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  • Squawk / 17 minutes ago
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    "ECB Sources" not leaning on new policy initiatives just yet, according to an MNI story.

    MNI News Story hitting the wires: according to "ECB sources", there is no consensus on need for May policy action and no unanimity on any specific non-standard policy tool. Additionally, "possibility that inflation has hit bottom" and that low inflation readings are only relevant if they lead to a forecast revision. EURUSD ticks up on this as the farce continues....(Draghi was just out a little while ago talking up the potential for action, etc....)
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  • Squawk / 1 hour ago
    nana nana
    Global Head of FX Spot / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    EURUSD: Pre FOMC range looks to be defined by 1,3780-1,3920 - within that 1,3800-1,3880.
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  • Squawk / 2 hours ago
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    BREAKING: Draghi speech hitting the wires here - says FX rate is increasingly important for policy, ECB will have to act if the lending channel doesn't improve, unconventional measures could have side effects, and says ECB minutes are a "logical next step".
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  • Squawk / 2 hours ago
    Kresten Bechmann Kresten Bechmann
    Options Trader / Saxo Bank a/s
    Denmark
    FX options flow: Sorry for broken record.... Vols trading a little softer again today: 1m EURUSD trading at 5,25% and offered on, and 1m GBP at 4,9%. In GBPJPY 1y atm jsut got given at 9,6%. We are slowly getting close to the multi years low of 2007 where 1m EURUSD ATM traded as low as 4,6%. So the question is, how far can it go?? Good luck
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    58m
    Kresten Bechmann Kresten Bechmann
    1m EURUSD have traded many times at 5,2 just now, however the bid is now gone and the market is offered on, the sell fest continues.....
    50m
    Cwealth Cwealth
    cheers
  • Squawk / 2 hours ago
    EURAUD WEEKLY - watching if bullish larger trend resumes. If we see more China slow-down news and clearer AUDUSD reaction, then another early entry - before the news pick this up again - could make sense.
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  • Squawk / 2 hours ago
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    EURSEK has bounced back after the Riksbank minutes released this morning, which show an increasing count of members more clearly leaning towards cutting the policy rate. Keep in mind that the meeting took place the day before the release of the very low March CPI release earlier this month, though one can presume that the Riksbank members might have had a sneak peek at this data. EURSEK found support today in the first support area of interest around 9.05 and may be ready to rally again from here rather than testing the bigger support around 9.00 after the German IFO survey today gave the Euro a boost.
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    2h
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    Here's a link to the full minutes: http://goo.gl/NTLx9F
  • Squawk / 2 hours ago
    trends2trade trends2trade
    Senior Analyst / Trends2Trade.com
    Canada
    No time spend for explanations. We leave that to so called profs. Just simple clear easy to understand tradable quality setups. Always check the date on chart, which will tell you how far ahead our members know about the move!
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  • Editor’s Picks / 3 hours ago

    Interest rates and unconventional thinking

    NoahOpinion
    Over the last three years, a quiet rebellion seems to have sprung up in macroeconomic circles. So far, it's limited to a few whispers, a couple of papers, and the odd blog post or dinner speech, but it represents a striking break from conventional thinking. And despite my best efforts, I find myself unable to convince myself that it's wrong. The rebellious idea - which I've decided to call "Neo-Fisherite" - is that low interest rates cause deflation, and high interest rates cause inflation. If this is correct, then not only is the Fed massively confused about what it's doing, but much of the private sector may be reacting in the wrong way to monetary policy shifts.
    Read article on NoahOpinion Go to post