
    Basically she just wants no knee jerk penalties/restrictions eitherway. Little in detail but that isn't surprising due to the complexities involved but a desire to complete quickly...
    3d
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    Hourly and daily charts - 0.8650/00 zone obviously important on hourly. On daily, big question is now whether we begin to complete the head-and-shoulders with neckline toward...
    3d
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    Given the consensus views and "angry journalists", the head&shoulders would cause the greatest misery. So quite rational to bet on that alternative.
  • 3d
    Juhani Huopainen Juhani Huopainen
    S&P 500, EURUSD, and DAX short-term view:
  • Calendar event / Tuesday at 9:30 GMT

    GB UK monthly inflation figures

    forecast
    actual
    High CPI, Y/Y%
    +1.4%
    +1.6%
    High Core CPI, Y/Y%
    +1.5%
    +1.6%
    High Retail Price Idx, Y/Y%
    +2.5%
    Med CPI, M/M%
    +0.3%
    +0.5%
    Med Core CPI, M/M%
    +0.5%
    Med Retail Price Idx, M/M%
    +0.6%
  • Calendar event / Tuesday at 9:30 GMT

    GB UK producer prices

    forecast
    actual
    High Output PPI, Y/Y%
    +3%
    +2.7%
    Med Core Output PPI, M/M%
    0%
    Med Core Output PPI, Y/Y%
    +2.1%
    Med Input PPI, M/M%
    +2.7%
    +1.8%
    Med Input PPI, Y/Y%
    +15.5%
    +15.8%
    Med Output PPI, M/M%
    +0.4%
    +0.1%
  • 3d
    Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading Ian Coleman - First 4 Trading
    yes the long term picture dictates that now

    I think a bottom (GBPUSD / GBPJPY ) and top (EURGBP) are now in place
    2d
    berhanb berhanb
    Dear Ian and friends, how do you detect the demark signal? Is there any indicator or script for it on any platform?