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  • Article / 26 September 2016 at 13:58 GMT

    Volatility Update: VIX back in the grind

    Product Manager, Options Trader, Educator
    Denmark
    Volatility Update: VIX back in the grind
    Without any news for the market to process, we are back to a state of depressed volatility. This means that the premium for protection is also quite low, which is something that equity investors should keep in mind.
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    2y
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    if Trump wins, his platform has pretty aggressive fiscal policies in place which could increase the cost of borrowing (yield goes up).
    2y
    Market Predator Market Predator
    OK, Trump = Hawk :)
    2y
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    HRC has some pretty hawkish fiscal positions herself but the Street is looking at Trump as the non-friendly Wall Street guy
  • Trade view / 22 April 2016 at 13:14 GMT
    Short term

    Gilt bull market is down but not out

    Chief Investment Officer / ACIES Asset Management
    Switzerland
    This month, the Long Gilt has fallen back a bit. The bull market is by no means broken, so the probabilities are on the side of a swift recovery. What we're doing in this trade idea is to buy into the short-term weakness, and doing the opposite of the larger trend followers.
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    3y
    fxtime fxtime
    Good call thx :-)
  • Squawk / 16 April 2015 at 7:08 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    FTSE 100 Future Re-Energized Bull Bias

    A probe to another new record high to 7061 after high level consolidation this week of the strong rally last week, having previously defended support, at 6875/71.5.
    We favour further bullish extensions to upside targets into April.

    For Today:
    We see an upside bias for 7061; break here aims for extension target at 7088, maybe to 7100, which we would look to try to cap.
    But below 6989 opens risk down to 6931, which we would look to try to hold.

    Short/ Intermediate-term Outlook - Upside Risks:
    We now see a more positive tone with the bullish threat through the new record high at 7061.
    Above here targets 7088, 7123 and 7178.

    What Changes This? Below 6795 eases bull risks; through 6683 signals a neutral tone, only shifting negative below 6618.

    You can view the full FTSE 100 future report with screencasts, levels and day trade views - click here http://ow.ly/LFXup
    See our Equity Index Futures and all other reports here http://ow.ly/i/anZgd
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  • Squawk / 08 April 2015 at 6:05 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    FTSE 100 Future Aims Back at the New Record High at 7009.5

    The push above the 6860 level is enough to signal a re-energizes bull theme, having previously rejected a more bearish shift in March with the rebound from ahead of 6618.

    For Today:
    We see an upside bias for the peak at 6925.5 and 6940/43.5; break here aims for 6988.5, maybe even back to the record high at 7009.5.
    But below 6852 opens risk down to 6795, which we would look to try to hold.

    Short/ Intermediate-term Outlook - Upside Risks:
    We now see a more positive tone with the bullish threat to the record high at 7009.5.
    Above here targets 7088, 7123 and 7178.

    You can view the full FTSE 100 future report with screencasts, levels and day trade views - click here http://ow.ly/LkgRX
    Why not sign up for my FREE blogs? ow.ly/IRhvq http://ow.ly/i/adqxg
    View our Equity Index Futures and all other reports here http://ow.ly/HZXPy
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  • Squawk / 31 March 2015 at 6:17 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    FTSE 100 future resilient, rebound (then extension) bias

    A hesitant, but still resilient tone on Monday to enhance the view that the solid bounce late last week from 61.8% retrace support at 6784.5 favours a further bounce effort this week.
    We see bigger pictures bullish pressures resuming into early April from the push last week to not just another new recovery high, but to an all-time high through 6995, the prior peak from 1999 and 7000 psychological/option target.

    For Today:
    We see an upside bias through 6858/60, then 6872/78; break here aims for 6925.5.
    But below 6806.5 aims for 6784.5/83.5 and opens risk down to 6765, maybe 6731/22.

    You can view the full FTSE 100 future report with screencasts, levels and day trade views - click here http://ow.ly/L0Mlv
    Why not sign up for my FREE blogs? ow.ly/IRhvq
    View our Equity Index Futures and all other reports here http://ow.ly/HZXPy
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  • Squawk / 23 March 2015 at 7:02 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    FTSE 100 Future Looking to Join the 7000 Party!!

    A surge higher to end the week with the FTSE 100 cash hitting another new record high and through the psychological 7000 level.
    The futures market still waiting to join the party and push through 6995/7000, the all-time high from 1999 and psychological/option target.
    However, the strong recovery effort ahead of 6614.5 over the past week has re-energized the bull theme and leaves risk for a more aggressive extension into late March.

    For Today:
    We see an upside bias for 6995/7000, maybe 7023.
    But below 6940 aims for 6923 and the trend line (6914), which we would look to try to hold.

    You can view the full FTSE 100 future report with screencasts, levels and day trade views - click here http://ow.ly/KFcba
    Why not sign up for my FREE blogs? ow.ly/IRhvq
    See our Equity Index Futures and all other reports here http://ow.ly/HZXPy
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  • Squawk / 20 March 2015 at 18:48 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    Final update for the week on using a ''control trade'' as a bench mark measure of trade success compared to a blind automated trade set up. Today accrued another 33pts making a total of 137pts this week eg 4 x 33pts and one minimum 5pts thus anyone trading FTSE must aim to have exceeded this total plus any opportune income you could have earned elsewhere eg savings rate etc to know their intraday or positional revenue for the week was better than say a blind luck control trade.
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    4y
    fxtime fxtime
    FWIW probability suggests the ftse should be shorted as near to the close as possible and look for the first profitable close price over the next three...
  • Squawk / 18 March 2015 at 18:22 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    FTSE cash mkts exceeds all time highs and is at the 7000 value level bar a few points...now we need to see if it can hold at these levels.....a rally of 140+pts in a day is certainly stretching the market at the moment but lets hear what Yellen has to say in her press conference before opening new trades.
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  • Squawk / 18 March 2015 at 10:24 GMT
    Hypothesis Testing
    United Kingdom
    Another update on the FTSE cash mkt. Again the control trade would have opened a long last night as described and again it accrued +33pts this morning making +99pts for the week so far. Anyone trading ftse need to compare their trading results to the control trade to ensure they are trading productively :-)
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