• All
  • Articles
  • Squawks
  • Trade views
  • Must reads
  • Videos
  • Calendar
Write a Squawk
No posts
  • Calendar event / Just now
    High Industrial Output (on month)
    Med Inventory-Shipments Ratio (on month)
    Med Shipments (on month)
    Med Inventories (on month)
    Med Companies Forecast Ind Output In Following Month
    Med Companies Forecast Ind Output Two Months Later
  • Article / 1 hour ago

    KVP’S Macro Take: Everyone has a plan 'til they're punched in the face

    Asia Macro Strategist / Saxo Capital Markets
    KVP’S Macro Take: Everyone has a plan 'til they're punched in the face
    As the boxer Mike Tyson says, “everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face”. The importance of carrying out risk management & position sizing cannot be emphasized enough. End of 1Q in this short week, packed with Fed speakers, quarterly shuffles & lots of US data + nonfarm payrolls being due on Friday, April 3. Meanwhile only 9 days ago to the Tuesday, April 7 RBA decision, where there should be a cut
    Read the article
  • Squawk / 8 hours ago
    United Kingdom
    Monday 30 March sentiment:
    #CADJPY ▼
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 12 hours ago
    GBPUSD M15.
    There is a trigger up which expanded just to 2.4220, still given the fact from where the bounce off took place it satisfies the condition of 3:1 P/L ratio for 50/50,
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 12 hours ago
    GBPUSD M30.
    There are more actions visible on the M30 chart. Shorter scales mean less money involved, could be a rule but may be contradicted by the HFT who work in different dimensions of the market. Anyway, this M30 scale shows more initiatives, perhaps smaller in size nevertheless their goals can be clearly defined, some targets are met, so they knew what they were doing. Interesting that both the sellers and the buyers are still sitting on some profit. At a glance it looks that selling was more fearful than buying. Buyers pocketed handsome F times the size of the trigger up.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 14 hours ago
    GBPUSD H4.
    It looks heavy with the massive selloff early March and a strange jerk to 1.5169 extinguished there and the gas burner flame hardly heating big figure 1.5000 now. It is interesting that the short lived bounce off (hardly 8 hours long) began from MIN RISK level @ 1.4671, their stops sitting @ 1.4557. Those stops are still intact, but notice that they managed to pocket standard profit for which the 3:1 ratio line I marked in red. The line is quite a resistance. So in my judgement, they closed a lot of their positions inspired by the 50/50 and 3:1 rule. On the other hand the trigger down from end of February expanded to 1.4762 and there is so much more energy behind the slide. When markets cannot create a direction they move towards stops. I marked three nearest (dense) stoplosses @ 1.5170, 1.5151, and 1.4557.
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 16 hours ago
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    EoD traders on cable are simply sitting on their hands awaiting a directional move. So far the series of tightening outside candles on the daily charts have shown a tighter closing price support/resistance. A break of R1 or S1 and close beyond these ranges will mark the new trend. Short term rsi is neutral so is of no use other than suggesting there is plenty of room for a trend either way without giving concern to overdone market momentum. An 1.5 std deviation OTM Sell Put to open and 1.5 std dev Sell Call to open April trade may be useful as strike prices for b/e become more favourable and demand less margin and run to approx 4 or 5 days before expiry for max theta decay may be of use especially if we get a strong directional trend occurs prior to expiry as can be covered with excess time premium imho.
    Read the Squawk
    fxtime fxtime
    LOL helps if I put the correct chart up....apologies for that.
    fxtime fxtime
    Just to is the closing price that is important (obviously).
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 10:45 GMT
    Senior Analyst /
    Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
    Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (March 30 – April 3, 2015)
    Dominant bias: Bearish
    The movement on Cable for the last week was flat, and should the market remain flat for this week, the overall bias would turn neutral. The recent bias is bearish and the current price action shows a serious tug of war between the bull and the bear. For the price to move seriously (to go out of balance), either the bull or the bear must dominate, for price will remain flat as long as the bull and the bear appear to have equal strength. Whether this week or next week, there would be a rise in momentum, which may force the price below the accumulation territory at 1.4750 or above the distribution territory at 1.5050. However, it is more likely that Cable would rally, meaning that the expected increase in the momentum will likely favor buyers.

    Read the Squawk